my gosh...just as you all completely overlooked denard with forcier, youre doing the same with stauskas... stauskas is gonna assauge losing novak.
fair point that
my gosh...just as you all completely overlooked denard with forcier, youre doing the same with stauskas... stauskas is gonna assauge losing novak.
Put the knife down big fella. Beilein is a great coach, and the program is moving in the right direction. It has been a long time since we have been a consistent top 25 team, let alone top 10. We won a share of the Big Ten title, received a good seed in the tourney, and have excellent recruiting classes lined up for the next couple of years. Don't be one of those fans who calls for the coach's head because of one bad loss. We are better than that.
then go athletic with
Instead of everyone complaining about how they think Beilein screwed up, just remember that with the squad that we have (and losing darius) we still can put up another banner.
We'd have more beef in the paint than has ever been seen before ANYWHERE if we put that starting 5 on the court!
LSU - Shaquille O'Niel and Stanley Roberts.
We shoulda got Zach Banner. He could be on both starting 5's
Next year's going to be interesting to see how the lineup shakes up. I feel like someone is going to get left out of the mix. We have Burke, THJr, Smot, Morgan, Horford, Brundidge, Vogrich, McGary, Stauskas, Robinson III, and maybe even Beilfeldt if he's really improving as much as Beilein said. I might've forgotten someone, but that's 10 people.
My best guess is that McGary and Robinson start to begin the season, and Stuaskas comes off the bench for the whole season.
This is how I see the lineup too. I think there is a chance that Vogrich still gets some playing time off of the bench, though. I think having three 6-9+ guys on the floor is going to be huge next year, especially since Smot can focus on shooting 3s and he shouldn't be picking up nearly as many fouls as he would at the 4 or 5. Hardaway can start working on cutting to the basket from the 2, which is something that you don't see too often from Douglass. Then, there's the ability to go small with Burke, Hardaway/Stauskas, Robinson/Hardaway, Vogrich, McGary/Smot. The perimiter shooting on that lineup would be amazing.
I see Vogrich stepping up and having a nice senior season. He always brings energy, and he's perfectly suited for the Mike Gansey-type role in JB's offense. If THJ and Vogrich can both hit 35% from 3-point land next year, we'll be OK.
1. Burke (Brundidge/Akunne)
2. Hardaway (Vogrich/Staukas)
3. GRIII (Hardaway/Staukas)
4. Smotz (Beilfeldt/Christian)
5. Morgan/McGary (Hortford/McLimans)
**The 5 is tricky. Curious what Beilein will do with the 4 and 5**
Predictions: 27-4 (Season) w/B1G Outright Conference Champions. BTT Champions. Final Four. **Football team finishes 14-0 same year (My honest opinion for this up coming season for both sports)***
I love your optimism, but I don't see the football team going 14-0?
Are you uncertain about what you see for the future of the football team?
I'm just not confident that the team we have this year will be good enough to go through that gauntlet of a schedule.
when I predicted 11-2 for Brady's first year either and a BCS berth. (Thought Rose Bowl. Sugar will suffice,) This coming season is going to be MONUMENTAL (spell check).
It's just not likely.
My honest opinion is that you're a bit delusional, but I'd certainly take those outcomes!
I think your basketball predictions are somewhat reasonable. The football team has almost a zero percent chance of going 14-0 though. Sorry.
But hey, ill drink to your optimism! lol.
I think Staukas could be very good at the 2 with how good his ball handling skills are which THJ does not have
Starters: Burke, Hardaway, Jr., Morgan or Horford, Robinson III, Smotrycz
Reserves: Horford or Morgan, McGary, Stauskas, Brundidge, Vogrich, Bielfeldt
Scout Team: Christian, Akunne, McLimans, Bartelstein, Tummala
McGary's regression and Robinson III's improvement since last summer suggests that Robinson might have the edge is getting the start. Wouldn't expect Morgan and Horford to see much time together if Robinson proves he can rebound well and play strong defense. If Stauskas proves he can shoot and defend at least as well as, if not better than, Smotrycz, then he could become a starter too.
Biggest concerns: Keeping Burke healthy; restoring Hardaway's confidence and hoping he'll improve his dribbling, passing and defense; having a steady backup point guard; replacing the leadership and tenacity of Novak and Douglass.
Expect Michigan to be ranked between 18 and 22 before the season and to be in the NCAA tournament field at season's end.
was playing for a really average HS Coach who didn't know how to utilize him very well, Coach B won't have that problem, as he can coach with the best of them.
Smot can't do much besides shoot. He's slow, can't dribble, but can shoot well and rebound adequately. He's a good sixth man.
McGary brings something we've been needing--size and athleticism--and will start. You can't teach motor and he has a decent midrange shot.
Beilein isn't going to bench him because he doesn't fit the offense. You build an offense around the players you have.
