Why Michigan could make the Fiesta Bowl.

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November 15th, 2012 at 3:42 PM
#1
Dawggoblue
Joined: 09/26/2011
MGoPoints: 265
Why Michigan could make the Fiesta Bowl.

Even if Michigan doesn't make the Rose Bowl, we could end up in the Fiesta Bowl.  I know there is a lot of football to be played, but none of these things are even unlikely to happen.

 

1    Kansas State    10-0    Wins out, goes to NC.
2    Oregon               10-0    Wins out, goes to NC.
3    Notre Dame      10-0    Wins out, replaces Oregon in Rose Bowl.
4    Alabama             9-1    Wins out, goes to Sugar Bowl.
5    Georgia              9-1    1 will get BCS at large.
6    Florida                9-1    1 will get BCS at large.
7    LSU                     8-2    1 will get BCS at large.
8    Texas A&M         8-2    1 will get BCS at large.
9    South Carolina  8-2    1 will get BCS at large.
10    Florida State    9-1    Wins out, goes to Orange Bowl.
11    Clemson          9-1    Loses to South Carolina, falls out of top 14.
12    Oklahoma        7-2    Plays OSU, Baylor, and WVU.  Loses 1 and falls out of top 14.
13    Stanford            8-2    Loses to Oregon, falls out of top 14.
14    Nebraska         8-2    Wins out, goes to Rose Bowl, or loses to WI and falls out of top 14.
15    Texas                8-2    Loses to KSU.
16    Oregon State   7-2    Loses to Oregon.
17    UCLA                8-2    Either beats USC and loses to Oregon, or loses to USC and possibly Stanford.
18    USC                 7-3    Same situation as UCLA.
19    Louisville        9-1    Wins out, goes to Orange Bowl as last BCS pick.
20    LA Tech           9-1    Wont climb high enough.
21    Michigan         7-3    If wins out, goes to Fiesta Bowl.
22    Rutgers           8-1    Loses to Louisville.
23    Texas Tech    7-3    Chance could win out and jump Michigan.
24    Ok. St.              6-3    Chance could win out and jump Michigan.
25    Washington    6-4    No one else matters.

 

Assuming that the Rose Bowl picks ND to replace Oregon. the Fiesta gets the next two picks.  The will obviously take an SEC at large.  No chance they take the Big East champ.  That leaves another at large.  There are rules in the BCS to prevent the Sugar Bowl from having to take Michigan to prevent a rematch, so the Fiesta takes Michigan and Sugar takes another choice, leaving FSU vs Big East in the Orange Bowl.

@2GuysFromWI

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November 15th, 2012 at 3:42 PM | Apologies (Score:5 Normal)
Dawggoblue
Joined: 09/26/2011
MGoPoints: 265

For the not so great formatting.  Its my first post, it looked much better prepost.

@2GuysFromWI

November 15th, 2012 at 3:44 PM | I'll have me some of that (Score:5 Normal)
Indonacious
Joined: 01/03/2012
MGoPoints: 514

I'll have me some of that koolaid!

November 15th, 2012 at 7:50 PM | Agreed, this is about as (Score:3 Normal)
UMRecruitingFannatic
UMRecruitingFannatic's picture
Joined: 11/12/2012
MGoPoints: 126

Agreed, this is about as realistic as those "UFOs" out in Denver.  Everyone knows they are probably just some experimental drones coming out of Ft. Collins, but hey, it's fun to pretend sometimes too!

Rutgers and Maryland: NOT WELCOME

November 15th, 2012 at 9:40 PM | Those "UFOs" look very much (Score:3 Normal)
Profwoot
Profwoot's picture
Joined: 10/12/2010
MGoPoints: 197

Those "UFOs" look very much like insects flying close to the lens. Never underestimate the gullibility of the masses.

November 15th, 2012 at 3:45 PM | This would be awesome if it (Score:5 Normal)
Newbs
Joined: 10/15/2012
MGoPoints: 181

This would be awesome if it worked out. Anybody willing to make a "Spartan Tears Taske Like Tostitos" sign??

