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Predictions for Mich/Sparty bball

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:26 AM
#1
goblue85
Joined: 08/23/2011
MGoPoints: 358
Predictions for Mich/Sparty bball

Michigan returns to action tonight at State 9pm ESPN.  After this stretch we have endured I must say I'm glad its over and coming back for some home games coming up.  This team has played at Ohio, IU, and wisky and looked not great.  This is the fourth game in a very hostile environment.  The key will be hanging around early on and we have a good shot.  The mentality after the deflating loss at Wisky should help us be ready for this street fight.  Hopefully Burke and Hardaway bring the same fire that Novak gave us two years ago that I still always look back and smile.   I think Mich will come ready to play tonight.

 

Michigan 71

State 67

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:29 AM | See (Score:4 Normal)
lbpeley
lbpeley's picture
Joined: 01/29/2009
MGoPoints: 1621

"Guess the Score" thread.

/End.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:03 AM | "Guess the Score"? (Score:5 Normal)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19380

It's completely buried in the site by now. It should have its own link since it's an official MGoBlog contest.


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February 12th, 2013 at 12:51 PM | It was a joke, (Score:3 Normal)
lbpeley
lbpeley's picture
Joined: 01/29/2009
MGoPoints: 1621

Francis. Lighten up.

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February 12th, 2013 at 12:56 PM | Yeah, and this guy isn't even giving away (Score:2)
champswest
champswest's picture
Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 2017

a t-shirt.

"I hate losing more than I like winning." - Zack

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:31 AM | GR3 gets going again and (Score:5 Normal)
HttV Wolverine
HttV Wolverine's picture
Joined: 08/02/2010
MGoPoints: 7363

GR3 gets going again and Stauskas hits 4 three pointers. Michigan wins 65 - 60.

“What the mind can conceive, the mind can achieve and those who stay will be champions.” - Bo 

][V][

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:41 AM | The GRIII (Score:5 Normal)
lbpeley
lbpeley's picture
Joined: 01/29/2009
MGoPoints: 1621

thing needs to happen moreso than the Stauskus thing. Good grief that man has disappeared recently. At least Nik does some handling/distributing. GRIII just stands in the corner and watches.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:13 AM | He has struggled (Score:4 Normal)
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2857

He is a freshman, he will come around, and yayada, but I see him becoming more and more frustrated with the nature of the offense.  This is not a critcism of JB, his offense is what it is but I see it being a hard offense for a wing with Robinson's skill set to get used to.  At least 3 times a game, Robinson needs to get the ball free throw line extended on a wing with a clear out.  Robinson could make somethings happen if given time and space, and we desperately need a player that can command a double team or at least make defenders have to sag.  All of our perimter shots are coming after about 7 high screens and are still contested or off an elaborate series of screens desigend to get a good shot off.  I think GRIII is the answer to a little inside outside and I hope that the coaching staff goes out of their way to get him involved.

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:44 AM | It all goes back to GRIII (Score:4 Normal)
The Shredder
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Joined: 07/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3733

It all goes back to GRIII skill in dribbling the ball with defensive pressure on him. He isn't confident enough yet to do it. The top Big 10 teams do this well. Something like THJ had to work on and did get better at. I look for major important next year.

http://midnightmaize.blogspot.com/

Latest MM Post(3-22-13) Devin Booker Mini Scouting Report

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February 12th, 2013 at 12:03 PM | I agree, (Score:1)
ijohnb
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2857

but at this point, I have to say that I think GR III trying to impact the game and failing is better than him doing nothing.  I know these are pressure cookers that he is playing in, but the big boy pants have to go on soon enough.  He simply cannot be invisible on the floor or they should go with two bigs and limit his minutes.  I am not hating on him, he is going to be a very good player, but we simply need something from the position and he has been flat out invisible for the last month.

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:33 AM | Michigan GUARDS THE (Score:5 Normal)
El Jeffe
El Jeffe's picture
Joined: 07/07/2008
MGoPoints: 6729

Michigan GUARDS THE GLABDANGED INBOUNDER.

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:33 AM | Michigan 73  state 68 (Score:1 Normal)
Wolverine Devotee
Wolverine Devotee's picture
Joined: 06/29/2009
MGoPoints: 5601

Michigan 73  state 68

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:49 AM | msu 62 MICH 59  :( JK msu (Score:1 Normal)
Andrew Jackson Jihad
Andrew Jackson Jihad's picture
Joined: 10/30/2011
MGoPoints: 1008

msu 62

MICH 59 

:(

JK

msu 59

MICH 70

www.eatacheeseburger.blogspot.com Brian Cook has read this blog!

