Line update: The point spread for Saturday's game has already started sliding toward even: Sparty is down to a 2 point favorite.
http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/line-movemen...
OT: Was a torrent added to
http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/t
http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/torrent-michigan-northwestern-720p
University of Tom Brady, B.A. '10; University of Peyton Manning, J.D. '13.
Gee and Gee Whiz?
Geezus, it will be even by Saturday!
Those Vegas folks are still getting over
their hangovers from this weekend. Once they sober up, we'll be the favorites.
Yep, that's Simba made out of a pineapple.
With the typical 3-point home
With the typical 3-point home advantage, that would mean we win straight up. I'll take it.
but the game is in east
but the game is in east lansing and not straight up...so why would you discount the home field advantage? sry but if we lose by 2, im not gonna be satisfied by the assertion that we would have won on a neutral site
I'm saying that if you add in
I'm saying that if you add in Vegas' 3-point home advantage, Vegas expects us to win by one without any odds.
I get what you're saying, but
I get what you're saying, but that's nothing more than a moral victory since the game is at MSU.
Let's say you and I get in a fight and Vegas lists you as a better fighter by 5 points. However, a knife is worth 10 points, and I have one and you don't. Now, you could get happy that Vegas has you as the better fighter straight up, but in reality that doesn't matter because in this fight, I have the knife, so now I'm favored. If I use the knife to my advatage and win, nothing else matters.
If MSU "uses" their homefield advantage and wins by 1, it does us no good to say we would have won at home or on a neutral site.
EL doesn't give them much of an advantage in this series
they've beat us there once in the last dcade, and that was the overtime game against Freshman Tate playing in his first road game
Every time an MGoBoard poster complains about a thread topic, God kills a baby panda.
You're right. There was that
You're right. There was that one time when we, like the great big brothers that we are, let the little tikes get one last try in after the game was over to make them feel better about themselves. Then they went around telling everyone they had won the game. We let them have that one though, because that's what good big brothers do. They let the little guy win one every once in a while.
Not that I loved Rich Rod less, but that I loved Michigan more.
doublt post
double post
1.5 now. Get it while the
1.5 now. Get it while the gettin' is good.
Yep, just checked and
Yep, just checked and lowering to MSU - 1.5
Hmm.
People buying Wolverines
HAIL.
They haven't swapped. We
They haven't swapped. We went from being a 3-point underdog to a 2-point underdog.
You'd think
That with BrickTop as a handle you would have seen this sort of thing before . . .
Not Surprised
Michigan covered against Western Michigan*, Notre Dame, SDSU, Minnesota, and Northwestern, and came within a point of covering a BIG spread against Eastern.
*Yeah, the Western game didn't count in Vegas. But they were about to score to go up 17 ATS. So yeah.
This scares me
The fact that the line is dropping means all the money is coming in on Michigan. They are dropping the line to even it out and to get some money on Sparty. I will not be surprised if it's Even or Michigan -1 on Saturday. I just get nervous when all of the money is coming in on one team. Vegas is in it to make money and the casinos usually win.
THis^^^^
But even with the initial line it was essentially a pickem.
Sure, the casinos usually
Sure, the casinos usually win, but the way the line moves is telling. Most of the betters in Vegas know their stuff, and if they're putting their money on Michigan, that's a good thing.
I'm
not sure it's true that 'most betters know their stuff'. Not only that, its not the pro betters that cause the line to move. For a team like Michigan, they get a lot of joe public money because, well, this is Michigan.
Michigan gets a lot more joe
Michigan gets a lot more joe public money than a lot of other schools, but that's really not a big enough chunk of the betting pool to swing the line too much. Sports betting wouldn't be near as big as it is if it relied on people betting on their favorite team.
The casino doesn't make it's
The casino doesn't make it's money on bets period, it makes it's money on the juice. The line moving is, as you correctly stated, their way of getting as much action on the game as possible. It really doesn't have as much to do with coercing bettors to play on one side or the other, as it does to increase overall action on the game, thus increasing their vig. Ideally for them, the casino starts the game with equal bets on both sides and walks away with their cash without a care on the actual outcome of the game.
Bodog has MSU -1.0
As of 10:23PM eastern time, October 11th, Bodog has the line down to -1.0 MSU!
http://bodognetline.usatoday.com/odds/NCAAF/
- Greymarch
I write about Michigan sports at my website.
http://www.greymarch.com
NVM
Michigan FB, Michigan BB, Michigan HKY, 49ers, SF Giants, Sac Kings, Red Wings