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OT: Greg Schiano proposes replacing kickoffs with 4th & 15

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:45 AM
#1
MGoRob
MGoRob's picture
Joined: 03/14/2010
MGoPoints: 2282
OT: Greg Schiano proposes replacing kickoffs with 4th & 15

Dr. Saturday had a post this morning, here

In it, he discusses briefly the argument about having an alternative to kickoffs proposed by Greg Schiano in which a team lines up on the 30 yard line and is given a punting situation of 4th and 15.  The team can either punt or go for it.  It's a high risk-high reward system if you go for it, but appears to be better suite to skill versus plain dumb luck as seen with onside kicks.  The original article with Schiano's comments is here

So since it may be a boring news day (unless the WVU thing blows up), what say you MGoNation.  Pros? Cons?

As much as I am usually in favor of tradition, this actually sounds like a plausible and more interesting game that I wouldn't mind seeing added.  Just think how Zoltan would indeed be that much more valuable and space-emperor worthy.

edit: Forgot to mention that this whole thing is being proposed based on limiting injuries.   In the article it says something around 20% of injuries in kickoffs result in concussions.

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:50 AM | If this were in play last (Score:5 Normal)
Senator
Senator's picture
Joined: 08/18/2010
MGoPoints: 29

If this were in play last year, Michigan's offense never would have seen the field.

nolite te bastardes carborundorum

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:24 AM | Given our 4th down proclivities last year... (Score:0 Overrated)
Waveman
Waveman's picture
Joined: 11/05/2010
MGoPoints: 343

I would argue there are some games in which our defense wouldn't have seen the field.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:51 AM | As good as our offense was in (Score:5 Normal)
Lutha
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Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 4306

As good as our offense was in the first half of last season, no run-first offense is optimally designed to pick up 4th-and-15s

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:50 AM | Tell Schiano the XFL folded a (Score:5 Normal)
jtmc33
Joined: 04/15/2009
MGoPoints: 4915

Tell Schiano the XFL folded a few years ago....

Class of '97: 4 Years -- 4 Four-loss seasons

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June 6th, 2011 at 1:02 PM | Vince McMahon and Dick Ebersol do NOT find your (Score:1)
NorthSideBlueFan
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Joined: 08/28/2009
MGoPoints: 2196

comment amusing.

"... never forget that Ohio is still a four-letter word."
-Bob Ufer

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:50 AM | posted from iPhone (Score:1)
FreddieMercuryHayes
Joined: 12/29/2010
MGoPoints: 4884

The only problem with this is that it negates the need for a good kick off kicker, as touch backs would basically not exist. Although, more emphasis on a good returner. Give and take I suppose. I personally am indifferent, but I suspect most will not want the tradition messed with.

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June 6th, 2011 at 1:09 PM | That is why the head coach of Rutgers is proposing it (Score:2 Normal)
NorthSideBlueFan
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Joined: 08/28/2009
MGoPoints: 2196

Schiano saw the Eric LeGrand injury and subsequent events unfold first hand on a kickoff and I'm sure it deeply afftected him and his team. So he probably would like to prevent any other player, family, team, school etc from having to experience it. 

"... never forget that Ohio is still a four-letter word."
-Bob Ufer

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:51 AM | eh, no. (Score:1)
bryemye
Joined: 09/14/2009
MGoPoints: 2374

It should be damn near a miracle to come back in a situation where you need an onside kick.... Especially because there is so much momentum with the team has just scored and the defense is likely to be very tired.

I think that's my biggest problem actually: this unduly penalizes a team for having a super tired defense.

I don't think CFB has a problem with games being boring.

My Blog

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:59 AM | Sure, I'll get off your lawn. (Score:5 Normal)
DIABEETUS
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Joined: 09/29/2009
MGoPoints: 2311

Sure, I'll get off your lawn. It's old and dying anyway.

Michigan: 903–315–36 (Best in NCAA)
vs Ohio State: 58-44-6
vs Notre Dame: 23-16-1
vs MSU:  68-32-5
vs B1G: 522-197-24
vs SEC:  20-8-1
vs PAC 12: 48-24-1
vs Big 12: 10-5-1<

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:12 AM | Yeah! (Score:5 Normal)
bryemye
Joined: 09/14/2009
MGoPoints: 2374

The current lot is obviously doing a hell of a job!

