Top Winning %s NCAA Football Last 30, 20, 10 Years

Submitted by alum96 on

There were some interesting comments in the "best coaching jobs" thread - specially for how Oklahoma is not an elite job - that had me scratching my head.  Considering the Switzer to Stoops era was conceptually one of the best off the top of my head I could think of (i.e. top 5) for 40ish year I am not sure where this viewpoint was coming from.  At first I thought maybe younger guys dont remember how dominant Oklahoma used to be, but considering Stoops has the same winning % as Bo did ....in an era with scholarship reductions and far more parity, that didn't make sense.  Maybe an 80% win % is just not that impressive to some.  Switzer was even more dominant (albeit with some wink wink stuff going on).  Anyhow I digress a bit but how someone doesn't think OK is one of the top 7-8 jobs in the country is beyond me.  It's not an academic ranking - its damn football, and Oklahoma is and has been a bad ass program for decades.

Anyhow that thread led me to take a look back at the top program winning %s by in 3 time frames.  While the headline says 30, 20 and 10 years it's technically 31, 21, and 11 years (1984, 1994 and 2004 to 2014).  I tried to focus on P5 conferences but did add in TCU and Utah which spent most of this time outside the P5 - I also included Louisville which was in various conferences.  Former Big East conference members were difficult to figure out since things changed so often there but this should cover the major players.  So you have your Louisvilles, West VAs, VA Techs etc.  I did include BYU over 30 years but excluded them in the 10 and 20 due to error.

This data also doesnt penalize for sanctions.

Some interesting data:

1984-2014 (31 years)

  Team %
1 FSU 77.95%
2 Nebraska 76.21%
3 OSU 75.93%
4 Miami  74.21%
5 UF 73.51%
6 OK 73.06%
7 UM 70.10%
8 Auburn 69.16%
9 PSU 69.10%
10 GA 68.75%
11 TN 68.23%
12 BYU 67.93%
13 Bama 67.80%
14 USC 67.61%
15 TX 67.41%
16 LSU 67.11%
17 Va Tech 66.97%
18 Oregon 66.76%
19 A&M 65.97%
20 ND 65.70%
21 Clemson 65.40%
22 WVA 62.40%
23 Utah 61.34%
24 TCU 60.08%
25 UCLA 59.97%
26 Wiscy 59.92%
27 Iowa 59.74%
28 GA Tech 58.05%
29 WA 58.00%
30 Ark 57.85%

 

1994-2014 (21 years)

  Team %
1 OSU 79.38%
2 FSU 75.87%
3 UF 74.54%
4 Neb 73.90%
5 Oregon 73.59%
6 VA Tech 73.33%
7 Texas 72.58%
8 Oklahoma 71.12%
9 LSU 71.11%
10 GA 70.87%
11 USC 70.12%
12 Wiscy 69.07%
13 Miami 68.34%
14 TCU 68.09%
15 Bama 67.89%
16 KSU 67.30%
17 UM 67.18%
18 Auburn 67.11%
19 PSU 67.05%
20 Utah 66.93%
21 TN 65.78%
22 Louisville 63.04%
23 WVA 62.31%
24 Clemson 62.21%
25 ND 61.58%
26 A&M 61.49%
27 Texas Tech 60.92%
28 GA Tech 59.25%
29 Iowa 57.17%
30 MSU 57.12%

 

2004-2014 (11 years)

  Team %
1 OSU 80.92%
2 LSU 77.78%
3 Oregon 77.62%
4 Oklahoma 77.40%
5 USC 75.97%
6 TCU 75.54%
7 Bama 74.19%
8 Texas 73.94%
9 Wiscy 73.79%
10 GA 72.22%
11 VA Tech 72.11%
12 UF 71.13%
13 Auburn 70.42%
14 FSU 69.40%
15 Utah 69.07%
16 WVA 68.57%
17 Louisville 67.39%
18 Missouri 67.13%
19 PSU 66.91%
20 Clemson 66.90%
21 Nebraska 65.04%
22 OK State 65.00%
23 South Car 64.29%
24 MSU 63.12%
25 Texas Tech 62.59%
26 ND 61.87%
27 GA Tech 61.38%
28 Rutgers 60.00%
29 Iowa 59.71%
30 Michigan 59.42%

 

Some takeaways:

  • Over a 30ish year time frame 6 teams clearly stand out at 73%+ - FSU, Neb, OSU, Miami FL, Florida, Oklahoma.  From there we have a significant 3% drop to the cabal of UM, Auburn, PSU, GA.
  • While lacking the # of NCs of Bama, no way to say it other than OSU has been the the best program in terms of consistency for 20 years.  And aside from FSU is essentially tied for 2nd over 30 years.  A hell of a multi decade run.
  • Despite some fall off post Bowden, FSU has had an amazing 30 year run.
  • I doubt most would guess LSU was #2 over the past 11 years.  I wouldn't.
  • Nebraska had such a good mid 80s to early 2000s it has offset the relative mediocrity of late.
  • Oregon has been better for longer than I assumed.
  • While UM has been wholly mediocre relative to perceived status for 10 and 20 years, ND has been mediocre for all 3 time frames which is suprising considering Holtz era.
  • For all the TX angst they have had a nice run the past 20 years.
  • Despite not even being found in the top 30 the past 11 years, Miami is still #4 overall over 30.
  • Wisconsin is impressive - Alvarez did a hell of a job not only building a program but despite the coaching changes leaving a legacy.  Let's hope Dantonio does not do the same.
  • Rutgers was not such a bad addition to the Big 10 ;)
  • As suspected UCLA is a chronic underachiever considering all the assets at their disposal.

griff32

February 26th, 2015 at 3:04 PM ^

I would say the way the data was presented definately favors OSU, however no matter how you slice it the trend line is heading in the wrong direction. This needs to be corrected. 

 

(I think we have the correct coaching staff to do just that)