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Way too Early Spread but since it's Rivalry Week what would you predict the spread to be?

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:43 PM
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WingsNWolverines
WingsNWolverines's picture
Joined: 04/27/2011
MGoPoints: 105
Way too Early Spread but since it's Rivalry Week what would you predict the spread to be?

If you had to make a guess on the spread for next week over and under wise what would you say? I'm making a bet with a friend of mine. Not much is on the line but I'd like to be more prepared than him.

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

Michigan Blue 2008 block M hockey jersey still for sale for 50.00. FREE S/H

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:45 PM | OSU -3, because of their (Score:5 Normal)
RonZeroFez
RonZeroFez's picture
Joined: 12/13/2011
MGoPoints: 168

OSU -3, because of their homefield advantage.  We're winning, though.

If you don't ride a camel, you ain't shi'ite.

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:45 PM | OSU favored by 3 to 5 points (Score:3 Normal)
FreeKarl
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Joined: 11/16/2012
MGoPoints: 196

OSU favored by 3 to 5 points

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:48 PM | Probably Ohio -7.5, O/U (Score:3 Normal)
DIABEETUS
DIABEETUS's picture
Joined: 09/29/2009
MGoPoints: 2311

Probably Ohio -7.5, O/U ~50.

That said, BEAT OHIO

EDIT: I expect the spread to open around here, but I can't even gues where it will end up. Our spreads this season have made it seem like Vegas likes us, a lot.

Michigan: 903–315–36 (Best in NCAA)
vs Ohio State: 58-44-6
vs Notre Dame: 23-16-1
vs MSU:  68-32-5
vs B1G: 522-197-24
vs SEC:  20-8-1
vs PAC 12: 48-24-1
vs Big 12: 10-5-1<

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November 17th, 2012 at 10:35 PM | I'm with diabeetus (Score:1)
quiverfull
Joined: 12/21/2011
MGoPoints: 531

with the spread, and if we can somehow keep braxton miller from tearing our hearts out on third downs, we have a real shot at beating ohio.  

Quiverfull

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:46 PM | I'd bet it starts off high (Score:3 Normal)
JT4104
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Joined: 10/25/2008
MGoPoints: 1929

I'd bet it starts off high and comes down, I wouldn't be surprised to see OSU -9 or so to start and it ends up around 5 by kick off.

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:51 PM | I'd say you're right but I have Michigan winning with a margin (Score:3 Normal)
WingsNWolverines
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Joined: 04/27/2011
MGoPoints: 105

3 to 6 point victory.

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

Michigan Blue 2008 block M hockey jersey still for sale for 50.00. FREE S/H

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November 17th, 2012 at 10:36 PM | If it starts on either side of 7 (Score:1)
Nick
Nick's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 977

It will NOT move to the other side. Extremely hard to move through 7

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:48 PM | OSU 6.5 favorite. O/U 48 (Score:3 Normal)
NFG
NFG's picture
Joined: 04/24/2012
MGoPoints: 2159

OSU 6.5 favorite. O/U 48 points

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:50 PM | osu @ exactly 7. and it won't (Score:2 Normal)
loosekanen
Joined: 10/03/2009
MGoPoints: 547

osu @ exactly 7. and it won't move more than a half point either direction.

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:51 PM | OSU at -6.5. Move to -4.5 by (Score:3 Normal)
Sen. ClayDavis
Sen. ClayDavis's picture
Joined: 04/22/2009
MGoPoints: 740

OSU at -6.5. Move to -4.5 by KO.

Shiiiiiiiiiiiiieeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeet

 

 

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:53 PM | I think it gets down to about four. (Score:1)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10880

I'd put the O/U at maybe 57.5 or so.

Go Blue!

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:54 PM | I'd guess that at game time OSU will be favored by 5 (Score:0 Flamebait)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19220

which they will cover.


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November 17th, 2012 at 9:37 PM | Maybe the betting world won't notice (Score:2)
Muttley
Muttley's picture
Joined: 07/07/2009
MGoPoints: 4599

but until Gardner's INT, we were perfect on offense, scoring a TD on long drives on every possession.

I'm actually feeling better about our offense than our defense heading into The Game.  Who woulda thought that after the Nebraska game?

