The Tour leaves Belgium and enters the host country today. The bulk of the day looks relatively leisurely, but that back end, with several categorized climbs and rapid descents, could be interesting:

The forecast calls for rain, which could make some of those descents challenging. We could see some early separation among the GC contenders.


Look for everyone to be cautious. A hillier stage in the Ardennes two years ago wound up being neutralized by the riders (led by then-as-now yellow jersey wearer Fabien Cancellara) because of an oil-and-moisture induced crash that decimated the field. Any significant GC events will be accidents, or, less likely, field splits--I would not expect to see any real moves from the contenders here.
The uphill finish should be interesting. It is script-written for Phil Gilbert, but there are a dozen guys who could put in surprising pushes for the win. Or not-so-surprising, if Peter Sagan is one of them. Expect Sagan to be there to collect points even if he can't win.
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