For me after the last two years, it's just tough to look at next years schedule and say there's a decent amount of games they should win.
To me UConn and ND are both toss up's. UConn's going to be a very tough opener. Like you said, who knows what ND will be like with Kelly and for some reason South Bend is a house of horrors for UM.
I'd like to think BGSU should be a win and I'd definitely UMass should be a win. I'd also like to think that Illinois at home without Juice should be a win. After that, I see MSU, Iowa and Wisky as toss up's. D'Antonio puts a tough of emphasis on the UM game and for the last two years it's worked. They've done a great job of shutting down UM.
IU and Purdue on the road could be interesting. I think RR is 1-7 on the road in big ten play with Minny in 2008 being the lone victory.
Like you, at this point I see 0-2 against PSU and OSU.
I think the offense should be decent, it's the defense that makes me worried next year.