With only 3-4 games left in the regular season, I started wondering if there is a realistic possibility we win the regular season title.
Currently MSU hold a 1/2 game lead over UM and OSU.
|Michigan||Michigan State||Ohio State|
|@ Illinois||Nebraska||@ Northwestern|
|@ PSU||@ Indiana||@ MSU|
Barring something highly unlikely, Michigan will need to win out to realistically stay in the hunt. Assuming that happens, we end up at 14-4 in the conference.
Obviously if MSU wins out, they win the conference, end of story.
Obviously we want OSU and MSU to lose every game between now and the conference tourney. If neither of them do until MSU/OSU then...
If UM and OSU win out, a 3 way tie between OSU/UM/MSU exists at 14-4 with a 3-3 head to head record amongst all 3 teams.
apparently the big ten changed the tiebreaking rules for the 2012 season. They are ridiculously hard to find via google, big ten site, etc.. but here they are:
B. Multiple team tie:
1. Results of head-to-head competition during the regular-season. a. When comparing records against the tied teams, the team with the higher winning percentage shall prevail, even if the number of games played against the team or group are unequal (i.e., 2-0 is better than 3-1, but 2-0 is not better than 1-0).
b. After the top team among the tied teams is determined, the second team is ranked by its record among the original tied teams, not the head-to-head record vs. the remaining team(s).
2. If the remaining teams are still tied, then each tied team's record shall be compared to the team occupying the highest position in the final regular-season standings, continuing down through the standings until one team gains an advantage.
a. When arriving at another pair of tied teams while comparing records, use each team's record against the collective tied teams as a group (prior to their own tie-breaking procedures), rather than the performance against the individual tied teams.
b. When comparing records against a single team or group of teams, the higher winning percentage shall prevail, even if the number of games played against the team or group are unequal (i.e., 2-0 is better than 3-1, but 2-0 is not better than 1-0).
3. Won-loss percentage of Division I opponents.
4. Coin toss conducted by Commissioner or designee.