Who's most likely to pull off an upset in today's BTT action?

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March 9th, 2012 at 10:57 AM
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Moleskyn
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Joined: 06/28/2010
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Who's most likely to pull off an upset in today's BTT action?

Here are today's Big Ten Tourney matchups (all times EST):

(1)MSU vs. (8)Iowa - 12:00

(4)Wisconsin vs. (5)Indiana - 2:00

(2)UM vs. (10)Minnesota - 6:30

(3)OSU vs. (6)Purdue - 8:55

Here's an overview of how the regular season matchups went:

MSU crushed Iowa in the regular season (95-61) at home, but Iowa has shown they can be really tough.

Indiana and Wisconsin played each other once in the regular season, with Wisconsin winning 57-50 at home. This game is the obvious choice for most likely "upset" since both teams are pretty evenly matched. It'd hardly be an upset if Indiana wins, though.

Michigan beat Minnesota at home (61-56) in the regular season. Minnesota can be a tough team.

OSU and Purdue played once in the regular season, and Purdue gave OSU fits in Columbus, though the Buckeyes won 87-84.

So, which team do you think is most likely to pull off an upset?

Aside from Indiana (which, as I said, wouldn't really be an upset if they win), I think Purdue has the best chance to do it. They played OSU tough earlier in the year, they've got a go-to guy in Robbie Hummel, and they're coming off a good win over Nebraska last night.

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March 9th, 2012 at 10:58 AM | Agreed - IU wouldn't be an (Score:2 Normal)
707oxford
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Joined: 02/13/2012
MGoPoints: 693

Agreed - IU wouldn't be an upset.  Outside of that, Purdue probably has the best shot.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:01 AM | I vote Purdue (Score:1)
GoBlueMich02
Joined: 07/15/2009
MGoPoints: 70

But I was thinking about it today and I don't think i want to face LewJack again. I'd rather take our chances with OSU.

 

Anyone else agree?

March 9th, 2012 at 11:32 AM | Agree with you. (Score:1)
CasBMW
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Joined: 07/01/2011
MGoPoints: 78

Purdue. Iowa will get smashed unfortunately

March 9th, 2012 at 12:32 PM | iowa has a good coach. (Score:1)
michfan4borw
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Joined: 12/11/2009
MGoPoints: 711

His team will put up a good fight. I think every game actually will be close contests.

Every man at some point is gonna lose a battle. He's gonna fight and he's gonna lose. But what makes him a man, is that in the midst of that battle he does not lose himself. This game is not over, this battle is not over. So let's hear it .

March 9th, 2012 at 12:36 PM | Mich vs Purdue in season (Score:3 Normal)
TheTruth41
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Joined: 10/07/2010
MGoPoints: 303

I hated how Michigan was so soft with the switching on defense. It really allowed Purdue to get the mismatches they wanted on offense. I would have thought a Michigan zone could have done well as Purdue's pointguard is like 4'-11" and would have trouble with the over the top passes. He could be effective penetrating but I'd give them that over easy man to man switching.

I absolutely hated our defense against Purdue. That said I'd take them again as I'm sure we would adjust appropriately the next time around.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:04 AM | Iowa (Score:5 Normal)
tylers48
Joined: 01/11/2011
MGoPoints: 64

Iowa

March 9th, 2012 at 11:06 AM | Man (Score:2)
Blazefire
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Joined: 04/17/2009
MGoPoints: 15742

I wish.

"This is the EMU game, not the emo game."
March 9th, 2012 at 11:11 AM | Can't decide if I'd rather (Score:0 Normal)
March 9th, 2012 at 11:24 AM | Bow out (Score:3 Normal)
evenyoubrutus
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Joined: 11/04/2008
MGoPoints: 4737

Bow out

Not that I loved Rich Rod less, but that I loved Michigan more.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:05 AM | Your 2012 (Score:2 Normal)
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2795

Iowa Hawkeyes.

State is not great - They will fall by eight.

 

March 9th, 2012 at 12:14 PM | I think I love you (Score:1)
Stephen Hawking
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Joined: 10/23/2010
MGoPoints: 417

I think I love you

Someone told me that each equation I included in the book would halve the sales.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:34 PM | And.... (Score:1)
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2795

they can't contain Roy Devyn - he goin for 15 and 7.

