Had you (and what has actually transpired) stopped at "Everything I've heard outside of M-centric guys points in this direction" I would agree with you, but Farrell is most definitely not a M-centric analyst by any stretch. Basically you just ignore what M-centric people are saying because we know they have a slanted view, but once you ignore that and are still left with a gyu who has shown in the past to have a pretty good track record for knowing such things, you still have pretty good reason to get excited. It's early, but this is good news.
...says Denzel Valentine of Big Ten Tourney favorite MSU, which is 5-7 in its last 12 games. Cumong, man.