So, will all this discussion going on about the 2010 M football offense, what do you think their point/game average will be in 2010? The calc I did a while back for 2009 was in the high 20's (I did not include Baby Seal U). My guess is they will increase their average in 2010 by about a rouchdown/game and will probably average in the mid to high 30's. Pretty potent if true. This prediction is based on a lot of the same things that people have been posting (i.e., healthy quaterback, bigger and stronger offensive line, more and quicker receivers, decent running attack, etc.). This could make for a very high-scoring season indeed.
So, what will M football point/game average be in 2010?
since defense will probably be the same (hopefully not worse keyword HOPE) and UM needs to win 9 games. If UM doesn't average a touchdown more than last year there will be blood.
The defense will be better. Easily.
Even if it's not, if the offense adds a touchdown per game to its average, the team will win 9 games.
But I don't know how you can look at 2009 (3 walk-ons on the two deep, one starting, a true freshman OLB weighing 220 lbs., only 6 scholarship DBs after the Indiana game), look at 2010 (a true 2-deep across the roster, returning starters across every phase of the defense, the problem area, LB, now being taught by GERG, players like Williams and Kovacs being put in better positions to succeed, players like Turner, LaLota, Campbell, Isaiah Bell, Christian, Furman, Jibreel Black, Dorsey, Carvin Johnson, Vinogrit, and Dick Ash available as depth or rotational players, and not realize this D will be better in year two of the GERG experience.
number of points. The Defense this year has to be better than last year's (since it was atrocious). This, in turn, should give the ball back to the Offense more often, which will allow for more scoring chances. Also, to raise the scoring average/game by a touchdown, is quite significant. Finally, the Time of Possession stat should not be as lop-sided against Michigan as it was last year. This again will allow for more scoring chances and a higher points/game average.
Another point: Michigan's red zone touchdown conversion percentage last year was terrible, at 54%, 50-94 (while opponents were near 90% in scoring in red zone, TD and FGs).
If Michigan can improve that by an average of one TD per game....and reduce opponents by one score a game....
BOOM 10 WINS.
Vinopal who I'm sure will be redshirting, then what about my incoming dark horse Davion Rogers?
Was there anything elsa?
We are very bored....
Damn, I wish we would've made the tourney this year
Not sure on points/game but I would love to see TOP >30. Would do wonders for our Defense
All signs point to 'Hi scoring' offense; most starters are back, and Tate will be in his second year. There are several factors involved: If we run it up on UMass, if weather is favorable, injuries etc., but if everything evens out, I'd say 30 to 35 ppg.
170 per quarter. book it
Take out Baby Seal U when looking at scoring? Nearly every team in Div. 1 is playing FCS teams now, so when comparing to other schools (and that is the only point in even looking at stats) it evens out. Just because we actually did what we were supposed to against the cupcake doesn't mean that it should be taken out of every stat.
Very dependent on how good/shitty our defense is. Points/game is a very weak barometer for success IMHO. We could average 30 points/game and give up 27/game and end up 6-6.
Even if we don't improve one bit on either offense OR defense as far as sheer yardage goes, and the TOP stays exactly the same as last year, if we can just have an average turnover ratio (unlike last year's -1.0, good for 115th in the nation) we'll probably win 2-3 more games than last year.
our play's per point will be 0.000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000001
I hope we average about 38-40 points per game, but I would take anything in the mid-30s.
when we only had to score in the mid-20's to win. Hopefully soon our defense can make that so again. For this season though, I agree with most here (mid thirties are needed). Ideally, this big incoming class of defensive players will be the foundation of a dominant defense.