Sam Webb hints on McGary....not good.

Submitted by MichiganMan14 on
https://mobile.twitter.com/SamWebb77/status/458765624324276224 Someone apparently in Mitch ' s class claims that he was not present for a final exam...not sure if there are alternate test taking times for scholarship ball players given the fact that the season is over. Was really hoping for his return along with most of you. Not sure why we continue to miss or not pursue other bigs if Mitch is going pro. Hopefully this all ends soon.

ppudge

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:16 PM ^

I'm not sure what to think. Manny Harris, Darius Morris, Timmy, GRIII and now - potentially McGary - none of them were guaranteed first rounders and yet they all left or are leaving the program early. Meanwhile, guys like Payne and Kalin Lucas (who was B1G POY as a sophomore) stay 4 years at MSU. Is there something wrong in our program where guys want to get out? Add in transfers (Smot, Horford, Brundidge, Christian, LPP), and I'm starting to get a complex about this!

ppudge

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:25 PM ^

Thank you. Guys like Trey and Nik - whom everyone thinks will be 1st rounders - I get. Just don't understand the mass exodus. Oh well, as you say, I guess it's good for the profile, but only if the guys amount to something in the league. I don't think kids are like, "I want to go to Michigan to be the next Manny Harris or Darius Morris so I can look forward to getting some 10 day contracts in the league!" Perhaps this big 3 - along with Trey and Tim - will give us that rep.

MGoBender

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:31 PM ^

Not playing in the league when you can get a contract is throwing away a year of money.  Good money.  Great money.  More money than I'll see in my lifetime.  Why throw that money away?

It's not about your first contract in pro sports.  It's about your second contract and if you can make $1M playing professionally, training with professionals and against professionals versus making nothing and training against inferior competition, why would you choose the latter?  For the  possibility of increasing your stock and your first contract?  Throwing away that year of earnings and the risk of injury and/or dropping in stock is often not worth it.

ppudge

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:46 PM ^

Totally agree. I'd love to see the rule be similar to baseball. Kids are eligible for the draft out of high school. If they're drafted and sign a contract (there will need to be a minor league with pro affiliations) then they forfeit their NCAA eligibility. If they are not drafted - or are drafted but don't sign by a certain date (beginning of fall classes) then they can't go back in the draft for 3 years (ie, after their junior year). This allows colleges to know they'll have players for 3 years and those who don't want to go to school - or have the talent to go to the NBA immediately - the opportunity to do so.

ppudge

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:38 PM ^

How's that 2nd contract worked out for Darius? I'm not trying to be a dick - I appreciate the money involved here, but 2nd rounders are guaranteed NOTHING - let alone a 2nd contract. And I guess I disagree that working with inferior talent on the college team will make improving his own game harder. Pro coaches suck. They don't teach you the game - they expect you to know it. They manage egos. I'll take Beilein or Izzo or countless other college coaches' ability to teach and develop skills over that of NBA coaches. But that's just my opinion and as we all know, everyone has one.

Erik_in_Dayton

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:50 PM ^

...guys can work on basketball all the time with personal trainers or whomever else they like. Stauskas noted that he was excited to be able to just focus on the game. As for Morris, what did he lose financially by leaving when he did? He wasn't going to get taller or much quicker. And going pro gave him more hours to work on his shot.

alum96

April 22nd, 2014 at 11:44 PM ^

I get your general point but Morris has made $2.5M in career earnings in 3 years i.e. more than 85% of message board poster will make in their lives.

 

If you work from age 23 to 63 you have to make $62K a year to match that.  Not bad work for 3 years and for all his "woes" he can go play in Europe, see beautiful cities for another 7-8 years I am sure while making $200-$300K a year.  Then go become a normal functioning adult at age 30-32. 

Salaries

Glossary  · SHARE  · Embed  · CSV  · PRE  · LINK  · ?
Season Team Lg Salary
2011-12 Los Angeles Lakers NBA $473,604
2012-13 Los Angeles Lakers NBA $962,195
2013-14 Philadelphia 76ers NBA $1,046,269
Career (may be incomplete)   $2,482,068

 

umchicago

April 23rd, 2014 at 1:53 AM ^

the last pick in round one gets about $1M per year for 3-4 yrs guaranteed.  the #20 pick gets about $2M per year.  and it keeps going up.

i think it's a much smarter play to secure a solid first guaranteed contract and wait one year then risk not getting guaranteed.  you are only risking one year of salary to guarantee good $.  if you blow up in the nba, the really big money will get to you anyway.

harris and morris are proof that staying the extra year would have been the right choice.  both would have been first round picks had they stayed.  GR3 and mcgary may both be on the outside looking in.

freejs

April 23rd, 2014 at 2:55 AM ^

It's their investment in you - their sunk costs. Their investment of not just a valued pick, but also the dollars they are locked into. 

Because this is what makes it so the team has a vested interest in your success, an interest that can mean not just more personal attention and chances on the court, but also more chances overall to work through growing pains and develop into the player that you can be. 

Second round picks, the team can take or leave. If you never see the court, who cares? If you have a summer league injury? Adios. The team hopes that you succeed as a 2nd round pick - the team, to at least some extent, needs you to succeed if you are a 1st round pick. 

