tonight with sore throat. Maybe it's the fever, but I'm banking on the upset:
Guess I'll be watching the game in solitude to prevent the spread of my germs!
tonight with sore throat. Maybe it's the fever, but I'm banking on the upset:
Guess I'll be watching the game in solitude to prevent the spread of my germs!
I think there's a standard prescription for that...
Unfortunately, I just think their D is going to give us problems. I say 24-13 Iowa.
Hate your prediction. However, I think you might be right. I think it's closer than that, but Iowa wins.
Iowa 35 / Mich. 31
They only put up 35 points once this season.
If we can throw on them we can beat them - I'd say 28-24.
If we can't throw 24-7 Iowa.
or the thrill of the first Red Wings win of the year...but I have a good feeling about this game for some reason I cannot explain.
ok guys neg if you need to, but lets be honest with what we are working with here. molk is still out, so the line will be questionable. let's not even start on the defense. C brown is out, so there goes the experienced change of pace guy to minor rage. we still have a true freshman qb in only his 2nd road game and his first night game. despite the late 4th quarter heroics by tate, the best i can comfortably call this game and be totally honest with myself and the way we have been playing is Iowa 27, Mich 17. sorry guys!
I shun you and your rational prediction.
Michigan 31, Iowa 24.
but the Wolverines will.
If this happens, this just might be the game that gives me a heart attack.
I don't think my heart can take too many more of these games. I hope the 70-80 year old "down in the front" people know what they are getting into.
I am so over the drama. Can we win in a blow out please!?
These close games are killing me.
I predict if we score more points then Iowa, we will win the game. 28-27 us
This is solid analysis.
If we hold Iowa to fewer points than us, we will also win.
So if we score more points AND hold them to fewer points, then we'll extra win.
Although our contract is with Adidas, I support the Wolverines wearing sweet Chuck Taylors. Unlaced, of course.
UM needs to come out and get a 2 score lead and make stanzi throw. He has horrible accuracy. If they can get out front make him throw and get some turnovers then Mich is in business. They need to come out firing. This is a hard one to figure out since Iowa has let crappy teams stay in the game, and then they go and beat penn st. What michigan team is going to show up and who are they going to have at corner opposite warren. I see a 5 point ball game going either way.
they won't win, just like last weekend.
Just watch the oline in the first couple series, if it looks like the Indiana and MSU games, then it could be a long night in need of Tate heroics.........if it looks like ND, we're in bidness.
I dont like making predictions anymore...because I am usually wrong... like most people are lol. I guess it is human nature to try to be Nostradamous, but in reality very few of us really know anything about the future, let alone the future of others.
Anyway...that said, I have a feeling that Michigan is going to play very well under the lights in Iowa City. I see the offense and Tate moving the ball well and the defense playing better than what would be expected. It will be a close game decided by turnover but I think...Michigan has a great shot in this one.
The two armies shall meet in a bloodless combat
As night descends upon the gathered
The youngest of the Sons will lead them
To cries of Hail for the victorious.
I have had this one pencilled in as a loss since camp, but I also had MSU as a win. They lost to a team they should have been able to beat last week, so they now have to beat a team to which they should lose. Iowa is as good a place as any to do that. Besides, who am I to argue with "Nostradamus."
UM 28, Iowa 26 with four field goals.
Well written. It made me think of the opening battle in the movie Gladiator. .. except there was a lot of blood shed in that one
Michigan. Tate leads a last second drive, thus ascending from the third stage of enlightenment to the fourth and ultimate stage, in which he abandons samsara and is fully enlightened.
Just a hunch.
plus Bhuddism references. I think that's a first for mgoblog. Nice work.
nom myo ho ren ge kyo
28-17 UM--but that could change in the next 14 Iowa Game prediction threads we get before Saturday's kickoff.
Do you have to be a dick in EVERY single thread?
Man, it feels great to be able to say that. By this time last year, the fog had set in and we sat back and prepared for the worst.
Now, Tate and the O makes me look forward to each kickoff. Something tells me the running game lights it up, even down Molk and CB, and Tate stretches the field with some occasional biggies.
Michigan. Stanzi throws picks all over the place.
I am gonna say that a couple costly turnovers by Stanzi will cost them. I like the way our run defense played against MSU and I feel we will be capable of handling the Iowa ground game. This in turn will cause Stanzi to throw more than Ferentz would want an lead to a turnover or two wich will lead to 10 points in our favor. Plus I don't think our secondary is going to be as much of a liability if Kovacs is at safety with his above average run support. I say Mich 27
that the whole game comes down to the running game. If UM can effectively run (think Penn State last year), Tate will make enough plays against an Iowa secondary that is relatively weak in comparison to the front seven. I see Brandon Minor having a HUGE game although I do see Michigan having to throw more than they would like to. Also, with all the attention on UM's running game, look for Koger and Webb to have some decent gainers in the middle of the field.
Defensively, Stanzi should not scare us the way Claussen did. Iowa's conservative approach should be familiar, we had it for 13 years under Lloyd. I think UM will play their best game defensively all season with Martin, Graham and Ezeh having really productive nights.
