I can't lie, I was ready to neg you when I clicked on this thread.
I thought that myself when I read that article that talked about a Data Scientist(tm)
I can't lie, I was ready to neg you when I clicked on this thread.
But his disclaimer disarmed me...
That's a hell of a title game. I hope he's right
I hope he's right about half of the title game, but I want to see ND knocked out by Iowa State tonight.
Do you get anything for having the least perfect bracket? My West Region is nothing but red.
In 8th grade I had a teacher who offered a perfect A in every class to the student who got every game wrong (which, when you think about, would be an amazing feat) with other more innocuous incentives to whomever won the whole thing.
Now that I think about it, that was freaking insane on his part. And he was also a major Sparty brah (treated Michigan fans in his class like shit. Yes, 13-14 year olds). I guess his level of respect for school work makes a lot of sense then.
It was so crazy that I didn't believe it...until you explained he was a Sparty Brah.
I wasn't aware that Dantonio ever taught 8th grade. Interesting.
How can you say the best bracket in the country is a joke? It's all about luck. There's no predicting what will happen in the late rounds any more than you can predict the early rounds. IF the big boys are in the final 4 they pretty much always win. That's just about the only sure thing in the tournament, and even that doesn't come true 100% of the time (see Butler in whatever year that was that they were in the final). If you really knew what is and isn't a joke you would probably have the perfect bracket instead of this guy wouldn't you?
It has slightly more than 0% probability of having any of those in the Final Four. 1, 2, and 3 seeds fill the majority of those slots. You can calculate that probability. And the truth is if the content was picking the first round games he'd be the best but since it's not he'll finish in the bottom section of millions.
Actually, statistically speaking, the later rounds tend to be easier to pick than the earlier ones.
He's about to lose that if Colorado loses
If Illinois hangs on, he might lose his perfection. However, it's his end result that matters most.
He has Marquette in the final Four. Of course he is wrong.
but srs, that would be amazing.
I hope he is right but my BIG rooting dies after the sweet 16 (except for Michigan). I want as many BIG teams to go to the sweet 16 then I don't care. Go Blue! Beat VCU!
I guess to each his own, but that's when rooting for the Big Ten means the most, IMO. Illinois beating Colorado only to lose to Miami means very little. But having a team or two in the Final Four is big and having one win it all is huge.
A big knock against us is that the Big Ten has won so few national titles lately. Does it hurt Michigan for another Big Ten team to win the tourney? Kids like to play in the best leagues against the best teams. In basketball, there is so much less head-to-head recruiting that it really doesn't matter, and it helps everyone in the conference when its teams are winning.
That, and the conference makes more money, which gets shared with Michigan.
annnnnd its gone!
colorado goes down.
And this, kids, is what we call a liar.
You picked Harvard over New Mexico, huh?
And La Salle over KSU!
or whatever you want to call brackets made to fit a certain role (this one is "Best March Ever") that has Harvard over New Mexico, Cal over UNLV and Saint Louis over New Mexico State. That said, it has Cincinnati and Pitt in the Final Four and Duke, MSU and OSU losing in the first round, so it's not like that's an accurate attempt to pick the field, more of a coincidence than anything else.
This just goes to show how much filling out brackets is a crap shoot. Congrats on 22/22, but that bracket is terrible.
Well now that Illinois pretty much won this one, there is one perfect bracket left on yahoo.
Is ESPN having the new Pope do a bracket now?
One in TSN's pool as well (they run their's using ESPN's accounts).
This one has 3 Big East teams in the Final 4.
Thanks Wisconsin. Why did you wait until today to prove you suck?
What I think is funny is that If the people with perfect brackets had shown their picks before the tourny started they would've been laughed at by anybody who knows anything about basketball.
To have a perfect bracket you basically have to know NOTHING about the teams playing or there is no way you'd select all the games right.
That's my problem. I'm too smart and therefore my bracket is now one big steaming pile of dung. Damn you brain! DAMN YOU!!
A few years ago my daughter, who knows less about basketball than I do Japanese, asked me "what colors do team X wear?" She was filling out a bracket for a FaceBook challenge and made all of her selections based on which color uni's she liked the best. I laughed my ass off as her picks made zero sense to me (Butler in the finals? yeah right) but she sent it in anyways without my expertise.
She finished in the top 10 of all people submitting.
This would have been more persuasive were you not a scholar in Japanese.
If these people really "knew so much about college basketball," they probably wouldn't have been laughing. To guess all the upsets, you have to be lucky, not stupid.
Someone calculated the chance of getting a bracket 100% right at 1 in 7 trillion.
Those are actually good odds.
The 1 in 9.2 quintillion number is straight mathematics. It figures out how many possible ways the 63 game results on your bracket could be filled out. (Two to the sixty-third power.)
But it doesn't account for standard basketball logic, like No. 1 seeds always advancing in the first round or tournament champions usually having a top-four seed or Duke's dual advantage of having a legend like Coach K and never getting called for a blocking foul. If you know something about the NCAA tournament, the odds of a perfect bracket are more like 1 in 128 billion. (That's according to DePaul math professor Jay Bergen.)
Using that number, if everyone in the United States filled out a bracket, we'd see a perfect one every 400 years.
My bracket is royally fucked.
I was looking at the brackets and saw them in second with only one miss so far.
I wonder if Mr Perfect Bracket guy thought Georgetown would lose to the vaunted and long-standing basketball power Florida Gulf Coast
FGCU beat the University of Miami (ytm) at the beginning of the season.
My bracket is so fucked now that I'm just rooting for ALL THE UPSETS! FGCU!!! GREATEST UNIVERSITY EVER!!!
No longer perfect, Georgetown just lost to Florida Gulf Coast.
Ed: Also Illinois beat Colorado.
Georgetown losing miiiigggghhhhttt help Michigan. I'm looking wayyyy down the road...but they are in the same region.
Root for Kansas to lose tonight. Michigan win tomorrow...final 4.
If Kansas loses I'd piss my pants. No 16 seed has ever beaten a 1 seed and that makes a final four run very likely for Michigan.
Of course, nothing matters if we don't beat VCU tomorrow.
My quest for the perfect bracket died when Valpo lost.
And with FGCU's win, down goes the final victor.
Every year I get so amped and my love for this time of year comes out full steam, the brackets being part of the love for March Madness. Then Saturday and Sunday come, each year, and I realize how much emotional waste I've built up in hopes for being the ultimate bracket builder and succumb to minor depression while people with absolutely no clue ride these ridiculously lucky brackets. Such a rollercoaster time of year.
Amen. The year I won the office pool was actually only slightly more fun than the year I missed the deadline to submit a bracket and just had fun watching upsets and rooting for all the cinderellas.
I posted this earlier in the evening game thread.
I think the OP jinxed the bracket. Gave attention to a no hitter.
Yikes , ND? Poor dudes probably nine. My son has us winning it all too over duke. He also picked state and Ohio to lose in the first round.