My Blog

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June 6th, 2011 at 2:34 PM | As a member of one of the (Score:5 Normal)
jmblue
Joined: 11/07/2008
MGoPoints: 28961

As a member of one of the younger generations (I'm 31), let's just say I'm thrilled that my generation will have the future responsibility of saving this country from the bankruptcy your esteemed, responsible generation is leading us towards.  

 

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June 6th, 2011 at 6:56 PM | "Tradition, Respect, and Values" (Score:2)
M-Wolverine
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Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 38747

These are the words you're using to describe the pre-Xer generation, the Baby Boomers? Seriously? Now, if you're secretly one of the Greatest Generation that actually learned how to use a computer, I'll give that to you.  My only consolation is that it seems the Boomer's kids seem to have their heads on straight far more than they should, and somehow didn't take after their "I want to be your friend not your parent" parents.

"I love him, he's a great coach, he's a great mentor, he's a great friend. He's every single thing you want a college coach to be, and he does it flawlessly." -David Molk

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:57 AM | I like the idea in that it (Score:2)
Farnn
Joined: 07/07/2008
MGoPoints: 2343

I like the idea in that it takes some of the randomness of an onside kick and the way the ball bounces out of the equation.  Just like people dislike the refs having an impact on the game, I don't think a chance bounce should either(any more than is possible, there will always be lucky bounces and such in some way).  But as Bryemye points out above it does penalize a tired defense pretty heavily.  Could be an end/disincentive  to Lloydball/Tresselball though, which should make games more interesting.

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June 6th, 2011 at 12:58 PM | Ever wonder why it is always the defense that is tired (Score:1)
champswest
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Joined: 10/04/2009
MGoPoints: 2000

and never the offense?

"I hate losing more than I like winning." - Zack

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June 6th, 2011 at 6:35 PM | I was thinking this same (Score:1)
justingoblue
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Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10858

I was thinking this same thing earlier today. Maybe this is my lack of football roots showing through, but shouldn't a no-huddle offense (or this punt idea) be just as damaging for the offense as the defense?

I understand that if you have a defense used to the huddle and then play a RR or Kelly (C or B) team how that could be an advantage, but normally shouldn't the offense and defense be equally tired?

Go Blue!

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June 6th, 2011 at 7:57 PM | When you're on defense, (Score:2 Informative)
Jinxed
Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 267

When you're on defense, you're reacting and you have to play 100% all the time, otherwise the other team can score because of you. When you're on offense, you often know the ball isn't going to you and you can take plays off. (this applies to WRs and RBs) Also... blocking takes less energy than going through a block.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:01 AM | Maybe 4th and 20 or 25 would (Score:1)
DIABEETUS
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Joined: 09/29/2009
MGoPoints: 2311

Maybe 4th and 20 or 25 would make it a little better... 15 yards really isn't a huge roadblock. That's one good pass.

Michigan: 903–315–36 (Best in NCAA)
vs Ohio State: 58-44-6
vs Notre Dame: 23-16-1
vs MSU:  68-32-5
vs B1G: 522-197-24
vs SEC:  20-8-1
vs PAC 12: 48-24-1
vs Big 12: 10-5-1<

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:04 AM | Or 4th and 15 (Score:2 Normal)
Njia
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Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 6038

From the team's own 25, rather than the 30. Either way, the down-and-distance plus field position should give coaches (even Chip Kelly) pause before they automatically decide to go for it.

"If life is the road, then Ohio is simply a place to stop for gas." -- Scott Burgess, Detroit News, 9/16/2010
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June 6th, 2011 at 10:03 AM | actual kicks are more fun to (Score:2)
ish
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 7682

actual kicks are more fun to watch than punts.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:14 AM | I agree completely (Score:1)
Julius 1977
Joined: 05/21/2011
MGoPoints: 16

They ARE more fun to watch.

Rule changes like these basterdize the game I know and love so much.  They make the game feel contrived and artificial.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:37 AM | It IS contrived (Score:5 Normal)
BiSB
BiSB's picture
Joined: 08/15/2009
MGoPoints: 27875

And it IS artificial. It's a game with arbitrary rules. 

I love traditional football as much as anyone, but no one sent Moses down from Mt. Sinai with the rules chiseled in stone tablets.  Every now and then, rules have changed to improve safety: the seven men on the line requirement, facemask rules, spearing rules, helmet-to-helmet rules, the "no killing the long snapper" rules... and the game still seems sufficiently organic and brutal.