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:53 AM | Michigan wins 90 - 42 and Tom (Score:5 Normal)
robbyt003
robbyt003's picture
Joined: 10/25/2010
MGoPoints: 2625

Michigan wins 90 - 42 and Tom Izzo turns more purple than Brian Kelly. 

“When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing” - Bo Schembechler

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:58 AM | 71-66 (Score:0 Overrated)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19380

MSU. We're still too young to get over the hump on the road in a very hostile environment against a good team, as the struggles of Robinson and Stauskas @ OSU, IU and Wisconsin show. As is always the case, the calls will favor the home team, and Morgan is not 100%, if he even plays.


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February 12th, 2013 at 10:29 AM | This^ (Score:-1 Overrated)
Bosch
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Joined: 04/03/2009
MGoPoints: 4299

Everyone likes to paint pictures of roses and rainbows in these prediction threads but we are 0-3 in tough road environments this year.

Our tendancy to not foul seems to be hurting us, as ridiculous as that sounds.  The B1G refs appear to be making a conscious effort to keep the fouls even or, in away games, in favor of the home team.  

The refs will probably let this game be physical, which doesn't really bode well for Michigan.

I don't see Michigan coming out with a victory.  

 

All right Lemmings. Bring the heat.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:33 AM | Unfortunately, I agree with (Score:1 Normal)
DrunkOnHiggins
DrunkOnHiggins's picture
Joined: 06/16/2011
MGoPoints: 700

Unfortunately, I agree with both of you.

"And if that doesn't wet your appetite, you're watching the wrong channel."

You can usually find me bumping some Reggae, hammered on Higgins Lake with the goon squad. #HALOL

Go Blue!

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:57 AM | Indiana and OSU both lost at (Score:1 Overrated)
ghost
Joined: 09/02/2011
MGoPoints: 697

Indiana and OSU both lost at Illinois and we beat Illionois by 14.  MSU lost at Minnesota and we won there.  OSU doesn't visit Minnesota and Indiana and Wisconsin still have to.  Saying we are 0-3 in tough road environments is not correct.

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:25 AM | Come on.... (Score:-1 Overrated)
Bosch
Bosch's picture
Joined: 04/03/2009
MGoPoints: 4299

Illinois is a train wreck.  Northwestern also beat them at home.  They sit behind Purdue in the B1G standings.  They certainly aren't consistent enough to put too much stock in that victory at this point.

And Minnesota?  They are a respectable team, but I wouldn't necessarily call Williams Arena a tough road environment.  Michigan is 6-1 in their last 7 trips there.

All right Lemmings. Bring the heat.

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:23 AM | Saying we are 0-3 in tough road environments is not correct. (Score:0 Overrated)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19380

So you're either asserting that OSU, IU, and Wisconsin are not tough road environments, or you're asserting that Illinois and Minnesota are at the same level of tough road environments that OSU, IU, and Wisconsin are.

OK then.


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February 12th, 2013 at 11:33 AM | Wait, that's not true.  What (Score:5 Normal)
turd ferguson
turd ferguson's picture
Joined: 12/09/2009
MGoPoints: 2956

Wait, that's not true.  What if he thinks that all five of those places are tough road environments, even if OSU, IU, and Wisconsin are a little tougher than the other two?  In fact, isn't that a totally reasonable belief?

You could probably say that we're 0-3 in our toughest three road games, but winning at Illinois and Minnesota - and doing so comfortably - is something.  Those are "tough road environments."

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:42 AM | I did not say at the same (Score:0 Overrated)
ghost
Joined: 09/02/2011
MGoPoints: 697

I did not say at the same level, but Indiana and OSU (who Illinois beat by 19) showed Illinois isn't an easy place to play.   Wisconsin, OSU , and Indiana were the 3 toughest road games, but they were not by any means the only tough road games.The Big10 has 7 teams that are basically tournament locks.  Michigan is 2-3 against them,  3-2 without a fluke shot at the buzzer.  Illinois is no train wreck.  They have wins over the #1 team, @ #5, #11 on a neutral court, and Minnesota.  

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:53 AM | And losses.... (Score:-1 Overrated)
Bosch
Bosch's picture
Joined: 04/03/2009
MGoPoints: 4299

to Northwestern at home and @ Purdue, putting them behind Purdue in the B1G standings.

Regardless, you are arguing two different things.  Illinois and Minnesota are respectable teams, but their arenas are not hostile environments to play in.

