I have seen a lot of peoples "wish lists" and projected class of 2012 threads here and at other Michigan Blogs. The main question I have is at what point do we start making some our offers non-committable ones like other schools sometimes do. Right now we have 10 commits. My best guess and general consensus around here seems to say we will end up with a class of around 20-22 with attrition, but right now it is at 18 assuming a D.J. Williamson transfer.
Here is my problem though, every time I add up what I believe would give us my projected class I end up with right around 23 spots. I can't seem to get down below 23 no matter how I do it. This is where I am at right now:
1 QB - I am of the believe you must take a QB every year. Period.
1 RB - Hoke said he wants a RB every year and between Dunn and Garmon we are in on some very good backs.
1 WR - I think we need at least 1 receiver in this class. Honestly I could see us taking 2 but because we aren't offering very many and the best possibilities being Stanford and Burbridge I think we are planning on only taking 1 this year.
2 TE - Everyone thinks Ron Thompson is almost a Michigan Lock but unless this staff is counting Williams towards the 6 OL they have been said to want i don't think we have room for him. It is very possible that Williams is an OL recruit though.
6 OL - The staff has stated they want 6 OL and this is a major position of need. We have either 2 or 3 already, with names like Diamond, Denman, Banner, and Simmons on the top of my offer list.
4 DE - This is the position where I may be high at 4 DE. The real number may be 3, but with the two commits from MO and Brown yesterday, I have trouble believing that if we do in fact land Wormley as I hope we do, that we would not keep recruiting the likes of Washington, Strobel, Pittman and Spence hard. These are all highly touted Ohio and PA prospects and some of them have expressed interest in Michigan quite recently.
2 DT - Opposite to the DE position I may be low here. With Godin and Day expected to be major Michigan leans, or one even a silent commit, this puts us at 2 easily. If this is the case would Pipkins be left out of this class? This may be a case of we will take 4 DE and 2 DT or 3 or each depending on who commits first.
4 LB - Full
1 CB - We need a CB and there seems to be a lot of players who have interest in Michigan, Richardson would be the name that I would save a spot for at this point.
1 S - Lots of names to fill this spot at either DB position but I do believe we will take a total of 2 DB's especially with the recent offers to Foster and Standifer.
This give us 23 total.
The major point of this thread is to ask at what point do the coaches become extremely selective in who is able to commit. I don't love the idea of pulling offers but at this point it seems as though we are filling this class fast and can't accept everyone. I personally would like to see the coaches go hard after the big time players at this point. It is still very early in the recruiting cycle though so I was curious what everyone else thought.