 

 

 

Michigan Drive Summaries

START QTR POSS. YARD PLAYS YARDS RESULT
13:08 1 04:41 MICH 30 12 70 Rushing Touchdown
01:44 1 03:39 MICH 21 7 79 Passing Touchdown
09:26 2 04:06 MICH 25 8 75 Rushing Touchdown
02:53 2 02:13 MICH 13 7 87 Passing Touchdown
15:00 3 06:19 MICH 19 11 81 Rushing Touchdown
07:18 3 02:45 MICH 40 6 60 Passing Touchdown
02:57 3 03:42 MICH 23 7 45 Interception
08:11 4 02:17 MICH 7 3 9 Punt
00:41 4 00:41 MICH 36 1 -2 End of Half

While it was against a 4-6 Iowa squad, I can't remember any game that we scored touchdowns on every possession through the end of the third quarter.  (The INT occurred in  the 4th qtr).

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November 18th, 2012 at 12:28 AM | God... (Score:2)
BoilerBlue
BoilerBlue's picture
Joined: 11/11/2012
MGoPoints: 30

That drive chart is sexy.  You mind if I borrow it for a moment?  ;)

Parents are U of M grads.  Earned my BS at Purdue.  Both the fight songs I know by heart start with Hail.

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:55 PM | Computer consensus seems to (Score:1)
Yeoman
Joined: 06/08/2011
MGoPoints: 2247

Computer consensus seems to be OSU -4, o/u around 58 or so.

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November 17th, 2012 at 8:58 PM | I'd guess OSU -6.5 and o/u at (Score:3 Normal)
bluetell
bluetell's picture
Joined: 07/03/2008
MGoPoints: 4770

I'd guess OSU -6.5 and o/u at around 55

Rudy watches inspirational movies about Shawn Hunwick

 

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:01 PM | So overall right now how is everyone's feelings about next (Score:1)
WingsNWolverines
WingsNWolverines's picture
Joined: 04/27/2011
MGoPoints: 105

Saturday? With Fitz done it's a blow to our running game. He seemed to be finally getting back in his groove. Damn fate. Do you still have confidence we can knock off Ohio St or has Fitz's injury killed your moral? Or are you 50/50?

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

Michigan Blue 2008 block M hockey jersey still for sale for 50.00. FREE S/H

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:03 PM | Watching the tsio game this (Score:1)
SC Wolverine
SC Wolverine's picture
Joined: 08/18/2010
MGoPoints: 1511

Watching the tsio game this afternoon, I don't know if I've ever seen a more beatable 11-0 team.  We can beat them.  On the road.

 

"Football is happening at Michigan... we have that savoir faire."  Dhani Jones

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:11 PM | He can be replaced by our (Score:3 Normal)
FreeKarl
FreeKarl's picture
Joined: 11/16/2012
MGoPoints: 196

He can be replaced by our little known new RB/Slot Receiver/Gadget Play Expert Denard Robinson

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:01 PM | My Own Guess... (Score:2)
LSAClassOf2000
LSAClassOf2000's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8749

If you went by the most current Sagarin numbers (which will be updated tomorrow, of course), then there is literally less than a 1 point gap in the "Rating" and "Predictor" numbers for Ohio State and Michigan. By virtue of the model, it means that the Buckeyes, right now, would be favored by an FG, and with a convincing Michigan win and a Buckeye win in OT today, that may not change too much by tomorrow afternoon  when these are updated. I expect Vegas might open with a line similar to that. 

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:02 PM | OU -7.5 (Score:1)
YoOoBoMoLloRoHo
YoOoBoMoLloRoHo's picture
Joined: 11/01/2012
MGoPoints: 1002

Home field advantage and Vegas likes Urbie

"Everybody wants to be a hero, so to speak.  But it takes everybody."  - Charles Woodson

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:04 PM | I think we win (Score:1)
MaizeRage89
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Joined: 05/04/2009
MGoPoints: 551

By 10! Final score 24-14 good guys

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:08 PM | I've got a prediction close to that (Score:1)
WingsNWolverines
WingsNWolverines's picture
Joined: 04/27/2011
MGoPoints: 105

but since it's home field for Ohio St I have a 28-24 or 27-21 game. I don't see this being a blow out. Unless we come out and roll on them like we did against Purdue.

We hate Michigan State. We don't like Penn State too. We don't care for Minnesota, Wisconsin or Notre Dame but we all hate O-S-U.