 

All right Lemmings. Bring the heat.

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February 12th, 2013 at 12:31 PM | I bet Indiana and OSU (Score:1)
ghost
Joined: 09/02/2011
MGoPoints: 697

I bet Indiana and OSU consider Illinois a tough place to play.  How tough a road environment also depends on how good the opponent is.  For instance Miami is not someone who has an arena that is tough to play in, but if say Virginia goes in there in  a couple of weeks and wins everyone will consider that a great road win.  

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February 12th, 2013 at 6:02 PM | OK? (Score:1)
Bosch
Bosch's picture
Joined: 04/03/2009
MGoPoints: 4299

Kansas might also say that TCU is a tough place to play.  Good teams will suffer road losses.  This is not a revelation.  It is also not the point.  The point is that Illinois' Assembly Hall and Minnesota's Williams Arena do not tend to be difficult venues to play at for Michigan, especially Williams. 

 

 

 

All right Lemmings. Bring the heat.

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February 12th, 2013 at 9:58 AM | Muppets. (Score:5 Normal)
토린
Joined: 04/07/2009
MGoPoints: 13909

Muppets.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:20 AM | I hope I'm wrong (Score:0 Trolling)
WestVirginia Wo...
Joined: 01/12/2013
MGoPoints: 65

Sparty 84

Mich 80

In our third straight overtime game

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:27 AM | Can we get Novak to show up (Score:3 Normal)
DrunkOnHiggins
DrunkOnHiggins's picture
Joined: 06/16/2011
MGoPoints: 700

Can we get Novak to show up just to blow up on a few guys if we get down early?

"And if that doesn't wet your appetite, you're watching the wrong channel."

You can usually find me bumping some Reggae, hammered on Higgins Lake with the goon squad. #HALOL

Go Blue!

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:03 AM | done! (Score:2 Normal)
Jon06
Jon06's picture
Joined: 09/19/2009
MGoPoints: 2161

http://mgoblog.com/mgoboard/inspiration-arrives-form-zack-novak

RIP my avatar, June 14, 1998 - October 26, 2012.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:29 AM | I see Sparty by 10. 74-64 (Score:0 Overrated)
ReadYourGuard
ReadYourGuard's picture
Joined: 08/21/2008
MGoPoints: 6223

I see Sparty by 10. 74-64

"the Spirit of Michigan...is based on a deathless loyalty to Michigan and all her ways....and a conviction that nowhere is there a better university, in any way, than this Michigan of ours" - Fielding Yost
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February 12th, 2013 at 10:33 AM | Unless we are flat like at (Score:5 Normal)
BornInAA
BornInAA's picture
Joined: 11/21/2009
MGoPoints: 3675

Unless we are flat like at Wisc, I think we match up well. We have a better perimeter game so guards need to shoot often and well because rebounds will be tough. Could be a key road win.

 

life is like a box of chocolates... and you got the Whizzo Quality Assortment

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:46 AM | We will lose another physical (Score:1 Trolling)
CRISPed in the DIAG
CRISPed in the DIAG's picture
Joined: 11/08/2010
MGoPoints: 547

We will lose another physical battle tonight and I'm not sure we find the juice for MSU - as strange as that sounds - like we could for Ohio.  This one looks a lot like the IU game, with less good basketball.

60-51, STAEE.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:47 AM | No time like the present (Score:5 Normal)
Der Alte
Der Alte's picture
Joined: 07/30/2010
MGoPoints: 89

Nick and GRIII absolutely postively need to step up tonight. We won't beat Sparty with only Trey, Tim, and Mitch carrying the bulk of the scoring load. 

A lifetime of happiness! No man alive could bear it; it would be hell on earth!

George Bernard Shaw

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:47 AM | 59-58 Michigan Hardaway with (Score:4 Normal)
hvsiii
hvsiii's picture
Joined: 08/18/2010
MGoPoints: 783

59-58 Michigan

Hardaway with a game winning running bank shot as time expires.

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February 12th, 2013 at 10:59 AM | Fast Start... Please. (Score:1)
Willy Wonka
Willy Wonka's picture
Joined: 01/21/2012
MGoPoints: 381

It'd be nice to start quickly, a la the Northwestern games. If we start quick I'd say Michigan by 6-10. If not, it wouldn't be surprising to see Sparty win by 10.

I feel like if we get a couple of good looks and buckets early it will help the team settle in. I'm sick of seeing the team start slow, especially on the road. MSU has looked dead at home in the first halves of their past few games. They scored 18 first half points against Minnesota for God's sake.