They no longer call me Bisbiño

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June 6th, 2011 at 12:25 PM | I'm not really in favor of (Score:1)
Syyk
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Joined: 01/26/2009
MGoPoints: 2032

I'm not really in favor of making this sort of change, but it's not that crazy of an idea.  It's basically taking rugby rules and modifying them for football.

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June 6th, 2011 at 8:37 PM | Well (Score:1)
TIMMMAAY
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Joined: 09/08/2008
MGoPoints: 5948

If that's your stance, then almost everything is artificial and arbitrary.

not just "douchey" MGoBlog user, but now TRUSTED MGoBlog user

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:08 AM | would be fun to watch a few games where this is (Score:1)
MGlobules
Joined: 11/17/2008
MGoPoints: 5144

tried, sort out some of the outcomes, anticipated or stochastic. Wasn't it RR who suggested colleges play a pre-season exhibition game?

My first response was that it seemed hokey (not that hokey), and--sorting through comments above--I think that having a tired and possibly demoralized defense face yet another down could lead to games quickly getting out of reach by the side on D, which would NOT make them less boring. But new wrinkles keep fans interested in the game, and sometimes improve it--the 3 in hoop might be your Exhibit A. 

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:14 AM | Randomness (Score:3 Normal)
Njia
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Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 6038

I'm torn. I like the idea of increasing outcomes that rely on skill and strategy, but seriously: randomness (and sometimes dumb luck) is a part of the game. The shape of the ball contributes to it as much as anything; a bounce one way or other can decide the outcome.

And as much as I understand Schiano's point of view, there is a reason that football is called a "gladiator sport". Injuries are - and have always been - also a part of the game. There is a very real risk of serious injury on every play. Better equipment and rule changes can mitigate the risk, but it will always be there.

I also wonder, from a more mundane point of view, whether a punt from the 30 (and, let's be honest - it would be a punt from about the 23) would be effective. Every offensive series (except those few where the kicking team went for it - and got the 1st down) would start in great field position. It would fundamentally change the nature of the game.

Net-net: I vote "no".

"If life is the road, then Ohio is simply a place to stop for gas." -- Scott Burgess, Detroit News, 9/16/2010
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June 6th, 2011 at 10:19 AM | Ran the numbers (Score:5 Normal)
The Mathlete
Joined: 10/01/2008
MGoPoints: 2335

This should play out pretty similar to onsides kicks in terms of recovery, your bigger change is in field position.

In my DB, there are 21,084 kickoffs from the 30, the average start for the ensueing possession is the 29. In 873 punts from the 30, the average start for the ensueing possession is the 33. Not a huge difference, but definitely some difference.

In terms of recovery, I don't have great info for college, but in the NFL a non-surprise onsides is about 20%. In 2,195 3rd and 15 (as a proxy for 4th and 15) situations, the conversion for college teams in competitve game is about 16%. This would probably be a bit understated since worse offenses are more likely to get into 3rd and 15 situations. 

This is an intriguing idea and it seems like 4th and 15 from the 30 (and maybe the 35) is about the right alternative to kicking off from the 30 in terms of recovery success and resulting field position. The only major difference is with a successful conversion the offense would be in better position than most onsides kick recoveries.

 

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June 6th, 2011 at 11:36 AM | One thing that might affect (Score:1)
joeyb
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Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 11300

One thing that might affect the starting position is the fact that there will be more emphasis on getting a punter with a strong leg than a kicker with a strong leg. It might be enough to push the average starting position back a few yards after several years.

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June 6th, 2011 at 9:40 PM | I kind of like Schiano's (Score:3 Insightful)
turd ferguson
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Joined: 12/09/2009
MGoPoints: 2916

I kind of like Schiano's idea, but I don't think 15 yards is enough.  A couple of issues:

1.  I'm not convinced that your 3rd down conversion rate is the relevant number.  A lot of teams don't really try to convert on 3rd-and-15; they just take a few yards and avoid a stupid turnover.  Plus, they play 3rd-and-15 knowing that they have a 4th down if they need it.  Beyond that, there's your point that bad offenses tend to be the ones that get in that situation -- and excellent defenses, too -- so that number strikes me as far below the conversion rate that we'd get from Schiano's plan.