Too much?  OK, I am not the greatest.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:37 PM | Ah screw it (Score:1)
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2795

All they got is Green and Nix - Appling only gettin 6.

That is all.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:45 PM | Is that their fate?  Don't (Score:1)
oriental andrew
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Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4555

Is that their fate?  Don't know if I can give your prediction too much weight.  Sadly, it's likely that State might skate. 

For my privacy, my new username is "non-Oriental non-Andrew"
 

March 9th, 2012 at 11:06 AM | IU (Score:2)
Mitch Cumstein
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Joined: 10/02/2009
MGoPoints: 9641

As said above, I wouldn't really consider it an upset tonight, but I could see them going to the final (which would be an upset).  

"A flute with no holes is not a flute. A donut with no hole is a danish"

March 9th, 2012 at 11:08 AM | Michigan. (Score:3 Normal)
M2 in A2
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Joined: 06/23/2011
MGoPoints: 154

Michigan.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:11 AM | In order of likelihood: (Score:2 Normal)
BiSB
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Joined: 08/15/2009
MGoPoints: 27921
  1. IU over Wisky: IU playing well, Bo Ryan sucks. I'd actually be more surprised if Wisconsin won.
  2. Purdue over Ohio: Purdue playing well, Ohio is soft
  3. Iowa over Sparty: Gatens can get hot, State w/o Dawson. Don't hold your breath though.
  4. Minnesota over Michigan: Michigan relies on shooting, and is therefore succeptible to cold streaks, and Minnesota is... nope, I've got nothing. Minnesota is bad.

They no longer call me Bisbiño

March 9th, 2012 at 11:14 AM | I (Score:3 Normal)
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2795

really cannot support Ohio being soft.  Certainly prone to mental lapses, some long term, but not soft.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:22 PM | Minnesota is not going to lie down (Score:2 Normal)
Bosch
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Joined: 04/03/2009
MGoPoints: 4281

Their record might convince you otherwise with a recent 6 game losing streak but 5 of those games were to the B1G's top 5 and the 6th was at Northwestern.  They had Sparty on the ropes a couple of weeks ago and probably should have won.  Not to mention Michigan only beat them by 5 in Ann Arbor.

I'm happy that we're facing the Gophers instead of Northwestern, but no one should be looking past them.

All right Lemmings. Bring the heat.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:42 PM | Not looking past them... (Score:2)
BiSB
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Joined: 08/15/2009
MGoPoints: 27921

But I'd say they are the least likely of the four lower seeds to win. You could make an argument for iowa against State, but with Dawson out I'd say the odds of State falling are SLIGHTLY greater (though neither is anywhere near as likely as an Indiana or Purdue win).

They no longer call me Bisbiño

March 9th, 2012 at 12:45 PM | IU playing well, Bo Ryan (Score:3 Funny)
jmblue
Joined: 11/07/2008
MGoPoints: 28976

IU playing well, Bo Ryan sucks.

Sarcasm?

March 9th, 2012 at 11:13 AM | What happened with the guy (Score:1)
2Blue4You
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Joined: 08/28/2008
MGoPoints: 387

What happened with the guy from Indiana?  He went down with a knee injury yesterday and it did not look good. 

March 9th, 2012 at 11:21 AM | Indiana's official stance (Score:3 Normal)
jhender85
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Joined: 10/25/2008
MGoPoints: 1389

Indiana's official stance right now is that it's a knee sprain.  However, with the way it actually looked as well as the way Tom Crean talked about in the postgame interview, it sounds like it may be worse.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:06 PM | A "torn" ACL is just a grade (Score:1)
upinback
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Joined: 09/22/2009
MGoPoints: 25

A "torn" ACL is just a grade 3 knee sprain, no?

March 9th, 2012 at 12:47 PM | Technically, you're (Score:2 Normal)
jhender85
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Joined: 10/25/2008
MGoPoints: 1389

Technically, you're absolutely correct.  A grade 1 sprain is in fact a microtear.  However, I've yet to see an injury report where grades are used.  I've always seen it as sprain, partial tear or torn ACL.  Then I again, I don't normally go out looking for injury reports. 

