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Things we have learned from 5 weeks of football...

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:27 PM
#1
MGrether
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 444
Things we have learned from 5 weeks of football...

- The B1G sucks this year and is a clear level beneath the SEC, Big 12 and PAC 12... but still above the MAC.

- There is no "clear cut" set of school who should be considered Elite top 10. We have an Elite 3-4... but after that it is a hot mess that seems to be shifting around more this year then I remember is years past. 

Other thoughts?

Follow me @ The Business of Educating

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:29 PM | The conference is down, but I (Score:5 Normal)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

The conference is down, but I wouldn't be surprised if the teams ralied a bit and actually had a good bowl season. 

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:20 PM | Not having 2 teams in the BCS (Score:3 Normal)
NeilGoBlue
Joined: 09/30/2010
MGoPoints: 406

Not having 2 teams in the BCS will help..

Team 106

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:24 PM | OSU (Score:2)
johnvand
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Joined: 02/04/2010
MGoPoints: 3234

There will be some shuffling up of bowls due to the OSU situation.

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September 30th, 2012 at 1:45 AM | When does bowl season not (Score:5 Normal)
russale2012
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Joined: 11/30/2011
MGoPoints: 2667

When does bowl season not work out poorly for the B1G?

It's been a lot. Its been a roller coaster that for some reason seemed like it would never get good. But you know what? We kept fighting. It's like that old saying goes, "Those Who Stay Will Be Champions." -David Molk

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September 30th, 2012 at 10:49 AM | Definitely.  As will some (Score:2)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

Definitely.  As will some teams simply improving as they get through the Big 10 season.  Last year's two BCS teams were pretty good - that Oregon victory was by the skin of their teeth, as was UM's over VT.  The problem has been with the depth of the conference, but teams like NW, Wiscy, and PSU are frankly playing better than I had imagined, and even Minny looks like a dangerous squad.  Sure, Nebraska looks overrated but it is all about matchups.

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September 30th, 2012 at 10:52 AM | I'm not disagreeing the (Score:3 Normal)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

I'm not disagreeing the conference is down, but I'm also not sold that the #3 team in the Big 10 (which looks like MSU, UM, or Wiscy) wouldn't be able to handle the #3 in the SEC (which is what, Florida or Georgia) in a bowl game.  Also, after USC and Oregon nobody in the Pac-12 scares me. 

The Big 10 lacks the dominant teams at the top and that's why it looks so down; I do think the conference will play reasonably well this year.

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September 30th, 2012 at 10:17 PM | Right now it's Georgia who (Score:1)
DoubleB
Joined: 11/19/2008
MGoPoints: 188

Right now it's Georgia who also happens to be ranked #5 in the country. Considering MSU and UGA played an OT game last year and one team is better (Georgia) and one is worse (MSU) who do you like in that game?

The SEC may be top-heavy, but it's real heavy at the top with 5 teams in the top 10.

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:12 AM | Believe it when I see it. (Score:5 Normal)
sammylittle
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Joined: 09/29/2008
MGoPoints: 1894

You are the kind of optimist that would believe that UM could lose a non-conference game to an FCS team and rebound to beat an SEC team in a bowl game played in that team's home state.

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September 30th, 2012 at 12:11 PM | ha (Score:4 Normal)
BlueBadger
BlueBadger's picture
Joined: 07/06/2011
MGoPoints: 419

I see what you did there.

Warning: My imagination is inefficient.

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:34 PM | I agree on the lack of elite (Score:5 Normal)
South Bend Wolverine
South Bend Wolverine's picture
Joined: 09/11/2009
MGoPoints: 1611

I agree on the lack of elite teams.  Just look at the folks in the top ten right now.  ND may have the worst offense of any top-ten ranked team in history, Stanford lost to WSU, and a number of others have struggled with unranked opposition.  Really Alabama and Oregon are the only teams that have really shined to me.  LSU is right up there, but has struggled a great deal on more than one occasion.  Just an off year for football overall.

Now with 100% less South Bend, 100% more Washington DC.

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:40 PM | Stanford (Score:5 Normal)
UM Indy
Joined: 03/05/2009
MGoPoints: 1401

Lost to Washington, but still a valid point.

"Better to have died as a small boy than to fumble this football" -- John Heisman

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:48 PM | Regarding LSU, they gave up (Score:5 Normal)
Lionsfan
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Joined: 06/03/2011
MGoPoints: 3909

Regarding LSU, they gave up 22 points to Towson today....it's definitely not the same defense as last year

If you're doing nothing, how do you know when you're finished?

