Season Predictions Thread

Submitted by CLord on

Does MGoBlog have a fixed day before each season to gather everyone's season W-L predictions?  If so, delete me.  If not, this is as good a time as any so here's mine to kick things off:

Aug. 31Central Mich      W            Cupcake 1

Sept. 7  Notre Dame       F              Rees is underrated.  Were this on the road I'd lean to a loss, but since at home.  Coin flip due to lack of Jake Ryan.

Sept. 14 Akron                  W            Cupcake 2

Sept. 21 @ ConnecticutW            Not a cupcake, and first road game, but W regardless. 

Sept. 28 --bye--               

Oct. 5    Minnesota          W            Tougher test than expected, but W.

Oct. 12  @ Penn State    F              We rise as they fall, and here the arcs meet in the middle.  Could go either way since it's at PSU, otherwise heavy Michigan lean.

Oct. 19  Indiana                W            See Minnesota.

Nov. 2   @ MSU                F              We finally significantly out talent MSU (offense no question, defense coin flip) but the fact that it's at E.L. and that this game is Dantonio's entire existence, means it's a coin flip.

Nov. 9   Nebraska             W            Typically a  coin flip, but my 6th sense tells me we spank them at home this year.

Nov. 16@ NW                   L              NW is a very good team, and I hope I'm wrong, but unless Mattison can solve NW's two headed QB hydra, I sense a frustrating loss for us where we trail the entire game but keep it close.

Nov. 23@ Iowa                W            See Minnesota.  Iowa's home edge will be the only thing keeping this from a blow out.

Nov. 30Ohio State           F              Will Borges turtle again as he did in the 2nd half last year?  Will Mattison solve the puzzle of OSU's running game where he must contain Miller on the edges without getting spanked by Hyde up the gut as happened last year?  Our home edge makes this a flip, otherwise, advantage a seasoned Braxton Miller.

Win                        7             

Loss                       1             

Flip                         4             

Variance              7-5 to 11-1                          

Prediction           9 Wins - 3 Losses (MSU, NW, OSU)

MACtion

August 5th, 2013 at 3:42 PM ^

You're not alone. I'm in Germany, so it's pretty much required to be drinking by this time of day. So I'll second 14-0.

11 games into the season, Michigan is undefeated and Devin Gardner has put together and impressive resume for his Heisman campaign. He seems to secure his standing as the Heisman favorite with over 300 all purpose yards against ohio heading into the 4th quarter as Michigan leads The Game. Ohio is forced to punt, and Devin looks at Brady Hoke who simply nods. One person notices it and moments later everybody is in awe as Gardner lines up as the return man. It's a fairly deep punt, but the crowd is going wild as Gardner jumps up the middle between two defenders, evades a tackle and breaks another, and then he's cruising up the far sideline to score a touchdown. He comes around, strikes the heisman pose, and it's set in stone. The sky splits open, Bo is risen from the dead, and the college football gods declare 100 years of Michigan dominance. 

smitty1983

August 5th, 2013 at 2:31 PM ^

Too many toss ups and I have a feeling Borges will be on the hot seat by end of the year. I will be disappointed if they don't reach 10 though.

Randy Marsh

August 5th, 2013 at 2:36 PM ^

Wins against CMU, Akron, Uconn, Minnesota, Indiana, and Iowa. 

Then out of ND, PSU, MSU, Nebraska, Northwestern, and OSU I think we win 3. I think we are more likely to win 4 of those than only 2,

So 9-3, but pushing 10-2

ClearEyesFullHart

August 5th, 2013 at 2:37 PM ^

One loss against OSU, NW, Neb or ND and one where we just don't show up. BTW...When does the MGOstore "Play like a chicken today" shirt come out? You gotta get em shipped before September.

umfan323

August 5th, 2013 at 2:38 PM ^

I predict we will have at least 10 more threads of the same topic before the season starts

814 East U

August 5th, 2013 at 2:47 PM ^

I am 100% with you OP about the flip games. I am going to go 8-4 for 2 reasons 1) I am a pessimist and 2) I need to see a pass rush out of this group without Jake Ryan before I start chalking up wins. I can see 10-2 but no better than that.

MSU, Neb, and OSU really scare me in the BIG10. MSU has a chance (with their schedule) to start 8-0 before they play Michigan, Neb, and NW. If they do by some miracle start 8-0 they will be a tough team to beat ( same as our 2011 year). However, SpartyNO moments can happen at any moment so we shall see.

Neb is such a bipolar team...honestly NO ONE KNOWS what the hell happens by the time we play them.

