UM opens -14 vs Oregon State

Submitted by Bigku22 on

Michigan opened up a 14 point favorite vs Oregon State for Saturday. The line quickly shot up to -15.5 within an hour, but has since came back down to 14. 

I think there is some value with UM here. Coming off a very public loss, against an undervalued Utah team. Oregon State will be starting a true freshman QB on the road, in Harbaugh's first home game, with a terrible defense, coming off an underwhelming performance against Weber State (final score doesn't show how much they struggled, which helps keep this line down). 

I think this line should be close to 17, and I wouldn't be surprised if it gets there. Small wager on UM at 14. 

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Braylon_Edward…

September 6th, 2015 at 10:08 PM ^

Can't start a thread right now, and not entirely sure if it's thread worthy (it is IMO) but it seems as if Kenny Allen and Dan Liesman have been awarded scholarships. Mo Hurst tweeted it, they both thanked him. Cool stuff.

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Jamezz23

September 6th, 2015 at 10:12 PM ^

If we learn to not turn the ball over, and get a decent running game going we will be just fine, not just this game but in all of them. We hit that one big play to chessen and don't throw that pick 6 I think we could have come out with a win in Utah. I bet we see a better team every time they take the field, that's what I'm looking forward to

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champswest

September 6th, 2015 at 10:36 PM ^

How big of a game is this for Michigan? Is this a must win? What will happen if we start 0-2? I fully expect us to win, but I also thought that we would beat App. State, Toledo and Rutgers. This is not just a needed win, we need to win big.

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schreibee

September 6th, 2015 at 11:06 PM ^

In Harbaugh I trust, without question or doubt...

Howeva- it's seems like it's been a long time since we beat a Power-5 team by 2 TD. I'd say forever, but that's just the ol' Michigan "I only remember the Bad Stuff" talking.

Seriously tho - for those who keep accurate records or are true gambling addicts - when WAS the last time we beat a major conference team by 14+ pts?

Guess what my gut is saying is take the 14

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Mr. Yost

September 7th, 2015 at 9:21 AM ^

IMO, we have to do more than just win. We have to play well and control the game.

Please just win works for Utah, MSU and OSU...maybe BYU and Minnesota.

But for this game, we have to do more.

That's like the Hoke vs. UConn game, you have to do more than just win, we should've destroyed them. We barely "just win" and it was a clear indicator that the season was toast because we were awful (by our standards) despite the win.

If we beat Oregon St. something like 10-7 in an ugly game with no passing or running game, it'll hurt. It'll hurt big time. Because we'll be the same .500 team.

If we control the game and execute and play well, I'll have hope for UNLV, do the same versus them and we'll know that this team is turning the corner THIS season. Cap off the non-conference with a big win over BYU and hello, we may have something. 9-3 won't be so farfetched.

It all starts with these non-conference games.

Also, remember that we have 2 extra days to prepare for Oregon St. - so if we look like shit, eeeek.

Let's go dominate the football game. It doesn't need to be 76-3, but we need to be in control from beginning to end.

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WolverineHistorian

September 7th, 2015 at 11:56 AM ^

We had a ton of games like that under RichRod and Hoke. 42-37 over UMass, 42-35 over Indiana, 67-65 over Illinois, 28-24 over Akron, 24-21 over UConn, the Northwestern game the last two years, etc.

Yeah, they're wins. But you still feel like hell afterwards because you know your team is awful.

I'm with you. A 42-14 type win would feel good this week.



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DHughes5218

September 7th, 2015 at 12:10 AM ^

They say with good coaching the most improvement comes between week one and week two. We should easily cover the spread based on that and the points the op made. It would've been nice to open with oregon state and then played utah. The outcome may have been different.

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enlightenedbum

September 7th, 2015 at 12:28 AM ^

1) It's entirely possible it's a meaningless cliche from sports journalism.  There are lots of them, after all.

2) If it is a real thing, then it's probably because game action is very much different from practice and you can really emphasize why the stuff you're talking about is important and you see who is actually good.

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gwkrlghl

September 7th, 2015 at 2:18 AM ^

Pretty tempting to take Michigan on that one. I suspect a) we'll look a lot better at home and b) Oregon State is one of the worst Big 5 teams this year

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Hannibal.

September 7th, 2015 at 11:19 AM ^

If we can't cover 14 points then it is officially time to panic.  Oregon State is in full-on rebuilding mode.  They are trasnitioning to a spread and starting a 2* true freshman QB.  It's like a poor man's version of the 2008 RichRod team.  If we struggle in this game then a bowl game is in doubt. 

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UMgradMSUdad

September 8th, 2015 at 7:46 AM ^

He's a low 3 star according to two of the services, a high 2 star in another.   But, yeah, OSU finally was able to get a few big plays in late in the game against a really bad FCS school whose defensive starters were sucking wind at that point. The rest of your comment is spot on.

 

 

 

 

 

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LV Sports Bettor

September 7th, 2015 at 3:21 PM ^

when the expected total is so low like this it is here.

If Oregon State is somehow able to score 20 points then you'd need 35+ points or so to cover this spread.

I'm extremely optimistic about Michigan football this season but even getting to 30 points scored in game right now seems tough so the margin of error in this one does feel small.



 

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