StraightDave owes me a steak dinner

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September 30th, 2012 at 2:20 AM | But it was "a tough, (Score:5 Normal)
RickyPowers
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Joined: 11/19/2008
MGoPoints: 62

But it was "a tough, determined Towson team."



/the Ellerbe years

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September 30th, 2012 at 10:54 AM | This.  UM gave up 25 to Air (Score:5 Normal)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

This.  UM gave up 25 to Air Force and people were freaking out; LSU gives up 22 and everyone just figures it was LSU toying with them.

Outside of Alabama, there is nobody in the SEC who scares me.  I truly believe that if UM had played LSU in the Jerryworld, it would have been much closer. 

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October 1st, 2012 at 10:07 AM | LSUs recent track record (Score:0)
phork
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Joined: 11/01/2009
MGoPoints: 1103

LSUs recent track record would suggest that the Towson game is an outlier.

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:35 PM | Don't get it twisted. No one (Score:4 Normal)
snoopblue
snoopblue's picture
Joined: 11/11/2009
MGoPoints: 1880

Don't get it twisted. No one recognizes defense anymore. The Big12 and Pac12 don't play any. For a while there I was letting the media storyline about how the B1G is down and never coming back get to me, but no more. I agree that we will bounce back this season.

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:45 PM | B1G is down, and so is (Score:5 Normal)
DIABEETUS
DIABEETUS's picture
Joined: 09/29/2009
MGoPoints: 2311

B1G is down, and so is everyone else. Aside from Alabama and LSU, who does the SEC have? Arkansas was supposed to be elite. Georgia is supposed to be elite, but barely beat unranked Tennessee. What's the Pac-12 got? Oregon, maybe. USC lost against Stanford (again), and Stanford is apparently shaky after what happened earlier this week.

Everyone who is not Alabama, LSU, or Oregon gets a giant MEH from me right now. And heck, we don't really know much about LSU or Oregon yet.

Michigan: 903–315–36 (Best in NCAA)
vs Ohio State: 58-44-6
vs Notre Dame: 23-16-1
vs MSU:  68-32-5
vs B1G: 522-197-24
vs SEC:  20-8-1
vs PAC 12: 48-24-1
vs Big 12: 10-5-1<

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:29 PM | LSU is pretty meh, too. They (Score:5 Normal)
russale2012
russale2012's picture
Joined: 11/30/2011
MGoPoints: 2667

LSU is pretty meh, too. They let an FCS hang around with them today, and barely beat Auburn. I think Oregon will run the table in the PAC 12 and make the title game, but Saban will somehow craft a masterful game plan and completely shut down their offense. I swear that man has sold his soul for the amount of success he's had.



Alabama is, in my opinion, the only real elite team in the country. That's a junior NFL team.

It's been a lot. Its been a roller coaster that for some reason seemed like it would never get good. But you know what? We kept fighting. It's like that old saying goes, "Those Who Stay Will Be Champions." -David Molk

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September 30th, 2012 at 1:17 AM | B1G teams still lost to non-elite OOC competition (Score:2 Normal)
Muttley
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Joined: 07/07/2009
MGoPoints: 4599

At the top
• Mich loses to ND
• MSU loses to ND
• Nebraska loses to UCLA
• Wiscy loses to OrSt (Wiscy soon to fall to the middlings)
• Ohio escapes against Cal at home

Middling teams w/ a shot at their divisions due to weakness
• Purdue loses to ND
• Northwestern held serve and is 5-0. 
      Unthinkable at the beginning of the season,
      but now it's not out of the realm of possibility
      that a 40ish NW could squeak by Mich, MSU, & Neb clubs
     that haven't looked particularly Top 25 worthy.

In the lower middle class
• Iowa loses to Iowa State and Central Mich
• PSU loses to Ohio-Athens
      (OK, they could rebound & join the middlings)
• Minnesota also held serve at 4-0 OOC,
      but they've already been exposed by Iowa,
      and are soon to join the bottom-dwellers

The basement
• Illinois gets smoked by Lousiana Tech
• Indiana loses to Ball State

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:47 PM | After watching the *best* (Score:1 Normal)
One Inch Woody ...
One Inch Woody Hayes Punch's picture
Joined: 06/25/2011
MGoPoints: 563

After watching the *best* teams play from each conference, it is clear that there is one clear best conference this season, the SEC only because they have Bama and LSU. All of the other teams are quite flawed and haven't faced challenging competition. The PAC 12 got lucky this year in that all of their wins over BCS does tended to be at home while last season they played a lot of those games away (Asu, Ucla, etc).



