He fighting for Humanity.
He gonna put the team on his back
He fighting for Humanity.
He gonna put the team on his back
They're gonna get him on the answer: "This is what an orgasm feels like."
If I could +1 to you
Extra bonus for getting to legitimately post that on Valentine's day. Good show, good man, good show.
there might be a good chance that the human dudes won't know that question.
computer to answer with "What is love, Alex".
can that thing take my micro exam tomorrow. Holy crap that thing is impressive. I think ken jennings is about to shit his pants
Holy crap. This is borderline scary.
The machines have become self aware
We gotta destroy this thing before it takes over the planet. I feel like I am watching I robot
was better than the movie. the book still rocks.
at first commercial break
Its going to become self-aware and then we are all seriously effed.
I am not looking forward to living underground to hide from the machines and nuclear fallout.
...so i'm not the only one worried that is worried that schwartzenegger actually IS a droid and is gonna take control of the country??
In San Angelo, TX, JEOPARDY! is only on @1500. And it's impossible to view online. Erego, I'm missing the rise of the machines. I AM ANGAR!
Also, I watched NOVA last week where they were talking about the programming involved to get Watson to answer questions. Those guys at Big Blue are ridiculous. Also funny how the practice host they had kept making fun of Watson, and some of the programmers took it personally that he was making fun of a machine that couldn't defend itself.
Of what would happen if the practice host upset Watson.
Do not taunt happy fun ball
at the end of round one. Perhaps we've learned that dogs can sniff them out?
EDIT: looks like that's it for today. Double Jeopardy resumes tomorrow. A lot of the time this half hour took up explaining how Watson worked. Fascinating, I'll be tuning in the next 2 days. At least the humans landed a few blows. I wonder when Morpheus shows up
... this statement is a lie.
And see what happens. Hopefully the fucker blows up.
I love to see transistors burn, but I'd cringe a bit at seeing 15+ terabytes of RAM go up in smoke...
My favorite part was when Watson said the same incorrect answer as Jennings and Trebeck said "Ken already said that..." with so much disdain and Jennings gives the computer a funny look
I'd like to know how they're timing Watson's receipt of the clues with the players' receipt of them. Watson apparently gets it as a text message, more or less. It seemed like Watson was almost never out-buzzed, so to speak, when it was confident in its answer. I wonder if it thinks faster than the players after it receives the clues or if it receives or understands the clues faster. It could be all of the above, of course.
The way I understand it, he receives it the same instant as it is displayed on the board. Humans have to deal with reading/hearing, Watson has to parse the text.
EDIT: And I just used "he" to describe Watson. The machines have already won.
My guess is that Watson reads the text faster than Trebek and so starts searching its memory for answers faster than the human players. I wonder if the human players would be well-served to try to ignore Trebek and just read the text of the clues...Of course, I may be looking for a reason why Watson has some unfair advantage. I always hated it as a kid when John Henry was defeated by the steam engine.
I think that's just part of the experiment. They're not giving him an "advantage," they just had to constrain the problem somehow. Computer vision/voice recognition weren't the problems they were trying to tackle.
Interesting to try to compare the two though. Completely different how a person comes to an answer and how a computer does.
Actually John Henry beats the steam engine. Granted, Henry collapses and dies of exhaustion immediately after the race, but according to the folk tale he does in fact win.
Watson was definitely "out-buzzed" at least once that I saw. It might not happen much, but it did happen.
They're now making computers that are better at human things than humans are. That seems really irrational. People are phasing themselves out. If computers can think better than we do, the only thing we'll be better at is irrational behaivor.
... Until they invent a Psychotic computer.
I'm surprised Watson is able to deal with the idioms and play on words that comes into some questions.
I, for one, welcome our new computer overlords.
Before and After category?
Watson was tied with one of the players. The other player was $1,600 back of them, IIRC.
See below for end of R1 score
So skynet is truly alive?
