Predictions for Mich/Purdue bball
Michigan basketball is back in action tomorrow night at Crisler 7pm ESPN. Michigan will be looking to improve its record in the Big Ten to 5-1. Burke, THJ, McGary expect to help us shine and get the home win and revenge on Boilers for last year's tough loss. Another sellout and Maize rage should be a great atmosphere. Michigan is going into a stretch where they will play five games in ten days but at least three of the five are at home. I expect to pull away in the 2nd half and get the win.
Michigan 74
Purdue 60
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:33 AM ^
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:27 AM ^
I am pretty sure you mean Purdon't.
And this is ususally the only thread that discussses individual games before the Homepage preview so I really don't see anything wrong with having these posts.
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:02 AM ^
I am pretty sure he meant Purdue because that is their name.
Both of you got downvoted. Clean it up or take that crap to Mlive.
-Herms Understudy
January 23rd, 2013 at 12:04 PM ^
Purdon't?
You shall not refer to Ohio State as Ohio, not refer to State as Staee or Little Brother. Take that disgusting/rephrehensible/unspeakable stuff to MLive too.
January 23rd, 2013 at 12:22 PM ^
that is where that stuff belongs. Thank you for making my argument for me.
I avoid little brother and have never seen staee (do people actually use that?)
Ohio is different, but yes, those others. I fully agree. You have no argument there, right with Purdont and O$U and all those other "funny" names. We are on the same page.
January 23rd, 2013 at 12:26 PM ^
be something different than other, more offensive alternates but it has festered into something out of control. It is no better than the others listed.
January 23rd, 2013 at 1:31 PM ^
STAEE is hilarious, because it's true. Little brother, not so much. Suckeyes, no, but STAEE? Yes, yes, a thousand times yes.
January 23rd, 2013 at 4:45 PM ^
And I down voted you for being such a baby.
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:36 AM ^
Can we stop having these the day before the game? It's like an arms race to see who can be the first one to post a prediction thread.
At this rate we are going to be predicitng the last Indiana game of the year by next Friday.
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:44 AM ^
Yes Yes and Yes. Please.
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:44 AM ^
76-74 Michigan.
BKFinest it.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:50 AM ^
A wins a win- but that would be a very dissapointing result. We just beat a top-10 team on the road by a decent margin, and have been very solid at home. Plus, Purdue is not very strong. If we do one of our second half early runs this should not even be a game pretty early in the second half- maybe even sooner.
I say that there is less than 25% chance the game is within 10- and maybe a 2% chance we lose.
My guess-
UM 78- Purdue 59
January 23rd, 2013 at 4:09 PM ^
Oh, I expect Purdue to be a blowout. This was my Indiana prediction for March...Figured by this point there would be a 2015 basketball depth chart thread...
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:46 AM ^
Plus with all of the junk that is posted in the offseason, this prediction thread won't even be on the front page tomorrow.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:02 AM ^
He's the only one who does it, which doesn't make it any better.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:47 AM ^
It used to start at like 6:00 a.m. on Friday, which was too early. Now it starts at like 6:00 p.m. on Thanksgiving, which is WTF.
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:19 AM ^
January 23rd, 2013 at 4:48 PM ^
Thank you. That was my point of my post way down below. There is always that guy who is desperate to be the person who posted a thread. It's a blog...you don't get anything in return for posting a thread. Relax, people.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:15 PM ^
Don't read threads that don't interest you. Simple stuff.
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:49 AM ^
Remember when we had to play the scenario for making the tourney?
"Let's say we go .500 in Big Ten Play, and advance to the 2nd round of the tournament..."
Well, that was my first thought when I saw we're aiming for 5-1.
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:54 AM ^
Purdue gets slaughtered. Up by 10+ at the half and hold a comfortable 20 point ish lead until the end when they try to foul to catch up.
Mich 86
Purdue 71
January 23rd, 2013 at 8:56 AM ^
The one thing I do like about these threads is that when I ask myself what's going to happen in a game with the basketball team, my answer is always "Not totally sure on how, but I'm almost certain we're going to win." It's a nice feeling.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:20 AM ^
victory.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:29 AM ^
Are you playing them by yourself? You expect to pull away in the 2nd half. I would say Michigan will pull away after the tip off!
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:44 AM ^
As a Boiler, I would give them a fighting chance at Mackey. However, in Ann Arbor, I dont think that there is much to say other than Michigan will win this one with room to spare.
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:10 AM ^
this requires the picture
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:50 AM ^
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:10 AM ^
This. And we don't start slow either.
