Satisfaction = reality/expectation
Go with the SWAG! 8-4 first year! Mark it Down!
August 6th, 2015 at 11:04 PM ^
This team is not dissimilar to Harbaugh's first team with the Niners. Game manager QB, highly talented defense. If we can get Frank Gore type production out of our RBs (a question for sure, but there's no doubt the talent is there), then it's not farfetched to think this team could have a 49ers-esque turnaround in year 1.
But I have seen Harbaugh criticized for his clock management...
at some points in their career. Particularly in hindsight. Not all call time-out w/3 seconds before half giving the opposing team a shot at the end zone. Different.
Satisfaction equals Perception minus Expectations
Disagree. Not saying my equation is necessarily spot on, and I implied that reality as it is perceived because one's reality really is only whatever they perceive it to be.
But by your equation, if I expect a national championship season, and a national championship season happens (as perceived), then (NC season - NC season) = 0 satisfaction.
By my equation, satisfaction would be 1.
On the other hand, if I expect 0-12 and it happens, my satisfaction would still be 1, so my formula isn't perfect either.
14-0.
But I think that every year.
Mostly I want to see personal and team improvement. My expectations are that they'll win MOST if not all of the "games they should" and may get an upset in too. But really I want to see the machine forming this year, that players improve and the team plays better as the season goes on. I want the Michigan team that plays OSU to be able to kill the Michigan team that plays Utah.
A national championship 3rd game against OSU, with Michigan winning The Game, The B1G championship game, and the Natty by a combined 152-0 (and Harbaugh going for 2 in all 3 games).
Love where your heads at! Unfortunately, we are in the same division as OSU and therefore can't play them in the B1G championship game.
OSU goes 11-1, only loss to Michigan. the B1G ADs have a meeting and deciding to right/continue the wrongs of the 1970s they vote to have M and OSU play again for the B1G championship. After winning again, Michigan is the #1 overall seed but OSU only falls to #3, seeing as every other team in the country has abotu 3 losses, and OSU's only two losses are to #1 Michigan.
/took lots of effort
August 7th, 2015 at 10:28 AM ^
A two-loss team in the playoff? Your Gollum brain is faulty.
If Urban can go 12-0 his first year, why can't Harbaugh win at least 8?
Losses: Utah, MSU, OSU, Penn State, Minnesota.
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Also agree ... I want to see the "improve every day" mantra take hold and show fruit.
That does not mean I want losses ... it just means I don't want crappy Akron-like wins. The Akron win in 2013 was as satisfying as eating cotton candy for dinner. The warning sirens of what was to come were loud and clear. What was to come ... came and went. It was ugly.
The only way Michigan progresses to real competition with the likes of OSU is to, as Harbaugh preaches, get better every day. I'll take an 8-4 season this year with a clear line going up to a 10-2 season with a handful of sloppy, undisciplined Akron-type wins.
Have you seen an ophthalmologist lately? I think they can help with that thing going on with your eyeballs.
Any Michigan fan has to be fired up about this season. After all:
Harbaugh!
Eight returning starters on both sides.
One of the four tailbacks is going to break through a very improved o-line.
The coaching staff has improved for every facet of the game.
2. Is because that team was already well on its way to success. Maybe not super bowl contender success right off the bat.
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But - I feel better about this team's returning talent and coach than I did about 2011. 11-2 happened. It doesn't always have to be pretty, but if we can find ways to win behind defense for a month I think our running game can round into form to make us a competitor against every team on our schedule.
I am now. I expected a 10 win season in 2011, but now? I'm expecting a 7-8 win season. I've been pretty accurate in the last 4 years with the exception of last season in which I predicted a 7 win season.
If we win a few squeakers, we can be 12-0 end regular season. I don't see us losing more than four of them. Split the baby and say 10-3.
Parallels are there. Harbaugh inherited a team stocked with players, following a beloved, but less than great Head Coach (Dear Mike, please don't kill me. Your eyes are crazy and you're one of the best Bears ever).
Harbaugh's definitely walking into a pretty good situation
While Harbaugh assembled good staffs at prior CFB gigs, I doubt he had the open checkbook at San Diego and Stanford that he enjoys here. Maybe someone can refute this with, like, ... facts, but my sense is that the staff overall here is better than what he's enjoyed elsewhere on the CFB level. A top-shelf staff should accelerate improvement.
Also, the defense is already pretty good (assuming 2014 translates to 2015, given the number of returning contributing players). That's a good foundation upon which to improve. And the OL finally has some maturity.
For those reasons, I think this will be an 8 win season with a decent bowl game. Which is much better than what Harbaugh did at San Diego and Stanford.
Seeing the relief in our opponents' eyes when the fourth quarter of each game is over. Everything else will follow.
I didn't realize our TV broadcasts had made it to the Romulan Empire yet.
I've got a D'deridex-class Warbird there.Not that you can actually see it or anything.
Crush your enemies. See them driven before you. Hear the lamentations of their women.
That picture of Funk. I can't get past it.
I'd be shocked if we lost more than 4 games. 11-1 at best, 8-4 at worst. I'm sticking with 10-2. The Utah game is going to be very telling IMO.
Jim Harbaugh will not tolerate mediocrity.
I can't remember ever being more excited for a season to start and I have sky high expectations this year.
We return a bunch of starters from a defense ranked 7th in the nation last year (ahead of MSU, btw), and we're adding Peppers and Lyons (although losing a few key guys too). I think this D is going to wreck some teams this year with guys like Taco, Wormley, Mone, and Bolden coming of age. That should provide Harbaugh a bit of breathing room to get the offense going.
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I care about the trajectory.
I don't actually expect to see a "Harbaugh" team early in the year. His time and his staff's time with the players is very limited. He's not going to totally transform them in a month and a half of having them for a few hours a day.
But I do expect to see a Harbaugh team by the end of the year - tough, organized, competitive.
So in my mind, I'm heavily discounting losses in September. An 8-4 year with 2 losses in September is a 10-2 season to me if the other 2 losses are close and competitive.
I'm not going to freak out over losses to Utah and BYU if we are taking care of business against Minnesota and Penn State, and are tough against MSU and OSU.
Losers mentality. No offense.