is there such a thing as an etsy genuis? if so, this is it.
Sagarin Ratings: Michigan - #15
Ken Pom is our master.
At least we're 23 in his great wisdom
We had a few losses early to good teams, including several we should've won. There's no such thing as a good loss, but they do give confidence that we'll have success against teams to come
This is more than fair and accurate; by season's end, it just seems as if M will end up ranked somewhere in the teens. Which would be just fine heading into the tournament.
We are very, very young. We will be in the tourney, and we will make a run.
That sounds around where we would be at if we didn't lose to Charlotte. Every other loss comes against top-15 teams, including at Duke, where nobody out of conference has won since Nam.
Beilein will have this team humming along by the time March rolls around. There's a lot of talent to play with. Just need to get guys like Walton up to speed. We will be just fine.
i could still see Michigan winning the B10 if things start to click soon enough. I wouldn't bet on it, but I could definitely still see it happening.
Until you look at Wisconsins schedule.
I wandered over to Massey, and it looks like we're 37th overall and 6th in the conference, which seems about right to me based on what I know of the method. Actually, their estimate right now (they traditionally update on Mondays, I think) is an 11-8 record for the remaining games, but keeping in mind that this is based partially on our non-conference performance and that things could pick up during conference play, take an early prediction for what it is worth. Here is the prediction for the remaining schedule over there as it stands now -
25th in Power though, which is the equivalent of Sagarin Predictor.
- 3. Ohio State
- 7. Wisconsin
- 13. Iowa
- 14. Michigan State
- 25. Michigan
- 27. Minnesota
- 45. Indiana
- 54. Illinois
- 77. Penn State
- 86. Nebraska
- 101. Purdue
- 120. Northwestern
Minnesota didn't pass the eyeball test when I saw them but I missed the Florida State game and that's a big chunk of their resume to date. Otherwise this seems about right.
You have to remember the team has not had a healthy McGary for a while. I think Michigan will finish in the 3-5 range in conference. With a healthy McGary it'll be closer they'll be closer to the top, rather than middle.
The B1G appears to have done Michigan a favor with its early season schedule. Michigan's first four conference games are at Minnesota, N'Western, at Nebraska, and PSU, Michigan should be significant favorites in all but the Minnesota game. Minnesota's only losses were at Syracuse and at home to an 8-2 Arkansas team. Among the wins is a 10-point vicotry over FSU. Assuming a semi-healthy McGary and a victory over Holy Cross, Michigan could be 12-4 with a six-game winning streak by the time, Michigan heads to Madison (followed by a home game against Iowa and a trip to East Lansing).