Sometime a couple of years ago, someone on the board created a Bowl Pick'em spreadsheet that used Sagarin ratings to create a "Watchability index" that looked for games where Sagarin predicted close games and used this budget his time over the holidays, and also to help him pick winners. I haven't seen anyone post this yet this year, so I figured I'd go ahead and make one up.
Here is a link to the spreadsheet. It is setup to work with the Yahoo Sports system, so the games are sorted in order of most confident picks (Arizona State over Navy) to least confident (Northwestern of Mississippi State). There's a "PREDICTOR Pick" column which indicates which team the PREDICTOR model would pick to win the game (Sagarin regards PREDICTOR as the best model of game outcomes). If you prefer, you can also pick by RATING and ELO_CHESS differences using the appropriate columns in the sheet. Enjoy.