Priceless over at USCHO has done some quality analysis of many different scenarios of what can happen over the next two weekends leading up to the NCAA Hockey Tournament. The links provide a team by team anaylsis of the current top 8 in the pairwise. Michigan's is:
Michigan (#3-#11) Losses this weekend and a rash of upsets in other conferences could knock Michigan all the way down to 11th. Either Denver or Minn-Duluth would finish #12 and only one can win the WCHA. While playing with Michigan scenarios, I was able to raise Miami, Duluth and UNH into the last #1 seed, depending on their conference outcomes. Because Michigan's NC schedule included UNH, CC, UNO, Minnesota and Wisconsin there is a great deal of fluctuation in the COp component.
Most likely: #4
There is also some information about us in the other teams anaylsis:
Yale, Boston College, North Dakota, Michigan: http://board.uscho.com/showthread.php?92167-Too-early-for-the-PWR-Princeton-and-Brown-say-no!&p=5069510&viewfull=1#post5069510
Union, Miami, Denver, Nebraska-Omaha: http://board.uscho.com/showthread.php?92167-Too-early-for-the-PWR-Princeton-and-Brown-say-no!&p=5069942&viewfull=1#post5069942