Week 9 BCS Rankings
Michigan comes in at #22 between 1 loss Boise St and 2 loss Texas.
Odd ranking is Oregon falling to #4. To me Oregon is clearly the #2 team in the nation. They run up the score 45-0 in the first half of just about every game and then put the backups in. Maybe they should play the starters for a full 3 quarters and run up the score a little more so the computers can be convinced.
Eventual Link: http://espn.go.com/college-football/rankings
October 21st, 2012 at 10:10 PM ^
This is what I came here to say. This is also a breath-takingly stupid rule. I mean I get not wanting to encourage Bret Bielemaing, but the idea that Ohio's win over Purde and ours (to take one example) represent equivalent accompishments or team quality is absurd. As Sargin says point spread is the only thing that actually matters in evaluating a team's quality.
October 21st, 2012 at 10:28 PM ^
I wonder if the rule is even necessary. I don't know how the other systems work but Massey discounts large spreads. You might see teams getting an advantage running up the score with a late TD in the final minute to win by 10 instead of 3, but you would gain very little running up the score in a blowout.
Basically and very roughly, what he does is determine the probability that you were actually no better than the other team but won by luck. Once you've demonstrated clear superiority you get full credit for the win, and that's all you get. 42-0 or 56-0, there's almost no difference.
October 21st, 2012 at 9:46 PM ^
October 21st, 2012 at 9:51 PM ^
This is why the 4 team Playoff is going to use a Selection Committee. Not everything is neatly programmable into a computer. A Selection Committee would see the merit of Oregon in a way that mere stats don't project.
October 21st, 2012 at 9:57 PM ^
matter to this team period. Its win the Big Ten or play in Orlando or Tampa
October 21st, 2012 at 10:00 PM ^
Not necessarily, if we win out and lose to WIsconsin in Indy there would be a really good chance that we'd be in the top 14 making us BCS eligible.
Edit: Wisconsin would also have to win out to make the BTCG a matchup between two highly ranked teams.
October 21st, 2012 at 9:58 PM ^
Polls don't matter.
The goal is to win the B1G Championship and beat ohio.
This Is MICHIGAN.
October 21st, 2012 at 10:07 PM ^
October 21st, 2012 at 10:12 PM ^
Please god no. That would be ugly. I think we'd stand a chance against USC/OSU(ntOSU)/Stanford, but Oregon would not be fun.
October 21st, 2012 at 10:13 PM ^
I do think Oregon should be #2, I think they're a better/more complete team than Florida and Kansas State, but by comparison to Florida and Kansas State, Oregon hasn't beaten anyone of any real substance yet. Granted, Oregon still has plenty of chances to beef up its resume when they play Stanford, USC and Oregon State, not to mention likely USC again in the championship game, but right now, Florida and KSU have played and beaten the tougher opponents.
I feel pretty good about Oregon making their way to #2, though. Florida will not beat Alabama in the championship game, and KSU, even if they go undefeated, doesn't have to play in a champuonship game. Here's to hoping Oregon stays undefeated. I have no desire to play them in the Rose Bowl, assuming we make it there.
October 21st, 2012 at 10:24 PM ^
If anyone but Bama or Oregon are in the title game, either hell has frozen over, or the NCAA has finally decided to open the blind eye it has turned toward the two schools (That would be the same thing I guess).
October 22nd, 2012 at 1:13 AM ^
This is their best team since Lou Holtz coached there because they have the capacity to keep other teams, perhaps even more talented teams, out of the end zone. Reminds me of the 2002 Ohio team.
October 21st, 2012 at 11:19 PM ^
He's right.
(let's not talk about how Alabama won a national championship despite not winning their conference championship)
October 21st, 2012 at 10:45 PM ^
What's everyone's thoughts on Ohio the University's bowl placements if they run the table. They have a nice non-conference win @ Penn St.
October 21st, 2012 at 11:08 PM ^
Little Caesar's Bowl against a 6-6 B1G team. If they lose more than one game or lose badly to Kent State, they'll be in the godaddy bowl against the #2 team from the Sun Belt (WKU?)
Even if they run the table convincingly there's no way they can qualify for a BCS bowl. Despite playing Penn State they're 173rd in strength of schedule at Sagarin. Think about that for a minute...there are only 124 FBS teams.
October 22nd, 2012 at 9:28 AM ^
October 22nd, 2012 at 10:15 AM ^
77. For context, that's worse than any B1G team (Penn St. is 71)--it would be a typical ACC schedule.
Teams in the BCS top 25 with worse SOS than Boise:
- Florida St. 96
- Rutgers 98
- Louisville 105
- Mississippi St. 119
- Ohio 173
Whoever Ohio plays in a bowl, they'll likely be an underdog. The only B1G team Sagarin or Massey would favor them against is Illinois. Illinois's not going to a bowl.
That's if OU goes to a bowl at all. It's maybe also worth noting that the Sagarin predictor currently has them sixth-best in the MAC. They've struggled lately against, really, really bad teams (like UMass).
October 21st, 2012 at 10:48 PM ^
Oregon should be ranked #2, but I can see the argument for Florida, they've been beating everyone put in front of them. They topped LSU which I didn't expect and then made South Carolina look really bad. I knew when UF hired Muschamp, that it was a good hire, but his second season is making this look like the second best coaching hire in that time frame. The first being Dave Brandon's hiring of Brady Hoke!