The State Of Our Open Threads (Year One, Game Five, Era Of Harbaugh): After Maryland

Submitted by LSAClassOf2000 on

One of the burdens we endure as loyal, longtime fans of University Of Michigan football is that even our wins are somewhat taxing, and indeed, we showed a measureable amount of discontent this time around, especially in the first half when our offense could really find a rhythm other than one that Brian Eno might compose. 

First, let's look at the summary to date so you can mock my immense ability to procrastinate as I've not yet finished out the data for the "positive" words for a third straight week. 

 photo SOOT_MD_Summary_zpsa2zplduv.png

In any case, we see here that the frontrunners are "fuck" and "Harbaugh", and fortunately no one has dared use them together save for the odd unsavory troll a few games back. This person is no longer among us. Rainbow Dash hoofed him right across the temple.

It is worth nothing that, even after three games, those three positive words are already 16% of the overall total of tracked instances. That alone should be evidence of a fanbase whose mindset on their own team has changed completely from this time last year, and that is a positive thing.

Here's thread size by game so far:

 photo SOOT_MD_ThreadSize_zpsdnjqpfat.png

The lack of a dedicated live blog has increased participation in the threads, and we began to see that last year, but now that the live blog responsibilities rotate and traffic is limited by the strictures of Blyve's need to ultimately make money, you really see it this year. There is also a renewed interest in this team and a lot of newbies are gravitating towards the open threads. After five games, average combine thread size is 2,110 posts, which is a good 25% better than last year during the same period. 

The relative distribution of the "original six" across the first five games:

 photo SOOT_MD_OriginalSix_zpse9frlnzh.png

Because it is in reality a massive chart, this one might be hard to read. What I really wanted to point out here is that we reached a season high for "suck" so far, much of it directed at Jake Rudock and the offense, but in this game in particular, a note problem with run blocking.

Maybe we give Randy Edsall some credit for figuring something out, for at least he knew about the game even if he didn't realize there was a meeting, or perhaps it is just what we assumed - a work in progress. Either way, much of our "suck" in the open threads revolved around that. A good deal of our "fuck too actually, although the referees took on their fair share of "fuck" from our audience. You don't need to be familiar with EVERY rule or know what the fair catch signal looks like to be a ref in the Big Ten, right?

You won't see it here, but "Morris" snuck back into our conversation too - mainly people wondering how bad he must be to have not seen the field by now. 

Here's efficiency and tracked words:

 photo SOOT_MD_EffInst_zpsiepb2mc9.png

Despite Maryland being rather stressful - it now accounts for almost one-quarter of all the tracked words this season so far - you can see that overall efficiency remained mostly flat. We did, after all, win - that usually helps. Adjusted for the "original six", the efficiency is 8.13, which has historically been typical for wins around here. 

Here's the Mood Chart - still fiddling with labels for the quadrants. The Harbaugh era makes this difficult to pin down because it is new to us. No, I should say it has been so long for us - revisiting these feelings is a process.

 photo SOOT_MD_MoodChart_zpsfj9bttiq.png

mgokev

October 4th, 2015 at 9:59 AM ^

Interesting. Id love to know what percentage of "fuck" is positive (e.g. Fuck yes, woo, touchdown!) versus negative. Not sure that's feasible without taking up a ton of time.



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mGrowOld

October 4th, 2015 at 10:05 AM ^

I thought the same thing a few weeks ago.  I know I let loose with a "Fucking A" after a big positive play so it occurred to me that I was skewing the numbers incorrectly.

So the following week I made sure to type "my goodness that was a wonderful play we just made" or "gosh, we sure did well just now didnt we."

LSAClassOf2000

October 4th, 2015 at 10:10 AM ^

I am actually beginning to compile some high-level data for the "Pareto Of Fuck", which was the long-discussed (with myself, so it was an intense discussion) but never-created followup to 2013's "Pareto Of Our Discontent", which somehow made its way to Reddit and a few other places. It will probably divide "fuck" into 6-8 major categories and we can see if it is true that 80% of the "fuck" covers 20% of the problems.

turtleboy

October 4th, 2015 at 10:09 AM ^

Surprised we're still tracking Morris at this point, since it looks like they're trying their hardest to not play him this season. I'd have to think the times we've invoked Rudock would be significant enough to track.

The Man Down T…

October 4th, 2015 at 12:08 PM ^

Is the way most have climbed on board.  In the beginning it was "This looks like last year's team" and "You can't coach bad players" and the like to "It's only the first half" and "We'll blow them out in the second half" and such comments against Maryland.  We've gone from a beaten down shell shocked fanbase that thought "Ugh, maybe 7 wins" after Utah to being excited again and disappointed by an ugly win.  Winning cures ills and happiness is a communicable condition.  :)

ruthmahner

October 4th, 2015 at 12:43 PM ^

It would be interesting to know how many newbies, i.e. mgousers with maybe 100 or fewer points, are posting on game threads now, as opposed to long-time users.

 

Not that I (or anyone) has time to compile such data.  Just a passing curiosity.  I love this analysis, though!

jabberwock

October 4th, 2015 at 8:23 PM ^

but I can assure you they carry their own weight.

They may account for only 2% of the traffic of the open threads get, but I'd bet they're good for 40% of the "fucks"!