WOLVERINE NATION!

Twitter: @MckenzieNewby

 

November 15th, 2012 at 3:47 PM | Would be husker tears this time (Score:5 Normal)
JCV16
Joined: 06/29/2011
MGoPoints: 461

But spartan tears still funnier

Tremendous!

November 15th, 2012 at 4:00 PM | or we just don't acknowledge (Score:5 Normal)
dothepose
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Joined: 12/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4261

or we just don't acknowledge Spartan tears at all and mention to Ohio how nice it is to be playing in a bowl game.

You know, Dude, I myself dabbled in pacifism once. Not in 'Nam of course.

November 15th, 2012 at 4:01 PM | I heard that Sparty grads (Score:5 Normal)
MGoAlexander
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Joined: 11/14/2012
MGoPoints: 301

I heard that Sparty grads make for terrible private investigators because you can always hear them sobbing from behind the weeds...

November 15th, 2012 at 5:05 PM | God, I hope we don't ever do (Score:4 Normal)
FrankMurphy
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MGoPoints: 2502

God, I hope we don't ever do that again. That sign was embarrassing. 

November 15th, 2012 at 5:55 PM | Seconded (Score:5 Normal)
saveferris
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Joined: 07/02/2009
MGoPoints: 3101

Granted it wasn't as lame as, say, putting up a billboard along the interstate, but what fanbase would ever stoop to that level?

Still we should be above such juvenile antics.

 

"...what do you say, is it the new Bluesmobile or what?"

"Fix the cigarette lighter."

November 15th, 2012 at 3:46 PM | Our final ranking (Score:-1 Redundant)
November 15th, 2012 at 3:50 PM | If you read through the post, (Score:2 Normal)
Dawggoblue
Joined: 09/26/2011
MGoPoints: 265

If you read through the post, it shows how all the teams in front of us can lose and move us up.

@2GuysFromWI

November 15th, 2012 at 3:52 PM | We are currently 21st in the (Score:3 Normal)
Baldbill
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Joined: 04/09/2009
MGoPoints: 2008

We are currently 21st in the BCS, if we win out, and depending on who else loses, we might make it up to 14th.

Semper Fidelis

November 15th, 2012 at 3:58 PM | Legit question here (Score:3 Normal)
trueblue262
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Joined: 07/01/2008
MGoPoints: 10

But seeing as OSU is not in the BCS rankings, does a win against an undefeated team that is not ranked (only because it can't be), would that count less??

GRwolverine73

November 15th, 2012 at 4:06 PM | As far as I know, the (Score:4 Normal)
Trebor
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MGoPoints: 1006

As far as I know, the computers still factor in OSU, PSU, NC, etc., but they're removed when they list their top 25. So, for example, if OSU is #4 in a computer, everyone behind them gets bumped up a spot when it's entered into the BCS ranking.

Plus it'd be a bonus with the human voters, which is even more important.

November 15th, 2012 at 7:47 PM | no (Score:2)
andrewG
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MGoPoints: 973

you don't get punished for playing a good team that's been naughty.

November 15th, 2012 at 3:55 PM | - (Score:2)
maizenblue92
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Joined: 01/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3671

I dont think the above scenario will play out. But a convincing win over Ohio would probably give us the rankings jump necessary for the top 14.

"I tried to but a pencil in the light socket but it was too wide and didn't fit so I used a paperclip."-Terrelle Pryor, Future Rhodes Scholar

November 15th, 2012 at 4:30 PM | Honestly, the least likely (Score:4 Normal)
WolvinLA2
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Joined: 11/13/2009
MGoPoints: 17719

Honestly, the least likely thing that needs to happen is us beating OSU. If we do that, even by one, we probably make it.

