The sports betting service Bovada puts Utah’s Trey Burke as the preseason leader (4/1) for the race, which makes sense given the voters’ preference for players who put up big scoring numbers immediately and the consistent opportunity Burke is likely to get with the Jazz.http://nba.si.com/2013/07/05/trey-burke-nba-rookie-of-the-year-2014/?sct...
Trey Burke Favorite to Win 2014 NBA Rookie of the Year
Not Caldwell-Pope?entavious Caldwell-Popetaous Caldwell-Pope
...this sucks. Why did the Pistons pass on him again?
If I calculated correctly, then the top five (with implied probability and US odds) at least would then be:
Trey Burke 4/1 (implied probability is 20%, +400)
Victor Oladipo 11/2 (implied probability is 15.38%, +550)
C.J. McCollum 15/2 (implied probability is 11.76%, +750)
Otto Porter 15/2 (implied probability is 11.76%, +750)
Michael Carter-Williams 9/1 (implied probability is 10%, +900)
Because if some guy says its gonna happen, it must be true. These predictions mean less than nothing.
...but in this case, there's money involved, so I trust that people are taking it seriously. However, regardless of that, they are saying there is a 20% probability of it happening, which means they are also saying there is an 80% probability of it not happening.
In other words, I'm not sure what your point is.
Sports betting markets are probably the most accurate you're going to get. Considering the amount of money that goes into these things, Vegas can't afford to be wrong.
Good luck to him. I continue to think he'd have been the wrong fit for the Pistons.
If Trey was here, in detroit, he wouldn't be the favorite. So we, the fans, need to quit complaining about the Pistons passing when their passing actually was a great thing for Trey...