That being said, the x-factor is Stonum and the return game. Field position will be at a premium and I think UM has an advantage here that puts them over the top. I think Kinnick will be crazy but once again Tate leads a late drive that ends with a FG (the opposite of 1984) and UM wins 20-17
I am going to conservatively estimate 35-13 UM
underestimate Iowa's defensive backfield because their front seven are so good. They have 10 picks on the year which is 2nd nationally I believe. Also, Iowa has been injured much of the year and this will be the healthiest they have been. I think our run game struggles without Molk and Brown. Tate throws a pair of picks. Our D can's stop their run and Stanzi doesn't throw a pick. This is the best team we have played so far and its not even close. I hope I'm way wrong but 31-17 Iowa
I wouldn't say they are underestimated just that they are not as good as the stats indicate. Those picks are a result of the pressure from the front 7. I just think if you can slow the pass rush down with some screens or quick slants and possibly establish somewhat of a rushing game with some strech plays and give Tate time to throw it will open up their secondary. I do not think they have any shut down corners on the def. Didn't 4 of their picks come in one game. It all begins and ends with controlling the line of scrimage.
[Edit] They had 5 picks against ISU
I haven't watched Iowa this year other than highlights and looking at stats. I think our offense has the potential to put up points on anyone. Moosman and the right side of the line have to seriously raise their games for this one. Let's hope we get it done against a formidable foe.
Realistically, Tate is going to be under a lot of pressure all day. Their D-line is likely going to plow through our O-line given what we saw last week. So, the running game will need to be on, and this could potentially be a good game for Denard to see some significant time to keep the Iowa D on their heels. Hopefully, Denard can make some throws too if he does get in there. But, Tate should not expect to be able to hold onto the ball very long. Runs and screens, runs and screens. With a successful running game and quick passes, we win 28-24. If Tate tries to create too much against the Iowa D, we lose.
I see a replay of the MSU game, but with no late heroics.
I'm going to go with relatively low scoring. Something like 24-21 M.
Iowa 24, Michigan 13 -- Iowa's strengths play right into Michigan's weaknesses...I think Michigan's best chance would come from forcing Stanzi into mistakes. He's not a very good decision maker...I make these predictions based on my 35-plus years as a coach in the NFL and college.
I thought then (basing this in the impressive performance at PSU). I'm worried about Stanzi turning into a one game superhero against us--when he does make the right decision, he can be very accurate, especially on deep balls. Iowa is better than MSU on both offensive and defensive lines, plus LB's, and IMO match up very well against us. Combine that with home field and I have a tough time predicting victory. Iowa wins 27-17.
the improvement on defense last week vs. the run. Putting JT in for Boubacar also helped shore up the corner spot. They are still moving parts around on the defense, and I say give Brandon Smith (the other #4) some reps on D. This will be a big hyped game, and the pressure is on Iowa to win. It's their homecomming game.
It's hard to predict this game, but a safe bet is that it will be close. If it comes down to one drive to win the game, I give us the advantage. Tate is the new Captain Comeback, and this dude wills us to victory with little to no college experience. Just think how good he'll be in three years.
Michigan comes back and wins in the last 5 seconds with a pass to Stonum in the back corner of the endzone. 31-28 Mich wins!!! GO BLUE!!!
First, it's a road game in a more hostile environment than they encountered at MSU. The fans are right on top of the benches, and our young players are in for an earful. In its current Molk-less configuration, our offensive line is mediocre at best and is not very physical. Against Iowa's very active and physical DL, it's going to be a struggle to run the ball, and Tate is going to be under great pressure all game long. He will throw a pick or two, which will lead to short-field Iowa scores. Iowa's offense is far from dynamic, but they'll be able to exploit our vulnerabilities at LB and possess the ball.
Iowa 34 UM 17. The only thing keeping the game close will be if Iowa turns the ball over multiple times.
Even in a loss, Forcier is defintiely the real deal. We now have a trend on late-game heroics, not lucky plays. I don't see this one getting out of hand because of Tate's ability to orchestrate a comeback.
Michigan - 34
Iowa - 31
The defense still has issues and we give up 31 points, but Forcier hits Koger with under 2 minutes to go to take the lead for good.
and motors along going forward. Look for Stanzi to get pwned ala Branch vs Morelli.
Alan Branch was awesome.
I think that first lost inspires Tate to have his best game yet. However, I'm not sure how much the play calling will change b/c of the freezing temp. Iowa beat an overrated psu team who hasn't beaten anybody with a winning record. Iowa's had some close games against teams that shouldn't be on their level so it's not like they’re blowing anybody out. Iowa's okay but not great. If Michigan can hold on to the football (0 turnovers in the second half) Michigan wins 24-14. I think our D finally has a matchup they can work with (I hope).
Minor - 2 rushing TDs.
Forcier - 1 rushing TD.
Roundtree - 1 passing TD.
Hemingway - 1 passing TD.
Olesnavage - 1 FG.
14-10 Michigan in a slugfest.
The Michigan offense will play great while the defense allows 23 points, holding Iowa to 3 FGs, 2 TDs.