[cue Scared Panda]
Consider the recent history of artificial intelligence. Scientists have created machines that play checkers perfectly--no matter the situation on the board, the algorithm always selects the ideal move. Machines have established long-term superiority over humans in chess. Even the best human grandmasters can hope for little more than a draw against computer opponents with practically unlimited RAM, processing speed, and access to databases of every chess game that's ever been played. Now Jeopardy is falling. Even if the humans prevail in this match, 99% of all human contestants on Jeopardy would fall to Watson in a similar matchup. It's only a matter of time before the machines take Jeopardy away from us.
we are not robots. En masse, we are self-repairing, self-replicating, work-producing machines. Perhaps we we were left here to condition the planet a certain way. If you could build a factory with robots that made widgets, performed maintenance on each other, reproduced improved models when obsolete, and so on, why wouldn't you? We may simply be the the lowest cost complex machine. Watson takes up enormous space, isn't mobile, and can't do things like build aqueducts to clean its own waste. Perhaps the gods are capitalists
So cheer up
... or is that the Connery?
would beat Watson and hand it to Trebek at the same time.
Is the rise of anti-robosexuality damn near a coincidence?
I'd have Watson's man-babies. Think of the possibilities! A guy that is sexy AND smart?!?! CHECKMATE.
***Of course, I'm referring to Watson's genes as the sexy and smart part...I simply give him the human body.
I didn't get a chance to see the show, but from the description and as someone who has been on the show multiple times, it sounds like Watson had an advantage on the buzzer. Typically, top players know the answer from reading the clue before Alex has finished reading it out loud. But, they are not able to buzz in until he is finished reading (changed rule because of Chuck Forest a UM law student who would buzz in as soon as the clue was revealed).. After Alex is done reading the question out loud a light goes on and the players are then free to buzz in. If you wait to see the light, you will be too late though. So, you have to try and time your buzz to match Alex finishing the reading and hope you have timed it right with the human that activates the switch that allows you to buzz in. It sounds to me that Watson who is electronically fast at responding to the light coming on can wait til Alex is done and then only buzz in when it gets the electronic signal that it is now free to answer. I hope to watch tomorrow myself.
That just happens to be something that computers are better at than humans. I wouldn't call it a "built in advantage" any more than the fact that Watson can't pull from personal experience with humor, puns, etc. as a disadvantage.
I agree that Watson potentially has a huge advantage in terms of being able to buzz in first. Since Watson has no vision, it has not been made clear how it knows when the lock-out lights are illuminated. They are triggered by a production assistant who flicks a switch behind a screen when Alex is finished reading the question. If Watson is directly wired to that button, that is a gigantic advantage, in that a computer can respond in microseconds and human reflexes are more in the range of one or two tenths of a second.
As a former Jeopardy! champion myself, I have more than a passing interest in this experiment and must say that I have not been blown away by Watson's performance on the first day. It is particularly telling how incredibly stupid its second and third choice answers usually are. They often are not even remotely responsive to the question and suggests that Watson has not very accurately parsed the meaning of the question or even the category. I have also worked in a Natural Language research group, and feel that the algorithms they are using are less than impressive in terms of really understanding what question is being asked. They are mostly just using huge amounts of computer horsepower to do pattern matching.
First of all, that second part about not being impressed with the natural language processing is just dumb.
Also, do you really think that Watson wouldn't be just as fast if they had a camera hooked up to it that was focused in on the light? It's not a "huge advantage," it's just something computers are better at than us. That's the whole point of the exercise.
As someone that has been on ten shows, believe me it is a huge advantage. For most clues, at least two of the players know the answer before Alex is finished reading it and it is a contest to see who can coordinate his or her buzz-in with the guy who decides that it is OK to buzz in. The ability to buzz in successfully in those situations is the single most important factor in succeeding in single jeopardy and doube jeopardy. I would say the second most important factor is knowing when not to guess.