Burke / Brundidge / Akunne
Stauskas / Vogrich
THJ / Robinson / Vogrich
McGary / Smot / Horford
Morgan / McGary / Horford
recruits players to fit HIS system. Not to work around/mold offense around them. Lay off Smotz dick. Smotz made many dribbling moves to drive to the basket and score (during the season). He's not as slow like most are claiming. He is "rebounding adequately" as you said. He does lack motor but Smotz will be just fine. He can make some bone-head decisions that makes you scream, but he's a starter next year. Give hime time.
I'm gonna enjoy wearing my B1G Champions t-shirt & hat and think about next season when the athletic season is over.
More important things going on right now than thinking about next year. Hockey in the CCHA Playoff Championship Game and Selection Sunday tomorrow. Hopefully a solid run in the NCAA Tournament.
Baseball & Softball are about to start B1G play next weekend.
Womens Basketball is playing their first NCAA Tournament game in 11 years tomorrow.
Lacrosse season is still underway with a huge game following the Spring Game.
And Spring Football practice starts today.
The starting 5 will probably evolve through the season next year, mostly because we have a lot of talent coming in who will need to learn the offense. I think the coaches will start the more experienced guys initially, but i expect the freshmen will crack the starting line-up eventually. We've seen several freshmen come right in and start recently (Burke, Hardaway, Morris, Morgan, even Douglass and Novak). But they did so because there was no one else competing with them for the starting roles. Next year there will be a lot of competition at every position except PG, so I expect a lot of movement in the first part of the season. Still, here's a guess:
1 - Burke (obviously)
2 - Hardaway (not great ball handling, but he's pretty much just a shooter at this point)
3 - Robinson (we need a new focal point for the offense, GR3 has the most weapons)
4 - Smotrycz (for the offensive "fit" only, probably won't be the starter later into the season)
5 - Horford (he started the first game or two this year, has more potential upside than Morgan)
Tim Hardaway Jr. at the 2. I don't see his dribbling as solid enough. And I know that John Bielin's runs his offenes through the 3 a lot (although to be fair Burke made that different this year).
I'm thinking the lineup looks like:
SG-Vogrich or Stauskus/loser between that battle (I know everybody is automatically going to assume Stauskus would win that battle but I'm not so sure. Vogrich's defense has gotten better every year and he may be able to provide some leadership.)
PF-Smot/McGary Maybe even Robinson gets some minutes at the 4
I know that you would probably like to find a way to get some more minutes from Robinson if he is as good as I think he is, but this is a lineup where you don't need to manipulate anyone into another position (ie Hardaway to two).
There is a few things you have to like about next year's lineup whatever it is. The obvious being the added athleticism from the freshman. But you also have a lot of players with potential for growth. Hardaway could add some consistently, Smot could establish his shooting touch throughout the entire season. Brundidge who I thought had a lot of talent coming in could took a step foward. And I also don't see a way where we don't have less depth.
I think bottom line for next season is that there are a lot of things that can happen to make us a better team. Of course not of all them will, but it's hard to see a way where we won't be a better team despite the loss of leadership.
What is the role for a 2 for Beilein system?? I was under the impression 2 is a shooting guard/slasher. Not responsible for ball handling. That would be more of a Point Guard (Burke in this case). I know for sure he will not be a 3 in the pro's. Which has me more incline for him to play the 2 for Beilein. But this is when and where someone fills me in that's knowledgeable with Beilein system. Please
you sorta answered your own question as far as Hardaway at the 2 goes. To be a slasher you're gonna need a dribble-drive and man just not Tim's game.
I sure there are people who know the specifics of Beilin's more than I do. Dylan at umhoops is pretty convinced that Tim won't be able to play the 2 next season but we'll see.
Beilein's system has historically not been PG-centric, with both guards sharing ballhandling roles. We've moved more into a PG-dominated offense, but the 2 is still expected to be a secondary ballhandler. Hardaway will have to significantly improve his handle this summer if he wants to play that role.
I will wait and see on the starters, but the one thing I am confident of is McGary making everyone better with his presence on the court. My god, there was so much open and available in the lane against Ohio, but M had nobody who could take advantage of it. When McGary sets a screen for Burke at the top of the key, it is going to be an entirely different animal to defend, as opposed to Smot or Morgan setting the screen. Now Beilein will have a highly skilled, aggressive, physically gifted Big to crash the boards, make good passes, create his own shot. I can't wait to see it.
I can see Belien spreading the floor with Burke, Vogrich, Smot and Hardaway, leaving McGary to roam the paint creating nightmare scenarios for opposing coaches.
but my preference would be:
If Smotrycz doesn't improve his shooting, he doesn't help us that much at the 4. McGary would be a better rebounder, shot blocker and defensive presence. Plus I would really like to see him and Morgan banging in the paint together. Stauskas is a great outside shooter and has the height to shoot over any 2 out there, plus he can handle the ball and pass it.
I think our lack of depth wore us down and caused the 6 game season ending fade. I would like to see the starters average about 30 minutes next year and give the bench more PT. We should have the depth to do that.