Honestly the Big 10 might be the 3rd best /deepest conference but all teams are middling. The PAC 12 would be a close 4th, Acc 5th, and the Big 12 is the clear second.

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September 29th, 2012 at 10:51 PM | Watching the Big 12 games (Score:4 Normal)
jonvalk
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Joined: 07/19/2009
MGoPoints: 2037

Watching the Big 12 games today, it's ludicrous to call them a clear second. No defense at all.

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:42 PM | But two elite teams does not (Score:2)
KBLOW
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Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 4052

But two elite teams does not a great conference make. To extrapolate that the SEC is the best conf because Alabama and LSU is silly, but we'll all have to wait until the bowls to really sees that.

There are no corners in space.

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September 30th, 2012 at 10:22 PM | The SEC has FIVE teams ranked (Score:1)
DoubleB
Joined: 11/19/2008
MGoPoints: 188

The SEC has FIVE teams ranked in the top 10.

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:01 AM | Nothing about the Big 12 (Score:2)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

Nothing about the Big 12 impressed my today.  When teams are dropping 60+ points on each other, that's not a good sign.  Honestly, if Baylor had picked off one pass or caused one turnoever against WVU, they would have won.  I hated hearing people on Gameday talking up the offensive firepower they were seeing in the Big 12 while knocking teams playing defense like MSU and OSU.  I'm not saying yesterday's game was magic, but watching WVU and Baylor play was equally offensive if you like to see teams at least try to stop each other.

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September 30th, 2012 at 12:10 PM | I thought so too. To the (Score:1)
turtleboy
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Joined: 04/22/2011
MGoPoints: 3216

I thought so too. To the pollsters it doesn't matter at all who you play, or how bad your defense is. You can play the weakest of cupcake schedules, put up 80 points a game and you stand out. It doesn't even matter if those cupcakes put up 73 points on you, so long as you put up 80. There is nothing to be gained for your season by playing good teams OOC. Maybe there's something to be gained from "exposure," the ADs bottom line, or some other intangible, hypothetical reason, but all of those are easily eclipsed by the benefits of going undefeated against 12 crappy schools. It gives you almost zero benefit for your season to play a tough schedule. Look at Boise. They've played absolutely nobody for the last 5 years and were consistantly ranked in the top 10. Even in the future with SOS being figured into the playoff formula it'll be a relatively useless stat because it'll likely only be used as a tiebreaker stat for the last few 2-3 loss teams to get in. If we win the B1G then we'll get in automatically and it wont matter if we played Alabama or Eastern to start the season.

How many times have you been on the freeway and had someone fly by you at 100 mph then end up 2 cars ahead of you at the off ramp? What's the point? -Mark Harmon

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:10 PM | Alabama is the only elite (Score:5 Normal)
bluetell
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Joined: 07/03/2008
MGoPoints: 4770

Alabama is the only elite team, then maybe Oregon is after them. After that....?

LSU struggled with Towson
WVU can't play defense at all
Notre Dame doesn't have an offense
Georgia can't play defense
K State & South Carolina both seem solid but not elite

I still feel like the B1G is ours for the taking. The Big Ten sucks and we're a lot better than anyone is giving us credit for

Rudy watches inspirational movies about Shawn Hunwick

 

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:22 PM | We're a lot better than we (Score:5 Normal)
russale2012
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Joined: 11/30/2011
MGoPoints: 2667

We're a lot better than we get credit for if Denard decides to stop throwing picks. If he throws 5 picks every week, we'll be lucky to get bowl eligible.

It's been a lot. Its been a roller coaster that for some reason seemed like it would never get good. But you know what? We kept fighting. It's like that old saying goes, "Those Who Stay Will Be Champions." -David Molk

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September 30th, 2012 at 9:59 AM | Nobody is saying that (Score:4 Normal)
Lionsfan
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Joined: 06/03/2011
MGoPoints: 3909

Nobody is saying that suddenly Denard won't turn the ball over. It's more like, as long as we don't turn it over 60 times a game we should be fine.

If you're doing nothing, how do you know when you're finished?

StraightDave owes me a steak dinner

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September 30th, 2012 at 3:43 AM | I doubt we will see Denard (Score:4 Normal)
DrewGOBLUE
DrewGOBLUE's picture
Joined: 12/03/2011
MGoPoints: 203

I doubt we will see Denard turn the ball over again like he did against ND. All quarterbacks have really bad games once in a while. Hell, Peyton Manning threw three picks in one quarter a couple weeks ago. 

If Ann Arbor is a whore, why didn't you get in?