Yes, it is "just something that computers are better at than us," but it is still a huge advantage.
What's the point of the exercise then? If I were trying to prove I was better than Michael Jordan in basketball, would I be able to say, "Well, you can't use your huge muscles and superior skills, because that would be an advantage."
by allowing the players to buzz in at any time after the clue is revealed and Alex starts reading (which is how it used to be during the Art Fleming era and into the mid-1980s of the Trebeck era).
At least then it would come down to who can take the information, process it and come up with the correct response the quickest, rather than who can respond to the freeing up of the buzzer system the fastest.
If a camera was hooked up, and had a frame rate of, say, 60 frames a second, it could always answer within a 60th of a second, which is faster than any human is capable of (absent occasional luck in anticipating).Rdlwolverine is exactly right in that speed is the deciding factor. I guarantee you that both human contestants know at least 75-85% of the answers and are just getting beaten to the buzzer. If it is hooked up directly, it can answer even faster than 1/60th of a second.
As far as not being impressed with the natural language processing, that is not dumb. When the category is "Name the Decade" and Watson's third best answer is something like "Athens", that is a very clear indication that it has not parsed the category or question very well.
Oh please. This computer is using a fraction of a second to estimate as closely as possible the correct answer to often cryptically worded problems. Any algorithm has certain types of situations it functions best in, and Watson's algorithm is performing incredibly well in a massive range of situations. If this isn't bleeding edge technology, I don't know what is.
The computer has 3-5 seconds to come up with an answer. Not knowing that "Athens" is an invalid answer in the "Name the Decade" category is sad. I have worked with some of the leading researchers in natural language processing (former IBMers now at Microsoft). Watson is bleeding edge hardware, but the software is something of a hack that is very specifically targetted at playing Jeopardy! and not at finding answers to generic questions.
This is going to come down to just buzzing in first and hoping you can pull the answer out of your ass... perhaps literally.
I would be interested to read more on the programming for Watson's decision making capabilities. Obviously, it must work on some sort of probability, and reaching a conclusion that a given answer is "likely" to be correct. I wonder how certain it has to be, and how it can find that percentage for the various types of questions.
Example: Who was the 8th recognized Pope of the Roman Catholic Church? That's a given. The answer is 100%. Either you've got it in time, or you don't.
Then you've got something like:
An off key musical note and a flavor. Sour, right? Yes, but there are a LOT of language databases to search, including words that have fallen out of use in modern english, slang, words borrowed from other languages, etcetera. Maybe that has a 90% chance of being correct. Does Watson buzz in on that? Does it keep searching to get certianty to 95%?
A few things:
First, I'm shocked, but it appears that programers either forgot or neglected to consider that category names would be important to Watson's understanding of a question. Clearly, it did not realize that the category was "U.S. Cities".
Secondly, I would imagine that one of Watson's troubles is that it does not know how to define a "hero". So unless the full text of articles from local newspapers describing Edward O'Hare as recieving a "Hero's Welcome" was scanned into its memory, and unless it could access that much full text that fast, it'd have no hope.
I have no doubt that it probably DID have the full text of the Chicago Tribune in its databanks, but with no premise given as to the year, OR the chicago tibune, Watson would basically have to search its entire database line by line to put that one together.
You could tell that the humans were obviously frustrated today that they could never click in. On numerous occasions I saw the humans clicking frantically. This is a huge disadvantage and makes it much less interesting to watch IMO. But I have to agree with past post that if the humans want to have any chance they are just going to have to click immediately and hope they can get the right answer afterwards, simply trusting their knowledge.
I was able to watch tonight and confirmed my feeling that the buzzer set up gave the humans no chance. Not sure why they were able to buzz in the few times they did; whether it was Watson not buzzing, Watson needing more time to process on those few questions, or just totally lucky timing.
Mgodubs is right that only chance for humans would be to buzz in early, but that cannot be done. Thus the humans only chance was that Watson would miss enough to give them a shot.