Michigan wins this one 27-23, as Olesnavage will have 1 extra point blocked.
Michigan will be ranked #20 in next week's poll, as Iowa drops to #22.
If this comes true....I'm heading to VEGAS next week!
Heartbreaker last week - 1st ever OT loss; and to Sparty
IU was way to stressful for an IU game - the 3.5 quarters of "knowing" we lost to IU for the first time since 1987 was cruel and agonizing
EMU 1st half was void of anything good... second half could not quite make up for the empty feeling
ND may have been the best game I can remember... however, it took 2 years off my life
It's time for one of those "OMG this is awesome" games where there is no stress... just fun.
Irrational prediction of the week:
UM 31 Iowa 13
Blessed us with two late TDs last week, but weren't about to upset the order of the universe by letting us win after the way we'd otherwise played on offense.
Is it supposed to rain tomorrow night in cornland?
If not, I like our upset chances.
If so, I hope Koger dunks his hands in glue before the game.
needs some glue.
Michigan jumps into the AP top 20 after a dominant victory over Iowa.
Michigan 47 - Iowa 25
You can take that to the bank.
a South African one?
I predicted long ago that UM would take two of three from ND, MSU and Iowa. I am sticking with it. I have no idea about the final score. Probably under 40 total points.
Everything that I have seen points to a somewhat comfortable Iowa victory. They slacked off for a couple of games, but they had good looking victories against Iowa State, Arizona, and Penn State and that is the version of the Hawkeyes we will see Saturday night. Kinnick Stadium has been a really hard place for us to play the last 15 years. They are easily the best team that we have faced so far. Especially on defense. Throughout the entire Frerentz era, I can't think of any spread team that has had a very good game against Iowa. They are one of the best teams in the conference at shutting it down. Their front seven are great. Too much for our Molk-less front. Their offense will probably move the ball all day on us for long drives, giving us few offensive posessions. They won't blow us out though, since that's not their kind of game. I wouldn't feel very good about this game even if we were the slightly better team, which we aren't. My prediction is 27-14 Iowa.
In the back of my mind, I'm holding out hope for a start like the Penn State game last year, where MINOR RAGE explodes all over a team that we have no business piling up 200 rushing yards on.
This will be a hard fought, low scoring game with the advantage going to the team that wins the field position battle. This gives the edge to Zoltan. I predict U-M breaks the Iowa no rushing touchdown streak but is otherwise held to 3 FGs. Final score U-M 16 Iowa-10
tired of hearing about Offense carrying M, and about how great Iowa's defense is, shows up big time. Six forced turnovers later, M emerges with a 20-17 victory.
17-24 UI wins.
I can't not pick us to win. That's just fundamentally wrong.
UM 27 Iowa 20.
Don't ask how we get there.
Michigan 24, Iowa 21. Tate engineers a late 4th quarter drive resulting in a FG for the win.
Game winning field goal as time expires and Olesnavage never has to worry about getting laid again.
UM 21- Iowa 20
Iowa kicking a couple red zone field goals rather than scoring TDs is the difference in the game.
My head says: Iowa 21 Michigan 14
My heart says: Iowa 17 Michigan 28
Let's hope my heart's right!!
Mich 55 Iowa 0. With the Tater at the helm, what else could be expected?
Since the game is on ABC, the commercial with
Every Wolverine believes in the Forcier
Every Hawkeye wants a Big 10 championship
Last time I remember seeing Michigan featured in this commercial was during the 08 Capital One Bowl...
Let's hope trends continue...
have to go with the boys.
Michigan - 28
Iowa - 24
I know it's crazy, but I can't help but think I want to see Michigan pound the football. To see Minor get 40 odd carries. To see Rod coach a Big Ten game at Iowa like it's a Big Ten game at Iowa.
I can't help but think the cold will affect the slot guys; that as the game goes on, Tate starts (un)consciously adjusting to the numbness in his fingertips. Maybe it affects his play; I don't know. But there's a latent expectation of a costly turnover or two, probably from a warm-weather guy.
Which is not to say I expect Iowa to be perfect; they won't. I think we can generate some favorable matchups in the trenches, springing Minor for long gains. I think Koger will make some great plays on possibly erratic throws, and make some big plays on Iowa's D. I hope that if Minor's play is consistent enough, and on all cylinders early enough, that Stonum can run wild for his break-out day.
I'm conditioned at this point in the season to expect Junior, Tay and Kelvin won't be a predominant factor in this game, but instead the x-factor. Going against Iowa, and maybe/probably because I've been indoctrinated with Carr-ball, but I can't help but think the game shouldn't be on the shoulders of slotmen. Their blocking, though, and abilities to draw DEs off coverage will be huge.
Right? Because this is Big Ten football, after all, and my gut tells me the pace should be dictated in the trenches. Lots of plays, long drives.
Or...is this the game where Rich Rod and co. prove they don't have to adapt to "Big Ten" ball, that their system is intrinsically dominant, and signs appear in the way of short scoring bursts that the future is now.
Isn't that the real theme of THIS game?
I hate to say this but hey
But then again, I'm a pessimist
I still believe we can win.