Phil Steele Prediction

Submitted by blueak on

Good news, everyone! Phil says that we will have a "comfortable win' over App St!

Sopwith

August 23rd, 2014 at 1:03 PM ^

OK then.  Crossing No. 1 off list below.  

TOP CURRENT WORRIES

1.  Uncomfortable win over App St.

2.  Ebola outbreak

3.  Middle East ablaze with violence

4.  My parents are getting old and frail

5.  Bears

LSAClassOf2000

August 23rd, 2014 at 1:20 PM ^

As a minor note to the OP, generally the content of the original post should be a little meatier, if you will, than this. At the very least, some numbers from his projection would have been sufficient, I would think. We try to avoid the one sentence threads whenever possible, and they will be frowned on after tomorrow anyway as we tighten the content standards a bit as well. 

As for the Appalachian State game, Massey's preseason model (so, take it as you will), predicts a 98% win probability for Michigan and a median projected score of 41-10, which puts it basically in line with with Vegas right now. 

Don

August 23rd, 2014 at 1:37 PM ^

the data he assembles on each team is really great to have in one place. As for his predictions, he's not nearly as accurate as he claims he is, and his predictions are the least worthwhile reason to pay attention to him.

Felix.M.Blue

August 23rd, 2014 at 1:44 PM ^

Steele has Michigan playing LSU in the Gator/Tax Slayer Bowl

He also had ohio in the 4 team playoff

I remember when his magazine was $6.95. I think it's $12.95 now.

 

Leonhall

August 23rd, 2014 at 1:48 PM ^

Someone else's thunder but,,obviously last time we played App state, it marked the beginning of our fall, some may say Bo dying marked it, either way, app state certainly was a sign...I think this victory will mark the beginning of our turn around and path back to glory so to speak... GO BLUE!

BluCheese

August 24th, 2014 at 12:35 AM ^

We did not under perform in 2012.  We lost to 5 teams ranked in the Top 8, including the 2 teams playing for the championship.  We lost our most valuable player and 3 year starting QB.  And we lost our best corner before the bowl game to a suspension.  We were overmatched once that season, by the eventual national champion, in our first game of the season.

trustBlue

August 24th, 2014 at 1:47 PM ^

2012 was a push a best.  All we proved in 2012 was that we could lose to good teams. We did not beat any teams that were particulary good, and a couple of those games were extremely close (MSU, NW).  

If you gave a vintage Michigan team 5 chances to get a win against a Top 10 team, you expect them to win at least 1 or 2 of those.  We went 0 - 5.  I have a lot of respect of the guys on that team, but that was not a vintage Michigan season by a long stretch.  

 

bronxblue

August 23rd, 2014 at 5:46 PM ^

UM is gonna roll that OOC schedule.  I don't think Hoke is the type of guy to run up the score, but I'd love it if they blew App St. out of the stadium by 30 at halftime.

Blue in Time

August 23rd, 2014 at 8:58 PM ^

We can't run ourselves silly against an inferior team one week before ND in South Bend. I trust in our coaches to control the game, win by 35-45, and rotate some of the true froshes into the second half. I hope this game will serve as a way of getting in meaningful reps, and fine tuning what's off pitch.

If Norfleet scores on a return, is anyone willing to buy me a drink or three the next time I pass through Ann Arbor? You heard it here first, y'all.

Disclaimer: I live many thousands of miles from Ann Arbor, and don't foresee passing through anytime soon in this lifetime. So, welcome all comers.  

The FannMan

August 24th, 2014 at 12:58 PM ^

As a survivor of the Horror, the predictions in this thread scare the hell out of me. How so very 2007 of us.

I get that 2014 App State is probably not as good as the 2007 team. However, isn't the same true for us?