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:03 AM | That statement could be (Score:3 Normal)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

That statement could be applied to virtually any QB in the country.  Denard will not throw 5 INTs again,and his playmaking covers up a lot of sins of the offense.

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September 30th, 2012 at 9:35 AM | I absolutely agree with this, (Score:0 Flamebait)
white_pony_rocks
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Joined: 02/16/2009
MGoPoints: 940

I absolutely agree with this, in fact I was going to say the same thing until I saw your post.  LSU, FSU, WVU, they are all a step below oregon, who is a step below bama

Soon to be the #1 fitness and training center in AA

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September 30th, 2012 at 1:06 PM | We are better (Score:1)
Leonhall
Leonhall's picture
Joined: 06/14/2012
MGoPoints: 700

Than what we are given credit for? How do we know that? Based on what?

Denard Robinson......They're not going to catch him!

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September 30th, 2012 at 10:29 PM | How so? The team is 2-2. They (Score:2 Normal)
DoubleB
Joined: 11/19/2008
MGoPoints: 188

How so? The team is 2-2. They beat an unranked Air Force team by 6 at home (an Air Force team that proceeded to lose to an AWFUL UNLV team the next week) and a blowout win over new I-A member UMass.

Can they win the B1G? Sure . . the conference is a POS right now. But this team hasn't shown anything yet after a third of the season.

It's not a good sign when a loss (to ND) is what gives you hope.

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:11 PM | I used to argue (Score:1)
A_Train32
A_Train32's picture
Joined: 08/10/2012
MGoPoints: 169

that the reason the Big Ten had the lowest ranked teams, or was considered a second tier conference, was because the league had the most parity. For example Northwestern, widely considered to be in the bottom third of the conference historically speaking, could beat any team any given week, whereas the bottom third of the SEC could never upset their best teams. Now I think we just suck....

"Only three things can happen when you pass, and two of them are bad" -Bo Schembechler

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October 1st, 2012 at 4:18 AM | Exactly (Score:1)
Toledo_Wolverine
Toledo_Wolverine's picture
Joined: 11/23/2011
MGoPoints: 94

I too had a similar conclusion on the basis that the Big 10 had more depth than most conferences. Also, for years I have been debating the quality of our conference. This year, though, I am just embarrassed...

Relax and think about brunette girls.

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:25 PM | Don't look now (Score:1 Normal)
ClearEyesFullHart
ClearEyesFullHart's picture
Joined: 09/09/2011
MGoPoints: 807

But Arizona is getting hammered again. Vince Lombardi couldn't fix that offense...:)

Omnes i facere est vincere 
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September 30th, 2012 at 12:55 AM | They're up 4 now (Score:1)
MikeCohodes
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Joined: 08/28/2012
MGoPoints: 1277

with a quarter to play.  Zona's D is more the problem than their O.

Twitter:  @MikeCohodes

My Blog - posts on movies, tv, and books; politics; and fatherhood  Updates minimum 3x a week

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September 30th, 2012 at 7:54 AM | Hmm... (Score:3 Normal)
Njia
Njia's picture
Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 6038

It's deja vu all over again.

"If life is the road, then Ohio is simply a place to stop for gas." -- Scott Burgess, Detroit News, 9/16/2010
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September 30th, 2012 at 2:07 AM | This is too funny (Score:-1 Normal)
newtopos
Joined: 09/26/2009
MGoPoints: 79

Arizona puts up 35 points and 545 yards on Oregon State, in their 4th game under RR.  (Arizona was 4-8 last year.)  Wisconsin put up 7 points and 207 yards on Oregon State this year.  And we're moving to that MANBALL, Wisconsin, 1990s UCLA offense with Borges, right?  (Not the 2002-2003 Borges Indiana offense, or the 2005-07 Borges Auburn offense, etc., etc.)  Watching the good offensive teams today, did any West Coast offenses stand out to you?  

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September 30th, 2012 at 2:43 AM | You know what's really funny? (Score:5 Normal)
joeyb
joeyb's picture
Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 11303

You know what's really funny? That MANBALL is what Bama used to put 41 on us including 31 in the first half.

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:04 AM | Nice selective reasoning (Score:5 Normal)
CompleteLunacy
CompleteLunacy's picture
Joined: 11/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1167

Remember Stanford last year? They were pretty damn good on offense...must have been the spread, eh? Oh wait.

And as the poster above said, Bama put 41 on us.

Wisconsin's offense sucks because Wisconsin's offense sucks...not because of their scheme. Remember RR in year one here? Can we conclude from that that his offensive system sucks too? It's all about having the right personnel to run what you run best...Wisky is struggling because they're weak at QB and not as good up front as they were a year ago. 

