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Softball Regional Preview

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May 19th, 2011 at 10:50 PM
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MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591
Softball Regional Preview

Michigan received a #10 National Seed for this weekend's NCAA Softball Tournament.  In the Ann Arbor Regional is Western Michigan, Notre Dame and Kentucky.

The Softball tourney uses a double elimination format, which in my opinion, is the fairest because if a team has a bad hair day, they can still come back and win. 

The National Fastpitch Coaches Association (NFCA) has chosen JT, Ashley Lane,  Amanda Chidester and Bree Evans as First Team Selections.

 

Western Michigan University Broncos (25-28, 14-6 MAC). WMU received an automatic bid by winning the MAC softball title  It is the first title since 2003.  WMU came from behind and took 2 from the Ohio Bobcats for the title.  

WMU has 4 players that made all-conference; Courtney Rousseau, Kayla Houston, Gracie Barstad, and MVP - Pitcher Meredith Whitney.

WMU did not shy away from competition.  They played 5 ranked teams; then #10 ASU (L 17-0), then #6 Oklahoma (L 5-0), then #5 Alabama (L 6-1), then #16 Mizzou (twice)
(L 6-1) and (L 10-0) and of course #2 Michigan (L 6-1).

They had some embarrassing losses.  They lost to the College of Charleston (5-3), and to Central Connecticut (5-3).  They had a few quality wins against Notre Dame (3-2) and Loyola-Marymount (4-3).

In the game against us, MAC MVP M Whitney was the WMU pitcher.  We jumped all over her.  Colie and Ashley had 3 hit apiece.  Stephanie and Hilary split the pitching duties.

Summary:  WMU have not seen JT yet this year, they will regret it too as JT pitches a 6 inning mercy rule win.  Blue Dragon will have to dig deep into the archives to find a suitable post.


Notre Dame Fighting Irish (45-9, 19-1 Big East)  ND received an At-Large Bid to the Tourney,  ND finished 1st in the regular season and was #1 seed in the conference tournament.  However,  #5 seed Louisville knocked ND out of the tourney by a score of 6-0 in the semi-finals.  Syracuse would eventually defeat Louisville for the Conference Championship. 

The NFCA named their All Great Lakes team and Senior catcher Alexia Clay, senior outfielder Sadie Pitzenberger, junior outfielder Alexa Maldonado and junior infielder Dani Miller were each named to the first team.

ND played a few ranked teams: Oklahoma (W 2-1), Alabama  (L 4-1), Washington (L 7-4) and Michigan (L 9-4).   Oklahoma is NDs only quality win.  ND has two embarrassing loses against Long wood (L 2-0) and Western Michigan (L 3-2).

Summary:  ND can win if they hit on all cylinders.  ND biggest weakness is the lack of pitching.  They have to outscore their opponents.  They just cannot hang in a double elimination tournament.

 

University of Kentucky Wildcats (36-14, 14-9 SEC) received an At-Large Bid to the Tourney by finishing 4th in the SEC East.

The NFCA Southeast Region chose Senior Megan Yocke and junior Rachel Riley to first team selections,

Kentucky is a streaky team.  They lose to ranked Stanford 4-2, but takes 2 out of 3 from Tennessee and 3 straight from Florida.  KU had 2 embarrassing losses to Memphis (L 3-2) and South Carolina (L 4-3)

Summary:  Kentucky has the pitching to go the distance in Rachel Riley. She can flat out pitch.  They have shown that they can beat anyone at any time.  But they will certainly have to bring their "A" game to beat JT and Michigan.

I predict UK and Michigan in the finals with a big M victory

 

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 19th, 2011 at 10:57 PM | Epic Droid dbl post fail (Score:1)
SpyinColumbus
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Joined: 09/02/2010
MGoPoints: 1864

.......

Brady Hoke - High quality recruits one or two at a time.

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May 19th, 2011 at 10:59 PM | Droid triple fail (Score:1)
SpyinColumbus
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...

Brady Hoke - High quality recruits one or two at a time.

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May 19th, 2011 at 10:54 PM | This looked like a (Score:1)
SpyinColumbus
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Joined: 09/02/2010
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hockey regional until I saw Kentucky listed. Go win your regional ladies

Brady Hoke - High quality recruits one or two at a time.

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:01 PM | I thought we have (Score:1)
Lets_Go_Blue
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Joined: 10/06/2010
MGoPoints: 1759

I thought we have consistently beenr anked top-5 all season.  How did we end up a 10 seed?

Football is both an identity and a terminal illness. A rhythm and a chaos and an opiate for the mind all at once.

     -Johnny Danbury (umichedme.blogspot.com)

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:23 PM | We were (Score:2 Informative)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
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ranked #2 in the coaches poll.  The Tournament Committee uses RPI, quality wins and losses to determine seeds.  Basically they dont care for the Big Ten.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 8:07 AM | Not really a Big Ten issue (Score:3 Normal)
Alton
Joined: 07/05/2008
MGoPoints: 988

It's not that the committee "doesn't care for the Big Ten," after all, Penn State is hosting a regional despite probably not even deserving a tournament bid.

Last year, Michigan was #5 in RPI but got a #2 national seed because Michigan might have had the most difficult non-conference schedule in the nation--they played 16 games against teams ranked in the top 25.

This year, Michigan was #10 in RPI and got a #10 national seed because Michigan probably had the easiest schedule of any ranked team.  Instead of 16 games against top-25 teams, they played 4 this year.

There really turned out not to be too much difference between a #10 seed and a #7 seed, though, because Michigan will host the next round if they win their regional--#7 California can't play NCAA tournament games at their home field.

