I was going to post this on about 15 different threads but honestly its a mistake I see often enough on this board that I wanted it to be in a separate topic (obviously there are going to be people who dont feel like this post is worth its own thread).
I'd like to call attention to the various threads all talking about how we are favored the next two games and underdogs the last two, thus deducing that we'll finish 7-5. Is this possible? Sure. But to say we're favorites against Illinois is ridiculous.
Vegas lines are set to induce betting on both sides, not based on what the Vegas oddsmakers actually think will happen. Conclusion: Michigan has a stronger/larger fanbase that are willing to bet on Michigan than Illinois does despite the circumstances. Also, Denard is flashy and makes highlight reels, so casual fans who like to bet will probably tend toward Michigan especially in a home game because they remember Denard and don't know anybody from Illinois. Thus, Vegas sets Michigan as the favorite in order to induce betting on Illinois from people unaffiliated with either school or simply casual college football fans.
Reality, on the other hand, says that Illinois beat Penn State by 20. We lost to Penn State by 17 (easy TD for them at the end if they didn't kneel). We are not favorites. We can win, sure, but it would be an upset despite the Vegas line.
Please please please stop assuming we're going to finished 7-5. That's a silly assumption. At this point it looks like 6-6 but again anything can happen. We could finish 9-3 even, but it would take luck. I just dont want to see a bunch of people outraged on these boards on Saturday night if we lose to Illinois. Cheer on the team but don't act as if it is an upset if we lose to Illinois. Make no mistake -- we are the underdog.