Even if Michigan doesn't make the Rose Bowl, we could end up in the Fiesta Bowl. I know there is a lot of football to be played, but none of these things are even unlikely to happen.
1 Kansas State 10-0 Wins out, goes to NC.
2 Oregon 10-0 Wins out, goes to NC.
3 Notre Dame 10-0 Wins out, replaces Oregon in Rose Bowl.
4 Alabama 9-1 Wins out, goes to Sugar Bowl.
5 Georgia 9-1 1 will get BCS at large.
6 Florida 9-1 1 will get BCS at large.
7 LSU 8-2 1 will get BCS at large.
8 Texas A&M 8-2 1 will get BCS at large.
9 South Carolina 8-2 1 will get BCS at large.
10 Florida State 9-1 Wins out, goes to Orange Bowl.
11 Clemson 9-1 Loses to South Carolina, falls out of top 14.
12 Oklahoma 7-2 Plays OSU, Baylor, and WVU. Loses 1 and falls out of top 14.
13 Stanford 8-2 Loses to Oregon, falls out of top 14.
14 Nebraska 8-2 Wins out, goes to Rose Bowl, or loses to WI and falls out of top 14.
15 Texas 8-2 Loses to KSU.
16 Oregon State 7-2 Loses to Oregon.
17 UCLA 8-2 Either beats USC and loses to Oregon, or loses to USC and possibly Stanford.
18 USC 7-3 Same situation as UCLA.
19 Louisville 9-1 Wins out, goes to Orange Bowl as last BCS pick.
20 LA Tech 9-1 Wont climb high enough.
21 Michigan 7-3 If wins out, goes to Fiesta Bowl.
22 Rutgers 8-1 Loses to Louisville.
23 Texas Tech 7-3 Chance could win out and jump Michigan.
24 Ok. St. 6-3 Chance could win out and jump Michigan.
25 Washington 6-4 No one else matters.
Assuming that the Rose Bowl picks ND to replace Oregon. the Fiesta gets the next two picks. The will obviously take an SEC at large. No chance they take the Big East champ. That leaves another at large. There are rules in the BCS to prevent the Sugar Bowl from having to take Michigan to prevent a rematch, so the Fiesta takes Michigan and Sugar takes another choice, leaving FSU vs Big East in the Orange Bowl.