OSU will beat us and beat us twice if we make it to the BIG Championship. It disgusts me to say that but they seem to hold the slight advantages in key areas (DL v. OL and QB). I think Devin will have a breakout year but Braxton has started 2 full seasons already.

mgobleu

August 5th, 2013 at 2:42 PM ^

14 football wins and all the lands of Persia. Nope, screw it. I'm going out on a limb right now and saying we recreate the Roman empire and claim it all New Ann Arbor.

DualThreat

August 5th, 2013 at 3:04 PM ^

There was a thread regarding predictions in late June/early July IIRC, but what the heck, here's mine again:

2013 prediction:  12-2

Losses to NW and then Ohio in the BIG title game.

Win vs. Florida in Capital One Bowl.

------------------------------

Other years:

2012 preseason prediction score:  100%

2014 prediction:  3 losses

2015 prediction:  1 loss

2016 prediction:  2 losses

2017 prediction:  0 losses (National Title)

2018 prediction:  4 losses

charblue.

August 5th, 2013 at 3:06 PM ^

determine Michigan's success. And they are the rivalry games plus the stubborn road foes like Northwestern which has both home field and revenge in its favor this year. My prediction is 10 wins with a potential one-loss and or undefeated based on play against ND and MSU. 

This is actually the year that Michigan ought to contend for the title, not next year. Two primary keys to the season: improved running game and a defense as consistent last year with hopefully more pass rush. 

If Michigan goes undefeated the first half of the season, and ony ND stands in the way of that happening, then I think momentum and team confidence give Michigan a real chance of facing Ohio in a repeat battle of 2006 for mountaintop supremacy. But this based on everything going right and no major injuries. 

I think the passing game will be outstanding and it will make the running game that more effective. I am pretty convinced Michigan will have a solid if not outstanding defense with only a few major big play mistakes. I am usually not an optimist about this stuff. But this team's attitude combinded with the coaching and senior leadership make me feel very good about things this season. 

Perkis-Size Me

August 5th, 2013 at 3:08 PM ^

10-2, maybe, MAYBE, 11-1. I don't think we're deep and talented enough yet to go undefeated. Next year, maybe. 25th year senior Tommy Rees doesn't have Michael Floyd to bail him out this time around. Gardner will have some growing pains against their defense, but he'll put it all together for a great second half. W. We should be able to beat up on Penn State all things being equal, but being in Happy Valley, you really never know. And BOB will have his team ready, whether its a true freshman under center or not. I say a W, but I've got a really bad feeling about this game. I can easily an L here as well. MSU will be a joke to defend against, so I'm not worried about us having to keep up. But Dantonio will be game planning for weeks on trying to beat us, because of he loses, the only thing people will talk about is how the only reason he ever beat Michigan was due to RichRod. His program's stability hinges on this game. Their defense forces Gardner into an average day and keeps it close, but we do enough to escape with a W, and nearly shut them out on their own field. Folks in EL start getting a really familiar, yet uneasy feeling about their football team's status compared to the boys in Ann Arbor. Maybe I'm the only one who thinks this way, but I think we'll put a beating on Nebraska. Pelini and Co. always fall apart in big moments, and this game's importance can't be questioned. Nebraska is yet to win a big road game in the B1G, and it certainly won't happen at Michigan this Fall. W Northwestern. Ugh, damn that option. It will give us fits, and Venric Mark will have some huge return/s. for now, I chalk this one up to an L. OSU. Braxton Miller is going to have a good day against us. There's almost no way around that. We just can't let him have a great day and e the gamechanger. Being at home, that's a huge advantage, and I think we'll be able to move the ball just fine as long as Borges doesn't go all 2nd half 2012 OSU on us. If he does, make it 2 losses in a row, and the possibility of him being shown the door at the end of the season. But if he becomes creative Borges, like 2012 Iowa, 1st half 2012 OSU, and the Outback Bowl, we've got a legitimate chance to knock these guys out and send them hope with crushed dreams of what could have been a trip to the national title. Mattison will do his job like he always does and will have the defense ready. 31-28, W, assuming no Borges implosion.

bluebyyou

August 5th, 2013 at 3:11 PM ^

I'm also on the fence between 9-3 and 10-2.  Lots of graduating seniors replaced by young starters which raises concerns, particularly along the O-line..  ND, Nebraska, Ohio, MSU PSU and Northwestern are all games that I don't feel easy about. 

Based on our level of top quality young talent, I do think we may be a team that gets stronger as the season progresses.

mgobaran

August 5th, 2013 at 3:16 PM ^

CMU                    W              Cupcake 1

Notre Dame         W             At home & under the lights. 

