There are...

Submitted by Above and Beyond on

 

 

 

 

 

 

...days until Denard Robinson watches Michigan's first football game this season.

 

 

EDIT: So as to not hurt Mr. Navarre's feelings -

 

 

For the record - I really enjoyed Navarre's time at quarterback; he was very solid.

 

 

BrotherMouzone

August 18th, 2015 at 8:44 AM ^

Yeeesssss!!! So close! Already got my food lineup for Thursday night! Along with a few L's instead of beer cause I gotta work early the next day...




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DanInTexas

August 18th, 2015 at 8:59 AM ^

16 days left to fill out my preseason survey! I posted this over in another thread, but I don't think many people saw it. I am doing an experiment to see how accurately the wisdom of the entire MGoCommunity can predict the outcome of the season. Unfortunately, I don't have enough points yet to make my own thread. Here is the link: https://www.quicksurveys.com/s/Cj74PpK
 
 
 
Here is the background:
 
I heard this podcast this week and it inspired me to do a similar experiment but with football: http://www.npr.org/sections/money/2015/08/07/430372183/episode-644-how-much-does-this-cow-weigh
 
They state that a crowd can better guess the value of something than any individual. They tested this theory by asking their listeners to guess the weight of the cow. When they averaged out all of the guesses, they found the crowd was within 5%. The sub group who self identified as experts actually did slightly worse! I'd like to put this theory to the test using the MGoCommunity as the crowd and the Michigan football results as the value to be guessed. I think it will be really interesting to see how we do. I will post the results at the beginning of the season and then revisit them at the end to see how we did.

benjamint1024

August 18th, 2015 at 12:01 PM ^

Your survey will be biased by the maize colored classes that we all wear.

 

You need to survey a nuetral crowd and throw out the ridiculous outliers like the one I just put in there for you.  If have already thought of that, then you are way ahead of me and the remainder of my post is probably meaingless.

 

I apologize that my fandom will not let me pick less than a 100% guarantee for victory in everything that Michigan does.  I tried to pick less then 100% on some of them too.  I had to go back and change them.

 

It would be very interested to see what this blog says to that survey when compared to nuetral crowds as well as ones biased to our rivals.  

 

 

DanInTexas

August 18th, 2015 at 12:19 PM ^

Yeah, I fully intend to throw out outliers. I recognize that the blog will be naturally biased towards extra wins, but there are a lot of skeptics on here too (especially after the last few years).

I'm not necessarily trying to prove the theory applies to this scenario; I view it as more of a cooperative competetion to see how well we as a blog can predict the outcome. Can we do better than Dr. Feng? He predicts 7.7 wins. See here: http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/det-news-article-predicting-number-michigan-wins-season

If I were trying to get the most accurate prediction, you're right I would need to get others' input. I'd need a lot more people with a neutral opinion of Michigan and some rival fans to balance us out. However, I do not have a good forum to solicit these responses, nor would they be very motivated to fill the survey out. I'm open to suggestions, though.

LSAClassOf2000

August 18th, 2015 at 2:27 PM ^

Through the years, whether they have been up or not so much, the opener has been the closest thing to Christmas around here - actually, it is Christmas, I believe, to a fair number of people around here. I will probably not be sleeping much on the night of the 2nd either, so I can identify. 

Dawkins

August 18th, 2015 at 9:14 AM ^

You cant see it from the gif but Patrick Omameh took out 3 Notre Dame defenders on that run. Love that play. Does anyone know whether it still stands as the longest run in the history of Notre Dame Stadium?

M.Go.Blue

August 18th, 2015 at 10:01 AM ^

The only quote I can think of to remember Denard and also the time he spent at Michigan. "it was the best of times, it was the worst of times." seems to apply on so many levels. And PDN, poor damn Navarre.

Rupertus

August 18th, 2015 at 10:21 AM ^

Ah yes, Navarre's release is indeed as low as I remember. That was arguably his best game though, and I was there as an HS senior, 3 weeks before getting my acceptance letter.