Start quickly. Silence the crowd. Get EVERYONE involved (WE ON Anyone?).

P.S. I really hope Burke does his beginning of the year Burke - roughly 16 points and 10 assists. It's growing old having him dribble out the clock while everyone stands and watches.

Go Blue!

You Get Nothing MSU. You Lose, Good Day Sir!

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:00 AM | 65- 60 Michigan (Score:4 Normal)
DKohn81
DKohn81's picture
Joined: 02/11/2012
MGoPoints: 743

65- 60 Michigan

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:01 AM | The pressue will be on Sparty (Score:1)
ghost
Joined: 09/02/2011
MGoPoints: 697

The pressue will be on Sparty tonight as they are leading the Big10 as of right now.  They haven't faced that kind of pressure yet this year and we have seen what the pressure of being #1 in the country has done to teams and we seen K-State get hammered last night by their rival when they were in first place in the Big12.  Marquette was in first in the BigEast and they proceeded to lose to Georgetown.  Arizona regained first place over Oregon and promptly lost at home to Cal.

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:08 AM | There's What Massey Says... (Score:4 Normal)
LSAClassOf2000
LSAClassOf2000's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8947

Here's a quick comparison:

Overall - Off. Stat Comparison Conference Only
  Michigan Michigan St.   Michigan Michigan St.
Points/Game 76 68.7 Points/Game 73.5 68.5
Avg Score Margin 15.7 9.4 Avg Score Margin 10.7 5.5
Assists/Game 15.2 13.6 Assists/Game 14.1 13.5
Total Rebounds/Gm 36.5 36.9 Total Rebounds/Gm 35.0 34.0
Effective FG % 56.40% 51.70% Effective FG % 54.96% 50.93%
Off Rebound % 31.40% 32.30% Off Rebound % 33.10% 30.90%
Overall - Def. Stat Comparison Conference Only
  Michigan Michigan St.   Michigan Michigan St.
Opp Points/Game 60.3 59.3 Opp Points/Game 62.7 62.9
Opp Effective FG % 47.50% 44.70% Opp Effective FG % 48.20% 48.79%
Off Rebounds/Gm 9.2 9.4 Off Rebounds/Gm 10.8 9.9
Def Rebounds/Gm 24 24 Def Rebounds/Gm 24.2 24.1
Blocks/Game 2.8 3.7 Blocks/Game 3.1 2.5
Steals/Game 5.7 8.6 Steals/Game 6.3 8.6

By the numbers, this is a pretty even matchup, so if we don't come out looking as little flat as in the Wisconsin game, as someone noted above, then it stacks slightly in our favor, I would think. That being said, this seems like it will be another defensive game, so if we can make the easy shots that do come our way, we might get away with a win at Breslin. If we let State get out to a quick start, they have the defensive competency to make this Wisconsin redux. Not much of a prediction, but this game might be a good each way bet as Massey and other sites have noted. That being said, the optimist in me will go with 66-64-ish Michigan.

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:15 AM | Michigan wins (Score:1 Normal)
ryanlove12
Joined: 01/12/2013
MGoPoints: 244

We are the better basketball team. Winning in the road is tough, but we have already been more than tested on the road. It's not like we just shrank under the pressure. We lost three hard fought games, one of which courtesy of a half court shot. We know to expect some bad calls, and the opponent to shoot better than normal. I also think we find a shooting touch tonight and won this in the 6-10 point range

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:15 AM | I'm very concerned with our (Score:0 Trolling)
MGoClimb
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Joined: 07/31/2012
MGoPoints: 335

I'm very concerned with our inside game going into the Breslin to face Payne and Nix.  If we can limit the amount of production they get there I think we stand a decent chance.

Start strong, freshman play well, etc. etc..

Unfortunately, MSU pulls away late with free throws.  74-65

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:17 AM | While I can't predict outcome of the game... (Score:1)
Niels
Joined: 09/04/2009
MGoPoints: 59

...as I see anything from MSU by 8 to UM by 10 (depending upon how they rebound from UW), I do think that if UM wins I see them as a Final Four team and if they lose I think they probably lose in the Great 8 game.

My rationale is that this is their last chance to make a statement outside the confines of Crisler before the B1G tournament and the tourney. If they lose tonight, I do think that they will carry with them added pressure and doubts about winning away/neutral games with unfriendly refs and the like. Also, it would likely mean that they would be out of the midwest for the tourney or, if they are a 2 seed, in the same bracket as IU in Indy (which might as well be an away game).