November 15th, 2012 at 5:19 PM | I believe top 16, but your (Score:0 Offtopic)
November 15th, 2012 at 9:38 PM | No you didn't; it's top-14 (Score:3 Normal)
ChopBlock
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Joined: 12/11/2011
MGoPoints: 1502

No you didn't; it's top-14 unles some weirdness happens with some BCS conferences not qualifying.

"The straightest line from A to B is straight: From A to B"

"When you have Denard Robinson, you can have everything"

~George Walden

November 15th, 2012 at 3:48 PM | It won't happen. (Score:5 Normal)
MMB 82
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MGoPoints: 1369

I live in Arizona, no way anything that convenient will happen for me.

November 15th, 2012 at 3:49 PM | MSU? (Score:5 Normal)
Naked Bootlegger
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Joined: 01/28/2011
MGoPoints: 1213

But if we make it to the Fiesta, where does that leave MSU?   Will they get shut out of the BCS again?   Damned football gods.

 

EDIT:  Beaten to the punch(line).   Dang.

November 15th, 2012 at 8:51 PM | After playing in one of the (Score:2)
DrewGOBLUE
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Joined: 12/03/2011
MGoPoints: 203

After playing in one of the glamorous Buffalo Wild Wings or Little Caesars bowl games, it leaves them sitting on their couches watching. 

If Ann Arbor is a whore, why didn't you get in?

November 15th, 2012 at 9:29 PM | Whoa now (Score:2 Normal)
TIMMMAAY
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Joined: 09/08/2008
MGoPoints: 5954

Don't get your cart before the horse. They still aren't bowl eligible. 

not just "douchey" MGoBlog user, but now TRUSTED MGoBlog user

November 15th, 2012 at 3:52 PM | I thought the SEC can only (Score:4 Normal)
UMichClass2017
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Joined: 02/12/2010
MGoPoints: 85

I thought the SEC can only get 2 BCS teams?

Simply Stated Go Blue

November 15th, 2012 at 4:00 PM | Correct (Score:1)
ILMichFan70
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Joined: 06/09/2011
MGoPoints: 506

They can only get two teams in. The OP is assuming that Alabama will be the SEC champion and then one of Georgia, Florida, Texas A&M, LSU or South Carolina will get the other spot

November 15th, 2012 at 4:00 PM | yes (Score:5 Normal)
Ziff72
Joined: 07/07/2008
MGoPoints: 5147

That's why all those teams in the top 10 won't go. He is saying only 1 of those 5 teams will go.

It's interesting but you have 3 holes.

1. Nebraska is not MSU.   Nebraska beat us so they should go ahead of us.   Unlike last year Nebraska travels like a mother fucker so we don't get the bump up ahead of them like we did MSU who can't make to their own stadium and no bowls care about.

2. Oklahoma- they will be favored in all their games.

3. Clemson- They will only have 2 losses if they lose to SC and would probably still be ahead of us.

 

I think you need Wiscy to lose to OSU this weekend and then lose to Nebraska in the title game so you can get Nebraska to Pasadena. 

 

November 15th, 2012 at 4:08 PM | I have Nebraska in the Rose (Score:4 Normal)
Dawggoblue
Joined: 09/26/2011
MGoPoints: 265

I have Nebraska in the Rose Bowl.

Seeing Oklahoma lose one of those games doesn't seem too far fetched.

The Clemson part I can see, but since its their last game, if they get blown out, they wont have a chance to bounce back.

 

@2GuysFromWI

November 15th, 2012 at 6:16 PM | Seems like Wisky beating (Score:3 Normal)
Red is Blue
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MGoPoints: 1505

Seems like Wisky beating Nebraska would be bad on a couple of fronts.  1) That puts Wisky in the Rose Bowl (does it matter where Wisky is in the BCS?)  2) By extension that probably hurts M in the computers (SOS lowered).

"Is There Anybody Out There?" Pink Floyd, The Wall.

