The State Of Our Open Threads (Year One, Game Nine, Era Of Harbaugh): After Rutgers

Submitted by LSAClassOf2000 on

You would have thought that a 49-16 win over Rutgers would have been a calm, uneventful game insofar as the open thread for the game itself was concerned - it turns out that certain things can make even a convincing win have its moments.

The summary of the year to date:

 photo SOOT_Rutgers_Summary_zpsapy91viq.png

Let's start with the fucks we gave - all 268 of them. About 70% of them happened at two distinct spikes in the game. One was the special teams goof that allowed Rutgers' only TD, and the other was the call wherein we discovered that Jake Butt apparently must wear a fright wig and brightly colored shoes so that defenses and officials can see that he is A) in the huddle and B) later split out on the formation. I may have missed a section of the rulebook, folks. 

That ties into the shockingly low instances of "fire" - only 19. Most of them were actually directed at Millen, but a few were directed at the officials, who probably deserve at least a reminder that it is in fact football and not a game of Rack-O or something like that, although I am sure that they would find a way to make a shit call in Rack-O if given the opportunity. 

It wasn't all bad stress, of course - Peppers mentions figured prominently again (saying this makes this a thread which mentions Peppers, so you know) to the tune of 206 mentions. Jake Butt got a personal best this season too - we heard him called out 62 times, most of them coming on the 56-yard reception. Further, we hit season highs for "great" and "nice" too, so it is not as if we weren't overall pleased.

Here's efficiency and percent of total:

 photo SOOT_Rutgers_EffInst_zpsf213pfd7.png

Mainly due to officiating and confusion that the officials had over which sport was in fact being played, Rutgers actually stands as the third largest contributor to the total amount of tracked instances and the game managed a final overall efficiency rating of 1.98, which historically would have been a loss that would make us pull our hair - maybe the hair of other people - out of scalps. However, adjusted for the Original Six from this analysis, the efficiency dips to 4.77, which would have been consistent with a bumpy win. 

Here's the original six in chart form:

 photo SOOT_Rutgers_OriginalSix_zpsclaxqq2o.png

You can see the downslide over two very stressful weeks, but I think that within those numbers are people struggling with their expectations versus how the season has unfolded, mostly in a way better than they could have imagined in 2015. I could be wrong, but the numbers and the visceral reactions to certain things show expectation management and some of the passion coming back, which isn't a bad thing.

The Mood Chart:

 photo SOOT_Rutgers_MoodChart_zps5fjpxya6.png

Mostly good vibes this year. We shall see how this evolves over the next couple weeks. As I mentioned earlier in the season, the Mood Chart is a work in transition, particularly in the nomenclature department because of the changes this year. 

 

 

mGrowOld

November 8th, 2015 at 9:52 AM ^

I can honestly say that in the 40+ years I've watched Michigan football this is the first time I've been this pissed off the day after a WIN.  A convincing win I might add.

The rage I feel towards the officials and their weekly attempt to influence the game in the favor of the team we are playing has reached a boiling point with me.  They are not incompetent and they did not simply have a bad game.  If that was the case then we'd see equal number of ridiculous calls go our way as not (see State, Michigan).  But we don't.

Based on his comments in his post-game presser I think Harbaugh is pretty damn tired of it too.  And he's about one more blatant, wrong, not called (or incorrectly called if against us) targeting penalty away from going OFF in public and calling these miserable cheating fucks out for what they are.

See?  I'm STILL mad.

RJWolvie

November 8th, 2015 at 10:20 AM ^

I'm grow old too, but/so I agree with you. The targeting situation in particular is completely befuddling. Hit our helmets whenever however you want, no call. We fall on folks: targeting & ejection. Minny got screwed v OSU also on that targeting flag picked up. It's just impenetrable. I don't believe, can't believe there's honestly an agenda, but wow I can't figure out how so consistently targeting called inconsistently to our detriment.