2. Basically, every team is equally good at recovering onside kicks, since they're so random.  This means that the 20% figure should be pretty steady across teams.  However, big-play offensive ability -- and opponents' tendency to give up big plays -- varies considerably from team to team.  This means that there will be some teams (the Oregons of the world), in some matchups, when it's sensible for them to try this conversion even if it's not a late game situation.  I don't think we'd want that. 

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:21 AM | I feel like the chance (Score:1)
ryebreadboy
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Joined: 12/02/2010
MGoPoints: 1786

I feel like the chance element inherent in onside kicking adds excitement to the game, and also is part of the reason why onside kicks aren't used as often.  With this, if someone has a garbage defense, or I have a rockstar offense, I would just go for it every time.  There are offenses for which 15 yards in one down is no big deal (really, as someone said above, that's one good pass).  I think this would get used a lot more often than onside kicks currently are, and kind of take some excitement out of seeing it.

Denard has spent the offseason working really hard and smiling at people.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:31 AM | Stupid as hell... nothing (Score:1)
HAILtoBO
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Joined: 01/17/2011
MGoPoints: 852

Stupid as hell... nothing more excited than to see a team go for an onside kick or nothing more excited than a kickoff return because anything can happen.

 

"When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing."

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:35 AM | When (Score:5 Normal)
Dreisbach1817
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Joined: 01/12/2010
MGoPoints: 5849

When one of your kids becomes paralyzed from a kickoff, you're damn right going to propose an alternative.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:35 AM | .....wow   How bout we (Score:2)
orobs
Joined: 10/03/2010
MGoPoints: 1729

.....wow

 

How bout we also replace the coin toss with a scramble for the ball?

And get rid of PATs?

 

And change the NCAA logo to this?

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:44 AM | I kind of like it... (Score:1)
Mr. Robot
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Joined: 10/27/2009
MGoPoints: 1457

I would prefer to keep the kickoffs aroundg, given that they are often returnable and result in some good memories (ND '09 anyone?), but in terms of player safety, the value of this change cannot be understated. Punters would become valuable recruiting targets, that's for sure.

Personally, I would like to see every safety option to keep the kickoffs around exhausted first, but I think this is an entriguing and clever alternative if things get to the point where the kickoff simply must go.

As far as issues of always going for it goes, keep in mind you're at your own 30. You pretty much have to pass the ball, so you're likely giving up 3 points for failure. 99% of coaches are going to punt when they aren't in the market for a comeback with little time left. Besides, if that turns out to be wrong, just make it 4th and 20.

The only question I'd have is what happens with penalties on that play. Are there automatic first-downs? Do you replay the down if the offense commits a penalty?

"Good evening, and welcome to Michigan Stadium for this the one-hundred thirty-second season of Michigan football, and the thirty-ninth meeting between Michigan and Notre Dame." -Carl Grapentine, September 10, 2011

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:43 AM | This is not basketball (Score:1)
AMazinBlue
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Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 2250

They took the jump ball out of basketball, the eliminated the four corners because Dean Smith was too good at it and they keep changing the clock rules in football to make the game go faster.  Kickoffs are fun and exciting to watch.  The punt is much more dangerous b/c the returner is looking at the ball and not the guy trying to take his head clean off.  Not unlike the catcher in baseball on a play at home from the outfield.

I'm totally against Schiano's idea.  Just like I think they should play a fifth quarter instead of the OT they have now, with one exception.  Both teams should get the ball in OT(unlike the NFL).  A coin flip should not decide a outcome of a game.

 

What the mind can conceive and believe, the mind can achieve and...Those Who Stay WILL Be Champions.

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June 6th, 2011 at 10:46 AM | True (Score:1)
Mr. Robot
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Joined: 10/27/2009
MGoPoints: 1457

But the punt returner also has the option of a fair catch, so if he does get his head taken off the moment he catches the ball, he's at least partially responsible for it.

"Good evening, and welcome to Michigan Stadium for this the one-hundred thirty-second season of Michigan football, and the thirty-ninth meeting between Michigan and Notre Dame." -Carl Grapentine, September 10, 2011

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June 6th, 2011 at 11:00 AM | Didn't Donovan Warren suffer (Score:2)
Go Blue Eyes
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Joined: 12/05/2010
MGoPoints: 574

Didn't Donovan Warren suffer an injury on a punt return and there was talk that had some influence on his decision to go pro?