Burke, hardaway, Robinson, mcgary, and Morgan. I leave smot as the 6th man only because I would like to see more athleticism on the court, which was lacking this year and got exposed.
Beilein is a smart guy. Yes, his offense so far in his career has been predicated on shooting the 3, especially with a 4 man who can shoot the 3 (Novak), but he is going to quickly realize when camp starts that the personnel he has is best suited to not rely so much on the 3. We will use more of a conventional offense that you see the majority of college teams running that employs 2 big men instead of just one. This is how I see our line up looking next season, with starters listed first and the next most likely person to see playing time at that position next.
1 - Burke Reserves: Stauskas, Brundidge
2 - Hardaway Reserves: Vogrich, Brundidge, Stauskas, Robinson
3 - Robinson Reserves: Hardaway, Vogrich, Smotrycz
4 - McGary Reserves: Smotrycz, Horford
5 - Morgan Reserves: Horford, McGary
Biggest concern would seem to be at back up PG - can either Stauskas or Brundidge actually play the 1? It's not like Burke will be out for any more than 10 minutes a game at the most but still questionable.
McGary and Morgan are my best bets on who will be starting at the posts next year, but really I wouldn't be even a little shocked to see any combination of McGary, Morgan, Smotrycz, and Horford starting. It really is a toss up at this point.
Regardless, this will be by far the deepest and most talented team we have seen at Michigan in a good long while. A top 10 pre season ranking wouldn't surprise me in the least, and I would think another run at a Big Ten Title should be in the works. Already can't wait. Go Blue!!!
There is no way 5 star talent sits next year. We need this talent infusion coming in too much to start Smotrycz and vogrich. Both of those players will be better served coming off the bench.
This lineup allows us to play inside and outside and allows us to rebound. Smotrycz and vogrich provide quality depth. We must put our best talent on the floor or we will get exposed again against top competition a.d tournament play. Our offense cannot be so reliant on the 3 ball. That style never wins big. We have to be more well rounded and this talent coming in can do that for us. I for one couldn't wait for next season to get here. We will be Much more talented next season. Go blue!
6. Robinson - SG/SF/PF
7. Horford - C/PF
8. Smotrycz - PF/C/SF
9. Brundidge - PG/SG
10. Stauskas - SF/SG/PG
Now, I don't see us going 10 deep often. But we can. I think Vogrich starts, but doesn't necessarily earn the most minutes. We have a lot of talent coming back and many possible lineup combinations because most of the guys are have the size and skill to play multiple spots.
I think horford may leap over Morgan next year. Morgan just didn't eem very good this season.
Reading this thread makes me wonder if those jibes about Michigan being a football school aren't true after all.
Freshman can't/won't start because other player's have more time in the system? This isn't football - don't think about the freshman QB analogy. The whole reason the NBA (succesfully) used to draft18 yos is that increased age and experience doesn't make basketball players better nearly as much as it reveals their limitations. The average incoming 5-star is BETTER than the senior who's been toiling away for 4 seasons, and therefore SHOULD start.
Still fairly confident that Mitch will start next year.
I think we'll have two lineups as usual: the big and small
I trust Beilein to put the best five on the floor for the what the situation dictates. I also think that sometimes the best player is not the most athletic.
Obviously, Burke & Hardaway start. Personally, I think that Smotz and Morgan also start. I think that experience and familiarity with a system means more than we realize. A year ago, Brundidge's name was heard a lot. Now, not so much. In other words, I'm not going to make assumptions about the ability of the incoming freshmen to assimilate.
As the season progresses, the starting five may change. IIRC, the Fab 5 were not all starting at the beginning of the non-conference season many moons ago, when they were all just freshmen.
Almost more important to me than the starters is the rotation. Who gets significant PT? Who is a contributor to the team? There are three current guys who I think could add a lot: Horford, Brundidge, and Bielfeldt.
I'd like to see two solid contributors at every position. Some guys may contribute at more than one position. I think that the addition of Horford, McGary, & Bielfeldt will actually benefit and open things up a lot for Smotrycz.
People here that are saying McGrary doesn't fit Beilein's offense are fogetting that one of the reasons McGrary is ranked so high is because he can handle the ball well for a big man and has a good mid-range game. One of our problems this year is rebounding, getting killed by guys like Sullinger in the post, and not getting points in the paint production. With all the threes we shoot, it would be nice to get some offensive rebounds. Smotz is not hitting that many threes to keep a guy like McGrary on the bench. Smotz would be a perfect fit as a 6th man giving us a lift off the bench. Thus, IF McGrary is as good as advertised, he's going to start. Everyone with Vorgrich in the starting line-up, have been watching the same games? I like his attitude but do you really think Vorgrich is going to be stating over 5 star talent? If Stauskas can handle the ball well and can shoot, I think he may start over Hardaway. I love Hardaway but he's really going to have to develop his ball-handling in the off-season.
My starting five:
First off the Bench:
/ shakes fist!
Morgan and McGary together will be fun to watch. Finally get some heat off Morgan and make every fould less of a crisis.