January 23rd, 2013 at 9:55 AM ^
At what point does Michigan lock up an NCAA berth?
Seriously, if Michigan suddenly forgot how basketball works and lost every game to close the season, how many wins away would it be from an NCAA bid? I think if Michigan wins this game and then caught polio, they'd be 18-14 with wins over KSU, Pitt, NC State, and at Minnesota. That is a pretty decent case for a bid, so I'd say either one or two more wins should do it.
January 23rd, 2013 at 10:06 AM ^
We have 3 winnable games in our next three: Purde, @Illinois, and Northwestern. That puts us at 20 wins, so we're in for sure at that point IMO. The next four games after that (@Indy, OSU, @Wisconsin, @Sparty) determines if we still have a shot at a 1 seed. Win 3 of those 4 and I think we still can get a 1 seed. Win all four and we're a 1 seed for sure, barring a late season meltdown or early exit from the conference tourney.
January 23rd, 2013 at 10:12 AM ^
Well we do still play Penn State twice. Even if they do hypothetically forget how to play, those should still be easy wins. So 20-12 would be good enough with our current resume.
January 23rd, 2013 at 10:32 AM ^
With this hypothetical, Michigan would have two really bad losses to #188 Penn State and a 12 game losing streak to end the year, with only one really good win (@ Minnesota). I don't see any way that would get us in the tournament. Realistically, that would take a couple catastrophic injuries [furiously knocking on wood] and the committee has tended to rank teams in those circumstances as they are in March, rather than as they were in December/January (Kenyon Martin's broken leg pushing Cincy's seed down back in the day being the most famous example).
If we beat all the RPI +100 teams (Purdue and Penn State) and lost the rest of our games, that would make us 21-11 and 7-11 in the nation's best conference. We might sneak in with that, but we'd likely need a soft bubble.
January 23rd, 2013 at 10:29 AM ^
Purdue seems to be getting it together, somewhat. They just had their best game of the year, blowing out West Virginia (who is bad, but still, Purdue lost to Eastern). They keep it closer than expected for much of the game (lead fluctuating between 6 and 12) until Michigan stretches it out and wins by 15. Something like 78-63.
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:03 AM ^
Michigan 72
Purdue 58
GO BLUE!
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:05 AM ^
78-69 Michigan
A lot of fast break points and Nik finds his shot.
Every game until I get it right.
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:14 AM ^
Shouldn't these be posted the morning of the gameday? This thread always gets me excited for basketball, but then I realize I have another day to wait...
January 23rd, 2013 at 12:22 PM ^
January 23rd, 2013 at 11:47 AM ^
Michigan - 80
Purdue - Potato
January 23rd, 2013 at 12:50 PM ^
Michigan 72
Turdue Toiletmakers 57
January 23rd, 2013 at 1:53 PM ^
January 23rd, 2013 at 2:03 PM ^
Michigan
January 23rd, 2013 at 2:13 PM ^
I wonder if having a week off (looking at you, Big Ten schedulers) will have an adverse impact on the team?
I'll do you one better, here's how I see the next 5 games playing out:
- vs. Purdue - W
- @ Illinois - W
- vs. Northwestern - W
- @ Indiana - L
- vs. Ohio State - W
We should be looking at 21-2 (8-2)
January 23rd, 2013 at 2:25 PM ^
Here is a quick comparison of Michigan and Purdue:
| Offensive Stat Comparison | ||
| PURDUE | MICHIGAN | |
| Points/Game | 66.8 | 78.1 |
| Avg Score Margin | 5.7 | 18.8 |
| Effective FG % | 46.10% | 57.90% |
| Off Rebound % | 35.90% | 32.40% |
| Turnover % | 15.70% | 13.00% |
| Defensive Stat Comparison | ||
| PURDUE | MICHIGAN | |
| Opp Points/Game | 61.2 | 59.4 |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 12.3 | 9.2 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 25.2 | 25.1 |
| Blocks/Game | 4.9 | 2.8 |
| Steals/Game | 5.2 | 5.5 |
Massey goes with a 96% probability of a Michigan win, and the head-to-head estimates a 20-point margin of victory. Other algorithms predict something closer to a 15-point margin, but every comparison you could possibly make would predict a comfortable victory for Michigan.
January 23rd, 2013 at 3:17 PM ^
January 23rd, 2013 at 3:22 PM ^
Michigan 127
Purdue 13
January 23rd, 2013 at 3:23 PM ^
What's so bad about it? If you don't like it, don't read it.
January 23rd, 2013 at 4:45 PM ^
Why is the "predictions on the game" thread always a day early? The game is tomorrow. Post this tomorrow.