If it is in fact an acl tear, it would be a strategic move by Indiana to equivocate and just classify this as a sprain until the bracket seedings come out.

Edit: It seems I have a stalker who's immediately marking every single post I've made today as overrated.  To whoever you, thank you for the attention, it makes me feel special.  If it's just a coincidence that every single one of my posts as been marked overrated minutes after I've created it, I apologize to all for the seemingly crappy comments I've apparently made today.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:26 AM | Torn ACL (Score:2)
tylers48
Joined: 01/11/2011
MGoPoints: 64

Torn ACL

March 9th, 2012 at 11:18 AM | I think today we'll get an (Score:2 Normal)
jhender85
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Joined: 10/25/2008
MGoPoints: 1389

I think today we'll get an idea of it how deep and talented MSU's bench really is with Branden Dawson being out.  Depending on that, Iowa may have a shot.

However, realistically, I think Purdue is more likely to pull the upset.  But as odd as it sounds, at this point, if U of M can beat the Gophers, I'd rather go up against Ohio as it seems Purdue may have our number after doing what no other team could do to us in A2 this year.

Edit: Like many, I don't think IU over Wisconsin counts as an upset.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:19 AM | If i get a choice of (Score:2)
mGrowOld
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Joined: 10/04/2010
MGoPoints: 13180

If i get a choice of rematches I'd prefer the Boilermakers thank you very much.  We were 1-1 against both teams and OSU is WAY better than Purdue IMO.  Purdue simply caught us on a bad night (parental jitters perhaps) and it showed.  

But first....some Gopher stew.

 

 

March 9th, 2012 at 11:26 AM | Indiana is favored by 1 (Score:1)
g_reaper3
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Joined: 10/03/2010
MGoPoints: 863

While either way isnt really an upset, I think Indiana is the one that could be upset from a technical standpoint. 

Of the 3 games with more of a mismatch, I think in order of likelihood of being upset: Ohio, Michigan, State.

Go Blue!

March 9th, 2012 at 11:29 AM | Indiana (Score:2)
Maize and Blue in OH
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Joined: 10/01/2008
MGoPoints: 832

Indiana not much of an upset.  Purdue playing well now.  Both teams should have a loud and sizeable following at today's games which could carry them to wins.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:36 AM | Minnesota (Score:3 Normal)
BlueinLansing
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Joined: 09/01/2009
MGoPoints: 4200

I was at the UM/UM game in early January and if Minne could have shot the ball reasonably well they win that game easily.

Michigan's in for a battle today.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:44 AM | Along with their poor (Score:2)
MGoChippewa
Joined: 01/06/2011
MGoPoints: 583

Along with their poor shooting, Trey Burke had his best game (statistically) of the season to save our butts. 27 points on 8-11 shooting. I'm confident in our chances today, but I agree, Minnesota certainly shouldn't be looked past.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:53 AM | All I know is (Score:1)
ClearEyesFullHart
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Joined: 09/09/2011
MGoPoints: 807

All I know is, that moegocontest guy better not show his face today.  It would take some nerve after blatantly failing to produce a Big Ten Champions hat.  He has failed as my primary supplier of casualwear and as a human being.  In terms of redemption, I can only suggest Seppuku .  Lifetime boycott, I may even return some items I haven't worn.

Omnes i facere est vincere 
March 9th, 2012 at 11:58 AM | da*n you are a harda**; my missing cap (Score:2 Funny)
MGlobules
Joined: 11/17/2008
MGoPoints: 5165

is off to you, brutha. Some people all talk but you back it up. 

March 9th, 2012 at 12:08 PM | I'll do you one better (Score:1)
ClearEyesFullHart
ClearEyesFullHart's picture
Joined: 09/09/2011
MGoPoints: 807

I've got a couple kids on the way, and as long as they live under my roof(my God does that sound funny to my ears) they will abstain from any and all moegogoods and or services.

Omnes i facere est vincere 
March 9th, 2012 at 12:48 PM | A couple?? (Score:0 Overrated)
March 9th, 2012 at 1:01 PM | a COUPLE? you mean with different (Score:1)
MGlobules
Joined: 11/17/2008
MGoPoints: 5165

women and stuff? Like I said, you are a stud. 

