We are officially 2/3 of the way through the season, and the first part and the second part looked (obviously) radically different.
The first part:
The second part:
With such drastically different results they look like almost entirely different seasons. Several reasons for this, no doubt:
- First part had all home games, the second only 2.
- Pretty healthy in the first, injuries in the second.
- MUCH higher level of talent we faced in the second than the first.
- In the second, more film available for opponents to be prepared for us.
- In the first, we were 2-0 in close games. In the second, 0-2 in close games.
In light of all that, how do you think the final part will shape up?
The median number of losses between the first part of the season and the second part is 1.5, coincidentally I think that is the most reasonable over/under for number of losses we'll have in the last part of the season... I'm thinking we either go 3-1 or 2-2 in our last 4 games... Wins against Illinois and Purdue, and the wild card is whether we can steal a win against Wisconsin or OSU, or whether we lose both.
I think we can win one of those two, the more likely candidate being a win against OSU at home to finish the year. 3-1 in the last part of the season, 8-4 overall. How do you think we'll finish out the year?
Hopefully we'll be healthier. Also, that we only have 1 challenging road game (@ Wisconsin) I think helps us. I think the talent level of our opponents, while definitely not as low as the first part of the season, isn't as high as the second part, which was the toughest part of our schedule. While things have looked bad as of recent, the worst is behind us at this point.
The key factor, I think, will be close games. I can foresee both Wisconsin and OSU being close. If we manage to win 1 of them, we're 8-4.