Akron                  W              Cupcake 2

@Connecticut     W             Uconn just isn't there yet. Grind out W, by 10.

--bye--     

Minnesota           W             See "Uconn"

@Penn State        W             Just Hackenberg.

Indiana                W             Closest game all year for 3 quarters. Depth turns into issue as IU falters and loses by 20.

@ MSU                 F              Same reasons OP gave

Nebraska             F              As bad as his throwing motion is...I am scared of Taylor Martinez.

@ NW                   F             Last year's Hail-Mary-induced win has me worried.

@ Iowa                W            C'mon

Ohio State           F             It is called The Game for a reason. Has every chance to be a classic game. I am pretty sure they invented the term "coin flip" for this game.

 

Win                        8             

Loss                       0             

Flip                        4             

Variance              8-4 to 12-0                          

Prediction           11 Wins - 1 Losses (NW)

hart20

August 5th, 2013 at 3:27 PM ^

That's my range. We could pull a ND type season or we could make it to the Rose Bowl. We'll be really good this year. Our defense will finally be athletic and as long as our O-line improves over last year, which won't be that hard, we should be very good.  

bluenectarine

August 5th, 2013 at 3:44 PM ^

I am positive we will be 11-0 going into OSU game. There is a good chance we beat them and go to 12-0...then it gets interesting....some luck and Gibbons make it 13-0 and off to face Bama...We do not get creamed and that shocks them and the world!! Look out 14-0 and a repeat of 1997!!! wooohooo

Indiana Blue

August 5th, 2013 at 3:58 PM ^

have you looked at their schedule ???

B1G home opener   10/5 vs. ohio   then at Wisconsin, vs. Minnesota, at Iowa, at Nebraska then vs. Michigan

I am thinking they are 2 - 2 at best in B1G play when we come to town.  I predict a solid Michigan victory on November 16th.

Go Blue! 

Sideline

August 5th, 2013 at 4:14 PM ^

Going game by game...

We should handle Central Michigan (W) and get a lot of PT for a ton of [younger] guys. (1-0)

At 1-0 we head into our matchup with Notre Dame (W) who in all reality will be down from last year especially with Rees at the helm and the loss of Teo. I expect that one to be close going into halftime, but Michigan will pull away in the second half. (2-0)

Akron (W) follows where all the starters are done playing by halftime, and again, a lot of the younger guys get [meaningless] playing time. (3-0)

Michigan then travels to UConn (W) for a closer than expected game, however still come home with a win which puts them at 4-0 heading into conference play [in two weeks]. (4-0)

B1G Ten Conference play oppens with Minnesota (W) coming to town and getting beat in a competitive first half. (5-0) {1-0}

The second game of the B1G Ten conference slate sees Michigan travel to Penn State (W) and start out a little stale and going down early to Penn State. I see the typical Michigan second half shutdown of Penn State and Michigan winning another game in Happy Valley.  (6-0) {2-0}

Michigan then heads back home to take on a much-improved Indiana (W) team, however depth plays a role here and Michigan pulls away in the second half.  (7-0) {3-0}

Coming off a BYE week, the Wolverines head into East Lansing for a showdown of unbeatens. Michigan State (W) has handled every opponent thus far on their schedule thanks to their defense. Michigan had a BYE week to prepare and this is the game Jake Ryan makes his return and boy does he provide quite the spark the defense needs in order to dictate a game. Ryan puts Maxwell on his back more often than not and Michigan leaves East Lansing with another CLOSE win. (8-0) {4-0}

The following week Nebraska (W) comes to the Big House for their second time and the game is close in the 1st quarter until Martinez provides a turnover which sees Michigan convert that turnover into points and run away with the game.(9-0) {5-0}

Northwestern (L) is in perfect form at this point in the season and have had this game circled since the 2012 season when Michigan stole a game out from under them. Having lost their previous game to Nebraska, as well as coming off of a BYE to prepare, they are hungry to get back into the chase and steal one from the Wolverines. (9-1) {5-1}

Michigan travels to Iowa (L) with a close loss fresh in their minds from the Northwestern game... many people thought this was the trap game, however it turns out the Northwestern game became the "trap" and Michigan looks to get back on track. Hawkeyes get smashed. (10-1) {6-1}

The Game. nothing better than the 3rd Saturday in November. Ohio [state] (W) comes to town and just like in 2011, the game is close into the 4th quarter, where Michigan keeps the home stand alive under Hoke and Michigan (who has already locked up the Division the week previous) sets their date for a rematch with the buckeyes for the following week.  (11-1) {7-1}