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June 6th, 2011 at 11:04 AM | Two schools of thought (Score:1)
Yostal
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Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 2785

As a talking point, I think Schiano is on to something, simply because the kickoff will be one of the first things legislated away in the name of player safety and viable alternatives will need to exist.  Maybe he doesn't have it quite right, tweaks to to go or the spotter line, but it's a talking point with which to start.

As an actual thing, I likened it to the "Berenson Boundary" where Red had an idea, they tried it out, but it didn't end up going anywhere.

Craig Barker || The Hoover Street Rag || Twitter

"The Michigan fanbase: a cynical, Eeyorish bunch even in the best of times."

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June 6th, 2011 at 11:05 AM | ironic (Score:1)
Mr Miggle
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Joined: 10/07/2010
MGoPoints: 1601

The NCAA moved kickoffs back a few years ago to reduce the number of touchbacks. Maybe they should reconsider that before radically changing the game.

Eating is murder.

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June 6th, 2011 at 11:22 AM | Maybe the Big East can ... (Score:1)
Indiana Blue
Indiana Blue's picture
Joined: 09/19/2010
MGoPoints: 1521

experiment with using "flag football" type rules for kickoffs.  Everyone just ties on their flag belts .... and actually removing the helmets and shoulder pads would definitely reduce collisions too !    Could offer some very exciting "spin" moves on the returns !   (hopefully most of you played flag football in college .....)

Go Blue !

No place on earth I'd rather be on a football Saturday than Michigan Stadium !

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June 6th, 2011 at 11:38 AM | My only question is what (Score:1)
joeyb
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Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 11300

My only question is what happens when a personal foul is assessed on the kickoff? Is it 4th and 15 from the 45, or does the team get the ball back?

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June 6th, 2011 at 12:35 PM | This is stupid (Score:4 Normal)
Don
Don's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 19190

I'm glad Schiano is not our coach.


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June 6th, 2011 at 3:32 PM | I'm not (Score:2)
Coach Schiano
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Joined: 10/05/2008
MGoPoints: 3055

actually, I am too

/saw what you all did to RichRod :)

 

I am not really Coach Schiano. -Coach Schiano on Mgoblog

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June 6th, 2011 at 12:59 PM | Just another reason that Greg (Score:1)
Dreisbach Turne...
Dreisbach Turner Overdrive's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 6788

Just another reason that Greg Schiano is the most overrated coach in college sports.

Syracuse '03, Michigan G'05

Space bitches, space.

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June 6th, 2011 at 1:30 PM | Has anyone ever noticed that (Score:2 Normal)
foreverbluemaize
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Joined: 02/03/2009
MGoPoints: 809

Has anyone ever noticed that when we get into this time of year, we get this type of article. Oh September please hurry and get here. My heart aches for you.

Oh how I hate Ohio State

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June 6th, 2011 at 5:30 PM | This rule change alone would (Score:3 Insightful)
Flying Dutchman
Flying Dutchman's picture
Joined: 09/16/2009
MGoPoints: 2872

This rule change alone would revive Tate Forcier's career.    The pooch punt option would be huge.  

If you bring your punter out there, the D drops a man back for a return, and you're playing 11 on 10.  If you line up under center, then there's nobody back there for a return.   Tate would be dynamite.

"I don't see how having someone piss on my face is going to help me sell Lou Ferrigno's house."

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June 6th, 2011 at 6:32 PM | wait... (Score:1)
Wolverine15
Wolverine15's picture
Joined: 04/08/2011
MGoPoints: 282

remind me again. why do kids want to play for this nut? do they even have rules in scrimmages at rutgers? maybe the QB has to run back 50 yards and then huck the ball up for someone to get on every down

"This is an elite job, and will continue to be an elite job. This is Michigan ferodsakes!"

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June 7th, 2011 at 1:14 AM | Legrand (Score:1)
JohnnyV123
Joined: 04/08/2011
MGoPoints: 369

I may not agree with Schiano's rule change but I can't fault the guy for putting it out there after seeing one of the kids he is responsible for get paralyzed from a kickoff collision.

I know it's easy for a lot of you out there to scoff and say don't F with my beloved game but when we're talking about changing the game vs. dealing with kids getting paralyzed things change. I bet a lot of you would feel differently if you personally knew someone like Legrand.

I don't ever want to see a bastardized version of the game of football and don't like Schiano's idea but I'm sure there's some rule change that could help improve the safety of the sport without drastically changing strategy like his suggestion would.

-Eternal guardian of the Prevent (you from winning) Defense

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