rundown of Michigan's riser
siap: bovada (formerly bodog) has us as 14 point dogs.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:03 PM
#1
siap: bovada (formerly bodog) has us as 14 point dogs.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:04 PM | 
That's it I guess. We have
That's it I guess. We have
August 28th, 2012 at 11:26 PM |
Actually Bovada is suggesting
Actually Bovada is suggesting
Actually Bovada is suggesting we have about a 15% chance. You put your money down yet?
...the Canadians make up for it with their emotion and classic ice-dancing skill.
August 29th, 2012 at 7:55 AM |
sportsbook
sportsbook
has had lines for weeks and they moved from 12.5 to 13.5 at the end of the weekend... then to 14 yesterday AM. Nothing to do with Fitzgerald. National bettors flooded BAMA so it moved.
'Cause I Bleed Blue...
August 29th, 2012 at 4:01 PM |
This was basically jamiemac's
This was basically jamiemac's
This was basically jamiemac's take, but I'm a little unconvinced that the line would move unless Vegas was unhappy with the bets it was taking. Why suddenly be unhappy with those bets unless you're revising some thoughts about the talent in each game.
Incidentally, I calculated that the line move was what a reasonable guess between the difference in Fitz and Rawls/etc. might produce, given Mathlete's WPA numbers and the change in expected winning percentage that the new line implies. Can't be precise enough to know for sure, of course.
...the Canadians make up for it with their emotion and classic ice-dancing skill.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:12 PM |
Fine with me, all these predictions giving
Fine with me, all these predictions giving
them no shot are just providing more bulletin board material/motivation. They proved most people wrong last year going 11-2, hopefully they can do it again on Saturday.
Also, for the record I have no idea who the heck bovada or bodog are.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:09 PM |
Bovada huh?
Sounds like a
Bovada huh?
Sounds like a
Bovada huh?
Sounds like a brand of toilet scrub brushes.
Maybe that's just me.
When the ADept sells special jerseys and gear, you'll see my picture next to the targeted customer crowd. A sheep.....but a Blue one.....
August 28th, 2012 at 11:11 PM |
ugh
the SIAP are back
ugh
the SIAP are back
ugh
the SIAP are back
I believe in equality for everyone, except reporters and photographers. -Mahatma Gandhi
August 28th, 2012 at 11:17 PM |
The title says it all?
The title says it all?
The title says it all? Maybe you could translate it for me and Herm, dog.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:25 PM |
I help. I spraken de bovada.
I help. I spraken de bovada.
I help. I spraken de bovada. Bovada is say to you: Please, for my money you take.
I will fight 'til I am dead, a winged helmet on my head.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:57 PM |
What? You no Michigan like
What? You no Michigan like
What? You no Michigan like with greater point? Why you no like bovada money?
I will fight 'til I am dead, a winged helmet on my head.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:28 PM |
That near Bolivia?
That near Bolivia?
That near Bolivia?
August 28th, 2012 at 11:28 PM |
For non-gambling purposes, 10
For non-gambling purposes, 10
For non-gambling purposes, 10 pt or 14 pt underdogs doesn't make that much of a difference to me in terms of the public's expectation for this game. Essentially they're saying we don't have a chance to win. I hope we prove them wrong.
"And when we play as a team, when the old season is over, you and I know, it's gonna be Michigan again, Michigan."
August 28th, 2012 at 11:30 PM |
What if
What if
My self-esteem is directly related to my MgoPoints.
August 28th, 2012 at 11:31 PM |
Interesting
Interesting
It means absolutely nothing but it's interesting to see how things effect the game spread.
Go Blue!
August 28th, 2012 at 11:33 PM |
Or a bunch of sharps put
Or a bunch of sharps put
Or a bunch of sharps put money down on Alabama.
Abort, Retry, Fail?
August 28th, 2012 at 11:37 PM |
A more informative title
A more informative title
A more informative title would be "FREE MONEY".
August 28th, 2012 at 11:48 PM |
3 team, 10-point teaser
3 team, 10-point teaser
-UM +24
-MSU +3.5 (I know, I know)
-South Carolina +3.5 (@ Vandy)
...free money?
August 28th, 2012 at 11:51 PM |
Honestly, yes that seems
Honestly, yes that seems
Honestly, yes that seems pretty safe. Although it's never a sure thing. Unfortunately if you lost this bet I think it may most likely be Michigan's fault.
August 29th, 2012 at 12:09 AM |
You got points with MSU and
You got points with MSU and
You got points with MSU and USC?
August 29th, 2012 at 12:26 AM |
10-point teaser...
10-point teaser...
means you get the selected teams +10 points, at a much reduced payout rate.
So, for the bet listed above, you would expect maybe a 1:1 payout (if you're lucky) if all three teams are within ten points of covering the spread.
So the spreads he listed are 10 points more in favor of U-M, MSU, and SCar than they are otherwise.
I compulsively downvote any usage of "lol".
August 28th, 2012 at 11:48 PM |
thank you
thank you
I was waiting for their line to come out and that was exactly the spread I was hoping for. Michigan with the points seems like a Damn good bet to me.
Go Blue!
August 29th, 2012 at 1:11 PM |
I wouldn't have trusted them
I wouldn't have trusted them
I wouldn't have trusted them if they were still caled bodog, but since they've rebranded themselves as bovada, they're totally legit now.
That's it I guess. We have no chance since Bovada says so.
903 wins most in college football