Michigan takes on Ohio [state] in back-to-back weeks and The buckeyes storm to a 2-score lead early and hold onto it leading by a score going into halftime. Michigan comes out firing in the second half, and much like 2012, shutdown the buckeyes for most of the second half putting them in position to win the game late. They end up scoring with under 5 minutes to go in the 4th. Buckeyes (W) get the Ball and Michigan pulls a stop winning a close game and setting their path to the Rose Bowl. (12-1) {7-1}

The Rose Bowl: Not the National Championship game, but the Goal was to play in a Rose Bowl and that's where Michigan gets to. My gut tells me they play Stanford (L) here and much ike the game against South Carolina, this one stays close as well, however Stanford converts a couple of 3rd and shorts to burn the clock out and not give Michigan much time to score. (12-2) {7-1}

Generic MGoBlogger

August 5th, 2013 at 4:19 PM ^

Going to see one hundred more of these before the season starts, but I don't care... 

12-2 Losing the B1G Championship and beating Stanford in the Fiesta Bowl... Book it

And we better not lose to Nebraska because I will be making the trip up from Tennessee for it. Go Blue.. Let's get this season started.

greymarch

August 5th, 2013 at 4:21 PM ^

Prediction: 11-3.  Losses at NW and MSU.  Win at home against Ohio and ND, lose B1G championship game to Ohio, win bowl game.  11 win season = happy UM fan.

Sideline

August 5th, 2013 at 4:25 PM ^

Taylor Lewan 

 

Coming back for his Senior Season to Win a Championship. It's happening. Hoke likes this team. I like this team. You like this team. ohio won WAY TOO many close games last year (Notre Dame style) to go 12-0 where it just can not happen this year. It pains me to say this, but I would rather lose in the Big House to ohio and beat them in the B1G Championship game than the flip of that. The Team wants rings.

Wehadsubsitwascrazy

August 5th, 2013 at 5:04 PM ^

This article has some good Michigan stuff, with Big Ten previews as well. Didn't get any better than Michigan ND in 2011. The Win Total Line on Michigan is far too low at 8.5 Wins. I think they win 10 games this season. A win against ND assures a 5-0 start heading to Happy Valley. I don't think a split (2-2) against Michigan State, Nebraska, Northwestern, and Ohio State is too much to ask of this team. http://www.stateoftheu.com/2013/8/5/4585926/predictions-and-lessons-from-the-sec-big-10-canes-memories

snowcrash

August 5th, 2013 at 6:15 PM ^

We should sweep Central, Akron, Minn, Ind, UConn, and Iowa. Not worried about either of the road games as both UConn and Iowa had really inept offenses last year. At worst, we should lose 1 of those.

The other games are all tossups or better except for maybe OSU where we would probably be a slight underdog. We should at least be able to split them.

Unless something goes horribly wrong (read: Gardner gets hurt or is ineffective) we should be 8-4 at worst. Best case is 12-0 as there are no games where we are a clear underdog. I would probably put the over-under at 9.5 regular season wins but I'll say we go 10-2, beat OSU in the regular season but then lose the rematch in the title game, and win the bowl game to finish 11-3.

 

 

 

MGoLA

August 5th, 2013 at 6:57 PM ^

I think it all hangs on Devin's health.  If he plays every game, we'll go 9-2 or 10-1... we'll win all of the first 5 easily except ND, which we'll win but close.  There will be one other game that's tougher than expected, probably Minn but maybe CT (first road game.)

We'll go into Happy Valley and win one of those "gut it out" type of games that proves a building block.

Indiana is a trap game that worries me - we could be 6-0 coming off a very tough road win with MSU on the horizon.  If it were on the road, I'd be very worried.  At home, I'm more confident.

7-0 going into East Lansing and the start of "The Test" - @MSU, NEB, @NW. I think we win at least one, lose at least one, and the other will a toss-up.  If we're fairly healthy, we take 2.  If not, we lose 2.  

Iowa is another trap game, but we'll win.  

This all means we're weither 10-1 or 9-2 with ohio coming to town.  If we're healthy, I think we win.  IF there's a key player or two out, we may lose.  A week later, we'll do it again. 

IF Devin goes down for multiple games, I doubt we'll make the B1G championship, and we'll likely go anywhere from 6-6 to 8-4, depending on how many he misses.

WingsNWolverines

August 5th, 2013 at 7:55 PM ^

My heart tells me 11-1 but my gut tells me 9-3.

My mind usually is the one I go with. 10-2 with wins over ND, MSU and OSU.