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May 20th, 2011 at 9:49 AM | I guess we will have to disagree (Score:2 Normal)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
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The Big Ten just doesnt have the talent to be considered a "Top" conference.  The Big Ten overall is not attractive for the good players.  Most of the great players come from Cali, Az, Tx, and the southeast region. 

Sure there are diamonds in the rough all over the country, but the vast majority of great players come from warm weather states.  It is tough to pull these kids to the mid west (Big Ten) when most of these girls have NEVER had a snow day.  Michigan, ND, NW and to some extent tosu have drawing power independant of the cold weather.

I agree that Penn State is a suprise to get in but I would guess that geography had more to do with the selection than performance.  They needed a school to host a regional in the east.  This makes travel easier.

Now that is not to say that every kid from cold weather are bad ball players.  I coach against teams from the U.P. (Gladstone and Esconaba).  Those girls play ball all year long.  They dont have soccer, volleyball or basketball to speak of that can pull the kids away.

Those kids play ball indoor all year long.  It is fun to watch those Upers play ball at a high level.  Most of those kids go to warm weather schools though just to get the hell out of dodge.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 11:02 AM | It's all good (Score:2)
Alton
Joined: 07/05/2008
MGoPoints: 988

I don't think we really disagree here.  Michigan had a weak schedule, so they didn't get a good seed.  I think we are both saying that.  In order to get a top-8 seed, Michigan has to play several games against SEC, Big 12 and Pac Ten teams in the early non-conference portion of the schedule.  We didn't manage to do that this year, and so the NCAA's formula worked against us, unlike last year.

Geography is not supposed to influence who get selected to participate in the tournament, it only influences who is chosen to host.  Penn State got in for some reason other than geography.  I guess we would have to ask Penn State's coach, who by an amazing coincidence is on the selection committee.  I wish them the best, but Illinois and North Carolina, who both have wins against Penn State as well as a better RPI, might not be so charitable.

Michigan has proven in the past, and will prove again, that there is plenty of softball talent in the snow belt.  Let's hope they prove it this year.

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:05 PM | 5 innings (Score:1)
Scorekeeper
Joined: 02/27/2011
MGoPoints: 64

Let's hope for a 5 inning mercy rule victory against Western (not 6).

 

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:07 PM | i agree, how does that (Score:2)
Arsenal Fan
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Joined: 10/14/2010
MGoPoints: 188

i agree, how does that happen?  but at any rate, BRING IT HOME LADIES!! Go BLUE!!

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:13 PM | Easy (Score:1 Normal)
Scorekeeper
Joined: 02/27/2011
MGoPoints: 64

A normal softball game ends after 7 innings, but if a team is ahead by 8 or more after 5 innings, the game ends as a run-rule game.

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:26 PM | Hi Scorekeeper (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

we debated the "run-rule" a few months ago and most agreed to use "mercy-rule victory".  I see you used the correct term.  That is the PC thing to say I guess.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 12:50 AM | Mercy rule is way cooler.  It (Score:4 Normal)
WolvinLA2
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Joined: 11/13/2009
MGoPoints: 17661

Mercy rule is way cooler.  It sucks worse to say you were mercied than to say you lost on a run-rule.  The latter sounds like a technicality, the former sounds like a beat down.

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May 19th, 2011 at 11:24 PM | I will be in (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

the Wilpon parking lot having a "few" before the first game.  I will "buy" anyone on MgoBlog a beer if you stop by.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 7:22 AM | I would take you up on that, (Score:2 Normal)
ND Sux
Joined: 10/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3131

but I'll be in Grand Rapids all w/e.  Thanks for sharing all the info, as always.  I'm confident our ladies will advance in style. 

"I promise you we would have walked to the University of Michigan."  - Brady Hoke

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May 20th, 2011 at 9:22 AM | Hi there ND Sux (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

The weather is 70 and sunny in AA so we will be styling.  Too bad that you cant make it.  The games will be on ESPN.  I have an open thread from the game with my laptop so if you cant watch it on TV, you can get updates on your MGoBlog Smart Phone.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 12:20 PM | Shaw has (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

been hitting a little better lately but its hard to tell if it is because of shitty pitching or not.

I am worried about Colie's knee.  I was hoping that someone would update the group.  We need Colie to make a deep run.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 12:29 PM | Nicole Sappingfield (Score:3 Normal)
Alton
Joined: 07/05/2008
MGoPoints: 988

According to Hutch last week, Nicole Sappingfield is "very likely out for the year."

http://www.annarbor.com/sports/michigan-softball-player-nicole-sappingfi...

"There's a small possibility we may get her back at a later time, but it is not likely."  I haven't read anything this week to indicate otherwise, unfortunately.

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May 20th, 2011 at 11:02 AM | Wish I were in A2 this (Score:2)
South Bend Wolverine
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Joined: 09/11/2009
MGoPoints: 1611

Wish I were in A2 this weekend to take you up on that.  Here's hoping we win the regional as we should!

Now with 100% less South Bend, 100% more Washington DC.

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May 20th, 2011 at 12:23 PM | Hi SBW (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

it should be a good series, and the weather is forecasted to be awesome.

Im predicting a M / UK final with a 4-2 victory for the good guys and Ashley Lane as the series MVP.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 7:25 PM | Nicole can barely walk (Score:1)
MGoSoftball
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Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

I was waiting anxiously to see if Nicole dressed today. She is hobbling along but can barely walk. If she comes back this year, I will be shocked.

UK just mercied ND. ND could only muster 2 hits. Looks like a M vs UK tomorrow and for the finals on Sunday.

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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May 20th, 2011 at 7:39 PM | sorry (Score:0 Redundant)
MGoSoftball
MGoSoftball's picture
Joined: 10/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3591

Double post

From the Red Cedar Message Board:  "God hates us."  Yes He does Lil Bro, yes he does.  Everyone hates you.

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