November 15th, 2012 at 4:14 PM | Its Rose or no BCS bowl for (Score:1)
ghost
Joined: 09/02/2011
MGoPoints: 697

Its Rose or no BCS bowl for Nebreska.  If they lose they almost certainly will fall ouf of the top 14.  Even in the unlikely event that they didn't,  bowls don't like to select teams who lose their conference championship game if another viable option is available.

November 15th, 2012 at 5:19 PM | Big Ten Champ (Score:1)
funkywolve
Joined: 10/08/2008
MGoPoints: 1948

Also, having the Big Ten Champ in the Top 14 takes away one more possible at large berth.  If you have 5 of the 6 auto bids in the Top 14, there's only 9 possible at larges and the SEC is going to have a good chunk of those 9 teams but can only send 2.

November 15th, 2012 at 3:53 PM | Huh? (Score:-1 Redundant)
November 15th, 2012 at 4:01 PM | I think the idea is that if (Score:4 Normal)
Indonacious
Joined: 01/03/2012
MGoPoints: 514

I think the idea is that if everything mentioned above happens we would move up the 5 spots into the top 14/16 (whatever it is).

November 15th, 2012 at 4:03 PM | We would be in top 14 (Score:3 Normal)
ILMichFan70
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Joined: 06/09/2011
MGoPoints: 506

We just pretty much need quite a few things to occur to make it happen as stated. I just think there are too many things that need to occur and go our way. We can only hope it works out that way. Would love back to back BCS bids.

November 15th, 2012 at 4:17 PM | Good points (Score:-1 Flamebait)
November 15th, 2012 at 3:56 PM | If my aunt had balls, she'd (Score:5 Normal)
FabFiver5
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Joined: 09/24/2008
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If my aunt had balls, she'd be my uncle.

"That's tremendous, Jim."
November 15th, 2012 at 4:04 PM | Hey! She's a nice lady! (Score:5 Normal)
Son of Lloyd Brady
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Joined: 07/15/2011
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NSFW (language)

University of Dayton Class of '13 // The Twitterz

Dual QB Statistical Analysis

November 15th, 2012 at 4:00 PM | Nice figurin'.  I don't think (Score:-1 Trolling)
November 15th, 2012 at 4:09 PM | You? (Score:4 Interesting)
OmarDontScare
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Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1495

You?

I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right?

November 15th, 2012 at 4:24 PM | He's a domer. (Score:4 Normal)
Indy Wolverine
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Joined: 07/28/2010
MGoPoints: 782

He's a domer.

November 15th, 2012 at 7:41 PM | Yes me.  Its not trolling, (Score:-1 Trolling)
November 15th, 2012 at 9:08 PM | How crazy is it being (Score:2)
Kaminski16
Kaminski16's picture
Joined: 09/07/2010
MGoPoints: 695

How crazy is it being relevant?

See it through.

November 15th, 2012 at 10:09 PM | Punch drunk bro.   Never (Score:-1 Trolling)
November 15th, 2012 at 10:10 PM | Don't get ahead of yourself. (Score:3 Normal)
WolvinLA2
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Joined: 11/13/2009
MGoPoints: 17719

Don't get ahead of yourself.

November 16th, 2012 at 3:36 PM | Believe me, I am not.  I am (Score:0)
November 16th, 2012 at 3:40 PM | Since you can't win a (Score:2)
WolvinLA2
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Joined: 11/13/2009
MGoPoints: 17719

Since you can't win a national title from there, I'm OK with that.

November 15th, 2012 at 10:08 PM | Go find another board (Score:2 Normal)
inthebluelot
Joined: 01/05/2010
MGoPoints: 89

Youre ruining this one like you do the scout board.

November 15th, 2012 at 10:16 PM | Oh come on.  My standards are (Score:-1 Trolling)
November 16th, 2012 at 5:35 PM | That's funny (Score:1)
inthebluelot
Joined: 01/05/2010
MGoPoints: 89

Because I've called you out there too. Of course, being an ND fan, selective memory is assumed and an inherent character flaw.

November 16th, 2012 at 11:57 PM | I have never, ever, set foot (Score:-1 Overrated)
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