My eight-year-old hasn't gone to sleep before 10 pm since she stopped taking naps at three years. Our friends talk about what they get up to after they put the kids to sleep and we gnash our teeth. 

March 9th, 2012 at 2:30 PM | Naw (Score:1)
ClearEyesFullHart
ClearEyesFullHart's picture
Joined: 09/09/2011
MGoPoints: 807

One woman, two babies.  I am the youngest of 11...genes may have had something to do with that.  Sorry if that ruins your image of me...I did marry up if that makes you feel better...

Omnes i facere est vincere 
March 9th, 2012 at 2:55 PM | best of luck; (Score:1)
MGlobules
Joined: 11/17/2008
MGoPoints: 5165

we were late in getting to the kid thing, and I always insisted one could lead a full, rich life without it, but my daughter has enriched my life no end. 

March 9th, 2012 at 11:55 AM | The biggest upset would by (Score:1)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12593

The biggest upset would by Iowa, but I think Purdue has the best chance.  I am also fearful of Minny because of their size; if NW had won, they would have felt they were in the tourney and maybe played with a little letdown.

March 9th, 2012 at 11:56 AM | I wouldn't be surprised if (Score:1)
bacon1431
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Joined: 07/26/2008
MGoPoints: 3291

I wouldn't be surprised if any of the upsets occur. Iowa has been playing well of late, Purdue is a decent team, Indiana and Wisconsin is a coin flip, and we've only seen Minnesota once so they could catch us off guard.

For a' that, an' a' that, 
Our toils obscure an' a' that, 
The rank is but the guinea's stamp, 
The man's the gowd for a' that. 
March 9th, 2012 at 11:56 AM | for some reason Purdue OSU piques (Score:1)
MGlobules
Joined: 11/17/2008
MGoPoints: 5165

my curiousity. OSU is a fragile bunch of egos held together by the world's ugliest coach, and Purdue is playing--and playing well right now--to extend Hummel's career.

MSU is a pretty one-dimensional team, too; they could be ripe fir the loss without Dawson.

 

March 9th, 2012 at 11:59 AM | All Rematches of 1 game conference series? (Score:1)
El Tigre
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Joined: 03/14/2011
MGoPoints: 552

It seems that all these games are the 2nd time this season that these two teams have played. 

If so I give the nod to the team that lost in the first game. 

March 9th, 2012 at 12:05 PM | an Iowa stunner!  (Score:1)
MichiganITtoWINit
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Joined: 01/27/2011
MGoPoints: 202

an Iowa stunner! 

"This is Michigan for God sakes" -Brady Hoke

March 9th, 2012 at 12:11 PM | Rooting for no upsets (Score:1)
VermontMichiganFan
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Joined: 02/23/2012
MGoPoints: 128

I'd rather have no upsets.  I think it's best for tournament preparation and seeding if we play OSU and MSU- although playing Indiana/Wisconsin instead of MSU wouldn't be too bad- but if we win today it'd be best to play OSU instead of Purdue IMO.

March 9th, 2012 at 1:03 PM | you obviously hail from the what doesn't kill me makes me strong (Score:1)
MGlobules
Joined: 11/17/2008
MGoPoints: 5165

school of tough love and shoeleathermaking. What doesn't kill me usually takes a lot out of ME. I'd rather just get wins myself. 

March 9th, 2012 at 12:11 PM | Hoosiers are favored by 1, so (Score:1)
upinback
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Joined: 09/22/2009
MGoPoints: 25

Hoosiers are favored by 1, so no, that would not be an upset. I like Purdue (playing in their backyard) to give the Bucks a good run today.

March 9th, 2012 at 12:38 PM | in that case I'll take the (Score:2)
Wisconsin Wolverine
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Joined: 05/18/2011
MGoPoints: 1571

in that case I'll take the Badgers for my most likely upset

March 9th, 2012 at 1:49 PM | I predicted yesterday night, (Score:1)
RickH
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Joined: 11/01/2009
MGoPoints: 948

I predicted yesterday night, before the Purdue/Nebraska game, that Purdue would beat Ohio State.  They're looking pretty damn good right now.

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