Teams are much slower to give up on their first rounders - second rounders can quickly find themselves in the 10 day contract/NBDL/Europe merry-go-round. 

 

Tony Soprano

April 23rd, 2014 at 7:04 AM ^

The money Manny's making isn't going to sustain him for his life and the opportunity to earn such money is very limited (players get old and fade away) - he's not rich and will have to have a plan to earn money after his playing days are over.  Further, there are a bunch more like Manny Harris entering the league each year - he will be replaced.  However, a high first round draft pick is likely to earn enough money to be rich for life as these guys tend to stick around in the league for years (even if not producing much)  and if he managed his money properly will not have do get a regular job in his life.   HUGE DIFFERENCE. 

jmblue

April 23rd, 2014 at 1:15 PM ^

He's made a lot of money, but it's tough to tell a 20-year-old to be fiscally responsible. I hope he's put some of it away. As for this...
Not bad work for 3 years and for all his "woes" he can go play in Europe, see beautiful cities for another 7-8 years
...it's not as simple to make it big in Europe as a lot of people here seem to think. There aren't many roster spots available to non-EU citizens, and contracts aren't guaranteed. Also, living in a foreign country is quite a bit different than just being there as a tourist for a week.

Raoul

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:43 PM ^

I can see your point about Harris and Morris, but even with Morris, the Michigan staff can be credited with helping him get as far as he has.

You really shouldn't worry about the transfers. How many transfers has Michigan had over the course of Beilein's tenure? About one a year? That's not at all out of line with the overall percentage of college players who transfer. In fact, studies have shown that 40 percent of men's basketball players will transfer by the end of their sophomore year. That doesn't even account for the increasing number of graduate-year transfers.

ppudge

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:51 PM ^

Totally agree. Darius was not great as a freshman, but was super as a sophomore (remember Tim Doyle on the BTN calling him the Butterfly because he came out of his cocoon and was becoming a star). Imagine if he had stuck with Beilein one more year? Beilein says he can take good shooters and make them great. Morris' big flaw was his jump shot was poor. Perhaps Beilein could have helped it improve and he could still be a regular in the league now, but instead, he's hanging on with 10 day contracts here and there. I'll agree with you on the transfers - especially since 3 or 4 of them happened in one season (didn't Brundidge, Smot, Christian and LPP all leave after the same season)?

Shakey Jake

April 23rd, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^

It might be how mgobloggers see it but I don't see top level recruits seeing that based on the fact that Michigan still isn't consistently attracting top tier players. Part of that is how Michigan runs their program (cleanly) and I get that. But when Mitch goes, there isn't much talent or experience to replace him. That is what stings. 

Erik_in_Dayton

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:23 PM ^

While I hope McGary stays, the following is my opinion regardless: Something has to change with regard to the relationship between college basketball and the NBA. With college, you have programs and fans who want to keep players as long as possible and players who can't get away fast enough. Something is wrong when the people who make a sport possible drop it as soon as they can...The NBA & NCAA at least need to work out some sort of significant insurance for guys who stay in school.

cbs650

April 22nd, 2014 at 11:05 PM ^

NBA and NCAA don't need to work together. They each have their agenda and this is where a union or representing body for the players would be beneficial in college. The NBAPA will do it's best to keep younger guys from taking veterans jobs and college coaches just want keep their NBA talent in college for free to help them win.

Jobu

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:25 PM ^

No worries guys. I'm only 30 mins from Ann Arbor and drunk. I'll creep campus and see what I can find out.

reanimator

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:26 PM ^

GR3 is in a better position than Mitch in this draft imo. He is built for workouts and combines. If McGary leaves, he'd better hope The Harrison twins and Dakari don't declare. 

Perkis-Size Me

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:38 PM ^

There's nothing to report until there's something to report.

Losing McGary would be a huge blow, I don't want to sell that point short, but Beilein will adapt to whatever personnel we have. Most everyone wrote us off after losing Burke and Hardaway, and especially after how last season started, and we won the conference by 3 games without McGary anyway, not to mention were a Hail Mary 3 point shot away from a trip back to the Final Four.

There will be no shortage of talent on this team even if McGary leaves. I just hope we've got some solid 2015 big man prospects that have a good chance of joining the fold.

Mr. Yost

April 22nd, 2014 at 10:46 PM ^

We passed crazy with this topic and we're firmly in looneyville.

Soon we'll be in flight tracker territory...and that's simply when I stop caring.

God forbid Mitch wear any other color but maize or blue until this decision is public.

Nolongerusingaccount

April 23rd, 2014 at 4:20 AM ^

I think it would be a mistake in terms of his future, but he should do what he feels is right.  It's not for anyone on this forum or anywhere else to decide anyways.  I hope he comes back because it would not only benefit Michigan basketball but would probably guarantee him first round status.  At the same time, it's his choice, and I hope he does extremely well in the NBA if he gets drafted.  

 

Anyways, he may not get into the first round, but he will be drafted and he will make some roster if he were a second round pick.  In my opinion, he's too good a talent not to be able to make a roster somewhere.  The thing that he will be risking is the guaranteed three years.

 
Finally, the meltdown on this board has been entertaining to say the least.