UM/FSU pre game thoughts?
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:11 PM ^
Seems more like it.... Get in on that VCU game at 3....
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:10 PM ^
18.5 seems way too high... something fishy there. Michigan was only favored by 14 over LB. However, MSU is favored by 15 over VT...
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:50 PM ^
The mean margin according to Massey is 6 points, with a median predicted score of 72-66 Michigan and 71% for the estimated win probability. TeamRankings has pretty similar numbers as well, going with 69% for the win probability.
Actually, on the Massey site, it is sort of interesting to play with the predicted curves on this game. Our probability of scoring at least 80 points would be about 20%, whereas for FSU it would be less than 10% predicted.
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:16 PM ^
Under Hamilton I've never thought of FSU as a run and gun team that tries to force a fast pace. More along the lines of a hard nosed defensive team that runs when the opportunities to do so are there. I haven't seen them this year so maybe they changed it up or they might have just been getting up and down the floor more due to VCU pushing the pace.
November 22nd, 2013 at 1:14 PM ^
Remind me of a Tom Izzo team. Play aggressive defense, crash the offensive glass and run, run, run
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:36 PM ^
This version of Michigan isn't ready to beat FSU quite yet. But they will be in March, when it matters.
November 22nd, 2013 at 1:28 PM ^
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:43 PM ^
If there isn't one fan with a DNA sign then we've lost a step as a fan base and as a society in general. I don't care if it is a completely different team.
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:44 PM ^
Too much fear. Chill out, OP.
November 22nd, 2013 at 12:46 PM ^
November 22nd, 2013 at 1:34 PM ^
The fact FSU dismantled VCU doesn't faze me. VCU's scheme is such that if you have the type of team that can break their D, you're in for a big payday as VCU not just loses the ability to stop you, but also the basis for their offense. FSU figured VCU out, that's all. Just because they're built in such a way that they can break up one team's scheme, doesn't imply you are a good team that can stop most others.
I don't know enough about FSU to predict how we will fare against them, but I do know that their easy double digit win against the #10 team in the country is not as impressive as it would seem.
November 22nd, 2013 at 2:42 PM ^
November 22nd, 2013 at 3:10 PM ^
FSU always seemed to give UNC, Duke issues in the past every now and then, that's why I worry about them. They are in a tough conference and always seem to be on the cusp of being top 25. Guess we will find out later, I'm intrigued by FSU matching up against us. I see them not letting us jack up 3s easily and put rebounding us, I feared Iowa state more for them being home but FSU can get ran over or run on us depending on how smart we are.
November 22nd, 2013 at 1:38 PM ^
Am quite familiar with FSU over the years, since I've followed ACC basketball since the 80s.
Under Leonard Hamilton they've never been a "run and gun" type. They've stressed athleticism, length, rebounding, and defense.
Last year they averaged 67 ppg, good for 186th. In 2011-12, they averaged 69.9 ppg, good for 124th. In 2010-11, they averaged 69.3 ppg, good for 154th. In 2009-10, they averaged 68.5 ppg, good for 186th. in 2008-09, they averaged...yes, you guessed it; 68.6 ppg, good for 155th.
You get the picture; a run and gun team they are not. But they will disrupt the timing of teams with their physical style of basketball.
November 22nd, 2013 at 3:02 PM ^
November 22nd, 2013 at 1:49 PM ^