 

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:25 AM | Regardless (Score:1 Normal)
Mgo_fly
Joined: 08/30/2010
MGoPoints: 91

of the outcome, we have this:http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2013_swimsuit/models/kate-upton/

Didn't see this link anywhere and even if already posted it's worth a repeat or ten.

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:26 AM | If (Score:1)
UofM Die Hard i...
UofM Die Hard in Seattle's picture
Joined: 03/10/2011
MGoPoints: 635

GRIII can show up and everyone else do what they do, then we can win this game by a handful of pts, if not, get ready for another game coming down to the wire.  We need his quite 12 pts. 

 

Go Blue!

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:52 AM | Burke has to win the match up (Score:2)
The Shredder
The Shredder's picture
Joined: 07/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3733

Burke has to win the match up with App and some how Michigan must limit Payne a bit. The guy has been on a tear and has been shooting the ball very well. They will go to the block on us time and time again. That is where they have an advantage on us. It will be interesting to see if Coach B goes with two bigs in the lineup or goes to a zone to counter Nix and Payne.

http://midnightmaize.blogspot.com/

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February 12th, 2013 at 1:34 PM | I think one of our biggest (Score:2)
MGoRossGrad
MGoRossGrad's picture
Joined: 11/18/2012
MGoPoints: 131

I think one of our biggest concerns is our defensive rebounding after short jumpers and layups.

In the past few games I think we've actually done a decent job defending the block; it's just that after our opponents throws up a bunny around the hoop, we cannot seem to grab a defensive board.

It's almost as if no matter if they make or miss a contested post touch, they have the putback immediately there. 

Especially with State's size, I think that is the deciding factor.

Hail. 

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February 12th, 2013 at 11:54 AM | Burke gives up the last shot (Score:2 Normal)
allintime23
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Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2400

Burke gives up the last shot and THJ drills it. Michigan wins 70-68. I sleep well and awake to happiness.

All in for some manball.

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February 12th, 2013 at 12:06 PM | UM - 72 MSU - 67   Big bounce (Score:4 Normal)
MGoLogan
MGoLogan's picture
Joined: 03/07/2012
MGoPoints: 215

UM - 72

MSU - 67

 

Big bounce back game for UM.  MSU does not have great perimeter defenders and Hardaway and Burke take advantage of this.  Both go for 20+ as UM picks up a huge road win.  Go Blue!!

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February 12th, 2013 at 1:06 PM | I predict Max plays (Score:2)
champswest
champswest's picture
Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 2017

> 15 minutes tonight and McGary fouls out (along with Appling).

"I hate losing more than I like winning." - Zack

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February 12th, 2013 at 1:11 PM | Good game (Score:0 Trolling)
jaylee714
jaylee714's picture
Joined: 05/04/2011
MGoPoints: 222

Michigan State 77 Michigan 74

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February 12th, 2013 at 1:31 PM | I'm not exactly sure how the (Score:2)
MGoRossGrad
MGoRossGrad's picture
Joined: 11/18/2012
MGoPoints: 131

I'm not exactly sure how the final outcome is decided, but I do predict we begin the game similar to the way the games at Indiana and Ohio State started.  Flat. 

Aside from the few fast starts that we've had, B1G play has really slowed us down.  Once we get started, we generally can break out big scoring runs, but for the most part we've been a little slow on the uptake of getting comfortable with the environment, refs, defense, etc.

I'm not saying we lose, but, again, I think we're in for another ten point deficit halfway through the first half.  We just need to respond adequately.

Hail. 

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February 12th, 2013 at 1:47 PM | While we have lost three of (Score:2 Normal)
Soulfire21
Soulfire21's picture
Joined: 03/18/2010
MGoPoints: 3191

While we have lost three of our tough road games (@OSU, @Indiana, @WISC) we were in them all, after being down by 21 and 15 and 9, respectively.  In fact, we should have beaten Wisconsin 60-57 and we probably would've beaten Indiana (or at least ended with a single digit loss) if they hadn't went 14 of 14 on their free throws to end the game (remember, we did score 3 straight 3s).  And of course, Burke missed a finger roll basket to put Michigan up 1 in crunch time in the OSU game, only a 3 point loss.

Maybe tonight is finally our break?  Maybe tonight we beat MSU in the final seconds or something good?  This team sure as hell deserves it.

I think it would be foolish to expect a Michigan win given the road game/hostile environment, but if we fire quickly and catch State snoozing in the first half, we have a very, very good chance.  The safe pick, at least for me, is a State victory by 8-10 points (padded by free throws at the end, should we choose to foul).

HAIL.

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