 

I'm not a lunatic. Seriously, i'm not.

Ok, maybe just a little bit. 

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:10 AM | The problem with Rich Rod is (Score:5 Normal)
snarling wolverine
Joined: 12/14/2011
MGoPoints: 4702

The problem with Rich Rod is that you have to take the bad (defense) with the good (offense).  They've given up 600+ yards twice in the first five games this season.  

Oregon State was held to 10 points by Wisconsin, but dropped 38 on Zona last night.

 

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:38 AM | Yeah, they should definitely (Score:-1 Trolling)
coastal blue
Joined: 11/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1791

Yeah, they should definitely get rid of their accomplished defensive coordinator after 5 games and one recruiting season. 

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September 30th, 2012 at 12:25 PM | I'm not saying that at all. (Score:5 Normal)
snarling wolverine
Joined: 12/14/2011
MGoPoints: 4702

I'm not saying that at all.  Casteel has a good track record.

At some point, maybe we have to acknowledge that it's not the DC that's the problem.  Shafer, Robinson, Casteel - that's three DCs in the past four seasons he's had, and all have fielded terrible defenses.  And all three guys have pretty good career résumés.  Maybe the fault actually lies with their boss (and perhaps, the position coaches he keeps hiring over and over).  

If Rich Rod wants to be a championship coach, he's going to have to swallow his pride and recognize that he doesn't know how to handle the defensive side of the ball.  He needs to leave his DC alone in all areas, including hiring of position coaches.  I'm not sure if he is capable of accepting this.  

 

 

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:10 AM | Stanford won a BCS bowl last (Score:5 Normal)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12591

Stanford won a BCS bowl last year with an offense similar to the one Borges will run.  Alabama seems fine running a classic pro style offense. 

Any offense will work in college with the right personnel and schemes - hell, Air Force can put up 30 points on virtually anyone and they run an offense that high school teams think is archaic.  Yes, WVU dropped a bunch of points on Baylor - they also gave up 63 and its not like Baylor has ever fielded anything approximating a defense.  And sure, Oregon State shut down Wisconsin, but they still only won by 3 points (And scored 10 themselves) with that crazy spread offense they run.  Teams win and lose based on have a defined scheme and following it.  RR is running his offense at Arizona and it works fine; on defense, Casteel is still installing his plays and it will take some time.

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:38 AM | Glad you could confirm you (Score:-1 Redundant)
coastal blue
Joined: 11/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1791

Glad you could confirm you are the pathetic human being I always knew you were :). 

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:29 PM | I feel like college football (Score:5 Normal)
TSimpson77
TSimpson77's picture
Joined: 05/13/2010
MGoPoints: 658

I feel like college football is down this year. Alabama is elite but it falls off after that, wouldn't surprise me if every team with exception to them ends up with 2 losses.

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:53 PM | Oregon (Score:3 Normal)
DealerCamel
DealerCamel's picture
Joined: 07/25/2012
MGoPoints: 362

Oregon might run the table as well or at least have only one loss, but I agree that after Bama the dropoff is immense.

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September 29th, 2012 at 11:55 PM | UGA (Score:1)
shake_and_bake
Joined: 05/24/2012
MGoPoints: 9

I think Georgia has the players to compete with Alabama in the SEC.  UGA has as good a defense as LSU and a better offense.

Aaron Murray is the best quarterback in the SEC, UGA has 4 WRs who are very dependable, and 2 Freshmen RBs in Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall who each seem to get 100 yards per game.

On Defense, tonight was their first game at full strength with their All-American Safety and their starting middle linebacker returning from suspensions (plus, a saftey whose name is "Rambo" should be able to compete with the likes of Nick Saban).  Tonight they were still ironing things out and many of the points Tennessee scored were off of turnovers and fantastic field position.

Just my two cents.

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September 30th, 2012 at 11:19 PM | I very much agree with this (Score:2)
The Wolf
The Wolf's picture
Joined: 02/02/2011
MGoPoints: 193

I very much agree with this sentiment, at least as far as anyone can really "compete" with Alabama.  I do not think LSU is anywhere near as talented right now as people are giving them credit for (many more deficiences on offense than defense).  Georgia has a lot of skill and Aaron Murray is showing great development as a QB.  If they can forego the almost-FSU-like guaranteed one game "Derp", I think they will be seeing Alabama in the SEC championship game.  According to Lou Holtz, however, South Carolina is going to beat Alabama . . . so I guess we'll just see about that that one.

The spirit of liberty is the spirit which is not too sure that it is right.

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