All that said: we got some calls right, in our favor, early in this game. The forward shovel pass on first play from scrimmage for most prominent example



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Jevablue

November 8th, 2015 at 10:45 AM ^

It would not be an original concern of yours!  This dude back in 07 was up to his neck in gambling debt.  

I always hate to "go dark" and start questioning peoples motives, but when the incompetence (even with the aid of replay review) begins to transcend pure idiocy, you find yourself looking for better answers.   

True Blue In Ohio

November 8th, 2015 at 9:59 AM ^

They always seem to be out to get Michigan.  Calls in general go to the other team.  I am just too happy about Sparty to bitch about it....Dantonio made a deal with the devil to beat us this year and he just got crawfished!

samdrussBLUE

November 8th, 2015 at 10:01 AM ^

Of course ESPN wants to focus on the shit officiating in a Sparty loss! I didn't see that for us or anyone else. I thought they were always disrespected?!



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McSomething

November 8th, 2015 at 10:03 AM ^

The first half nearly broke my rage. The second half I was just... there. The Sparty game (which I didn't watch the 2nd half of, but did follow on my phone) brought me bliss when it was over.

Sione's Flow

November 8th, 2015 at 10:29 AM ^

The officiating this year had been a clown show. But my anger is directed at the replay officials more than the zebras on the field. He has the ability to rewatch the play in slow motion from multiple angles, but still can't get shit right!

Jevablue

November 8th, 2015 at 10:50 AM ^

This analysis is invaluable. And the data really does reflect the whole story that one could not get from a few highlights and the box score.  It really was an "angry blowout", and was not the smooth ride one might expect were they feeling so entitled.  Yet in retrospect they actually did stomp them. Add to it all that sense that officiating has become a both biased and random idiocy generating machine, and angst happens. IMO

Wolvie3758

November 8th, 2015 at 11:03 AM ^

football longer than most on this board and I can honestly say I dont think Ive ever seen so many bad calls go against Michigan in one season than I have this year..It does seem VERY fishy to me.

While generally in favor of video review Im getting tired of so many during a game its getting ridiculous AND you have VIDEO REVIEW you should be able to get it right 100 percent of the time and that is NOT happening...BIG refs have never been worse ...

 

Now on the positive side we are 3 games removed from the end of the season and we are a top 15 team STILL in the hunt for a Big Title and we control our own destiny..who wouldve thunk THAT at the beginning of the year..THANK GOD for Harbaugh....and this is just the beginning..

BlueDragon

November 8th, 2015 at 12:12 PM ^

so LSA, feel free to correct.

The Y-axis represents the size of the thread, indicating that BYU's thread had a bit fewer replies than normal. (slightly negative on the Y-axis)

We also had slightly lower cursing efficiency than normal, giving us a slightly negative X-axis score.

So, that places us in the "Satisfied/Despondant" quadrant. I believe in a previous post LSA indicated that being close to the origin (0,0) indicates the most even-keeled mood possible but I may be wrong.

If you look at the Minnesota and MSU data points, they indicate large threads with tons of cursing, placing them in the "Elation/Frustration" quadrant. Naturally we'll be spamming out more posts when the game is close or odd things are happening. I suppose it's a judgment call which precise mood we were feeling at different points in those games.

Hope this helps!

LSAClassOf2000

November 8th, 2015 at 12:24 PM ^

This chary might get an overhaul this week, the more I look at it - as the season has gone on, the more it does things I am not sure I like, such as the BYU thing that snarling wolverine mentioned. Expanding the scope of how things are measured has altered it in ways I didn't account for initially. 

(0,0) would essentially be "no reaction", You're right though - in the BYU example, you're looking at a lighter thread with a very limited amount of "cursing", so it sits in the "overall pleased" per your explanation. 

The other thing that is affecting these results is that the lack of a dedicated, stable liveblog has driven more people to the board, so there is an inflation of responses that is putting games in areas where they might not make sense. 

I'll look at it more later today and throughout the week.