Quick look at the BCS standings... Remember, 10 BCS slots (Orange, Rose, Sugar, Fiesta, + NCG), 6 auto-bids (Big 10, Big 12, ACC, SEC, PAC-10, Big East), no conference can get more than 2 bids.
- Alabama and Florida remain 1/2 by strong margins. If both go undefeated, they will meet in the SEC championship, and if Texas loses, a Ala / Fla national championship rematch remains a strong(est?) MythNCG possibility
- USC maintains its standing as the strongest 1-loss team, but the computers love them some Hawkeyes so much that they are ahead of USC in the BCS standings. A run by Iowa to an undefeated season at this point likely lands them in position to benefit from a stumble by the Ala/Fla/Tex troika into a national championship birth.
- TCU has passed Boise St as Cinderella in the BCS buster status, but interesting to note is that only Oregon and LSU are within sniffing of them in BCS standings in terms of 2nd conference bid status. What this means is that if Oregon, LSU, USC, or Penn St slips up one more time, we stand a distinct possibility have two BCS busters if TCU and Boise can finish out undefeated. I think you can pencil in Ala/Fla loser as one at large which would knock out any other SEC teams, Oregon & USC meet up this week in a probable BCS elimination game, leaving really only a 1-loss Penn St as a viable 2nd BCS conference birth team.
- Cincy may be done as a CInderella nat'l champ game contender, although games against Pitt and WVa will boost their strength of schedule and consequently, computer rank. Unfortunately, they're 6th in computer rank and will probably only get a bump in BCS if teams ahead of them in the polls lose forcing pollsters to boost them into a Top-3 to 5 ranking in both Harris and Coaches.
- Three most shocking things to me:
1) I am shocked (shocked!) that the computers don't love USC more (9th in computer rank).
2) I am shocked (shocked!) that Iowa while ranked 8th in both Coaches and Harris still rank 4th in BCS standing
3) Notre Dame has now creeped into the discussion at #23 in BCS standing. Win out and they're probably in the BCS with momentum from a win streak pushing them in polls (boosting BCS score), and end-season victories against Navy, Pitt, UConn, and Stanford (all winning teams) really bumping up their computer ranking. An undefeated Boise or TCU may get knocked out by a 2-loss Irish team whose most impressive win may be against a 4-5 loss MSU team??