Michigan Blue 2008 block M hockey jersey still for sale for 50.00. FREE S/H

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:10 PM | My name is k1400, and I (Score:1)
k1400
k1400's picture
Joined: 06/30/2011
MGoPoints: 393

My name is k1400, and I approve of your avatar.

Line: OSU -4.5

O/U:  49

I will fight 'til I am dead, a winged helmet on my head.

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:22 PM | Anyone remember 1993? (Score:0 Trolling)
Muttley
Muttley's picture
Joined: 07/07/2009
MGoPoints: 4599

Unranked Michigan went into the game against undefeated tOSU as a one point favorite.

I thought that was way off and ridiculous.  Turns out I was right.

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:34 PM | I think it'll probably be (Score:1)
Newbs
Joined: 10/15/2012
MGoPoints: 181

I think it'll probably be about OSU -3 or so by the time kick off gets here. I actually feel pretty confident on both sides of the ball. I know we struggled with AFA and NW but I just have a feeling Mattison will be able to dial something up for Braxton. I'm going to say Michigan 35-28 on a late Touchdown pass from Devin to Roy.

WOLVERINE NATION!

Twitter: @MckenzieNewby

 

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:45 PM | (No subject) (Score:1 Normal)
Professor X
Professor X's picture
Joined: 11/20/2011
MGoPoints: 149

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November 17th, 2012 at 9:51 PM | HA (Score:3 Normal)
ISMELLSEXY
ISMELLSEXY's picture
Joined: 11/04/2009
MGoPoints: 461

.......HA!!!!!

Michigan National Champs: 1901-1904 1918 1923 1932 1933 1947 1948 1997 

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November 17th, 2012 at 11:01 PM | I can't (Score:2)
blue_kate
blue_kate's picture
Joined: 08/21/2012
MGoPoints: 97

stop watching it

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November 17th, 2012 at 10:30 PM | OSU giving 6 1/2 (Score:1)
matty blue
matty blue's picture
Joined: 08/01/2008
MGoPoints: 377

take the points

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November 17th, 2012 at 10:58 PM | My guess (Score:1)
langkyl
Joined: 08/13/2009
MGoPoints: 85

OSU -11.5

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November 17th, 2012 at 11:01 PM | I think (Score:2)
blue_kate
blue_kate's picture
Joined: 08/21/2012
MGoPoints: 97

OSU -10

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November 17th, 2012 at 11:26 PM | guesstimate (Score:2)
PitchAndCatch
PitchAndCatch's picture
Joined: 10/17/2009
MGoPoints: 1244

I'm going to guess OSU will be favored by 6, maybe 7.

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November 17th, 2012 at 11:40 PM | -10. TD favorite plus the 3 (Score:1)
MGoClimb
MGoClimb's picture
Joined: 07/31/2012
MGoPoints: 314

-10. TD favorite plus the 3 for being the home team.

Full disclosure:  I know nothing about these things.  I'm guessing.

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November 18th, 2012 at 1:22 AM | 10 (Score:1)
Hugh Jass
Hugh Jass's picture
Joined: 01/03/2011
MGoPoints: 719

10

If someone ever invented a low fat vitamin - filled vegetable that tasted like fudge covered Rice Krispies treats - I'd probably eat better

 

 

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November 18th, 2012 at 1:34 AM | I think by game time (Score:1)
San Diego Mick
Joined: 05/11/2011
MGoPoints: 1558

it will be ohio -4 1/2 with an O/U of 48

The game might be high scoring but you have to remember that this is a rivalry game and many times the defense steps up in those battles

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November 18th, 2012 at 3:33 AM | OSU -10.5. I really don't see (Score:1)
maizenbluedevil
maizenbluedevil's picture
Joined: 09/12/2008
MGoPoints: 2602

OSU -10.5.

I really don't see us winning this one.  I would be shocked, in fact.

 

CJK5H

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November 18th, 2012 at 8:54 AM | My own math (Score:1)
ScottGoBlue
Joined: 06/02/2009
MGoPoints: 150

Based on scoring averages, I'm predicting the experts will say OSU -4 for the spread and a final score of 31-27 OSU.

But we have the best QB they've faced all year, and they've narrowly escaped several games.  Their luck will run out.  Devin and Denard steal the show.  M 35-28 ...

BEAT OHIO!

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