OT - fantasy football first pick advice

Submitted by chomz14 on
Alright guys first time in 13 years of my own league I have the top pick. But not too excited about it. There is 3 guys (AP, McCoy and Charles) that could all be picked. It is a a PPR league so Charles is the top guy there. But I don't like this Oline situation at all this year. McCoy has been my favorite since I found out I had the top pick. Might not catch as many passes with Sproles in Philly now but dude will put up monster numbers again in Chip Kelly's offense. And then there's AP who seems to be trending toward the top pick in most experts rankings an mocks lately. I love AP, I like that Turner is calling the offense and wants to get him involved more in the short passing game and I think Cordalle Patterson could explode and it could only help the run game. What do you the MGOblog experts think?
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dothepose

August 28th, 2014 at 9:05 AM ^

McCoy went first in our draft, followed by Manning and then I had 3rd and took Calvin..in a PPR league..I was able to get Lacy with my second pick so I feel I got a steal there.

Joined: 12/30/2008

MGoPoints: 7480

The Baughz

August 28th, 2014 at 9:32 AM ^

I can see that happening in some leagues. I was in a league last year where a lot of guys took a qb first, myself included. It all depends on how your league is set up. This league was set up where you could shuffle your lineup to where you can have 3 wr/1rb, or vice versa. I felt in a league like that, you can wait to get a decent RB later on depending on your strategy. I went with a QB, then heavy with WR. 

Joined: 10/08/2010

MGoPoints: 31913

hisurfernmi

August 28th, 2014 at 10:34 AM ^

I've been doing this for awhile and in leagues with newer or less knowledgable managers you will see what I call 'draft momentum'. If someone sees Payton Manning go second then suddenly people start thinking they will need to grab a QB before they miss out on the one they want. Next thing you know 8 of 12 picks are for QBs. My older leagues don't sway far from what you expect based on provided rankings. People that have played awhile seem to stick more to there own picking strategy rather than be influenced by a pick made out of the perceived order.

Joined: 09/19/2009

MGoPoints: 568

umchicago

August 28th, 2014 at 11:07 AM ^

i have often waited to grab a QB, even very late.  then i take two.  so i could end up with the #11 and #13 QB, but then i start the guy with the best match-up that week.  it's almost like having a top 5 QB.

and it's worked.  one year i had favre (vikings) and eli manning.  they easily combined for top 5 QB stats.

Joined: 02/05/2009

MGoPoints: 33625

Jehu the Damaja

August 28th, 2014 at 9:11 AM ^

McCoy. Sproles may steal a few catches, but the Eagles will run the most plays in the league (again) by far. More plays run=more opportunity for points. And his OL is much less frightening than KC's.

Fun fact: the top scoring fantasy player hasn't done it in back to back years since Ladanian Tomlinson in 07/08. Charles was the top scorer last year...


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The Baughz

August 28th, 2014 at 9:14 AM ^

I would go with McCoy. Charles scares me with his injuries, and you are already aware of the shaky o-line situation in KC. AP is the best RB when healthy, and might be worth a #1 overall pick if the Vikings can get their pass game going. It's tough having the first pick, but I would say AP or Shady would be your best bets.

Joined: 10/08/2010

MGoPoints: 31913

t0nic

August 28th, 2014 at 9:15 AM ^

I'd pick McCoy as Chip's offense is gonna put numbers up this year. Can't really go too wrong with the first pick. I'm cursed with the last pick this year so not sure what I'm going to do besides value based drafting best available.. 

Joined: 10/26/2011

MGoPoints: 236

GoWings2008

August 28th, 2014 at 9:41 AM ^

is with a bunch of friends.  So many websites will help you create a league, its pretty easy.  CBSports.com, ESPN.com, Foxsports.com....I've been in leagues sponsored by all of them.  And you can set up an auto draft if you want.  Get enough guys together to sign up, have one guy be the league commissioner and just go do it.  You'll get the fever and in a few years, you'll be playing in three leagues, having live drafts and paying more attention to the NFL than you ever expected.  You'll live, breathe and eat football, your friends will admire you, your wife will mock you, and soon you'll be....

You know what...nevermind.  Don't even get started. 

Joined: 01/26/2011

MGoPoints: 69673

brewandbluesaturdays

August 28th, 2014 at 9:50 AM ^

Sorry I couldn't help myself. It's something my pals and I do to eachother almost any time a text messaget gets sent asking a question. But seriously, It's all about figuring out how players are scored in that partifular league and finding where there's value.

For example in my league with college friends, QB's get 6 points for TD's vs. 4 in most standard leagues. It's also a PPR (points per reception) so WR's are very valuable. RB's still are valuable if they get catches but the average back, not so much in our league. A QB with a good game can win the week for you by himself. 

Joined: 01/23/2009

MGoPoints: 7906

MGoManBall

August 28th, 2014 at 9:33 AM ^

McCoy. RB's value is based on their workload more so than their ability. Charles may be the most explosive RB in the draft but McCoy should get the rock more, making him a more valuable pick. 

Another thing: I think last year was one of the very few times Charles has made it through an entire NFL season. McCoy is more durable.

And another thing: Only ONCE has a RB repeated as the top RB in fantasy football since this circus has started (Ladainian Tomlinson). 

Joined: 10/27/2012

MGoPoints: 13029

amaizenblue402

August 28th, 2014 at 9:44 AM ^

and I got McCoy. AP went 1, Charles 2. I picked Dez Bryant in the 2nd round and stole Eddie Lacy in the 3rd round (19th overall). 8 man PPR league.

Joined: 09/18/2010

MGoPoints: 14596

BeatOSU52

August 28th, 2014 at 9:47 AM ^

Anyone else listen to satellite radio xm 87- the fantasy sports channel. That's all I've listened to for the past month in my car! The running with MJD show sucks, though.

Joined: 11/13/2011

MGoPoints: 14554

BPocern

August 28th, 2014 at 9:54 AM ^

We had a guy with 3rd overall pick go with... Joique Bell. Then, GREG OLSEN, and then Russel Wilson. He ended up with 3 TEs, and 2 kickers.

I play him week 1, if I lose...

Joined: 03/12/2011

MGoPoints: 1122

Dawggoblue

August 28th, 2014 at 11:05 AM ^

He is as close to a sure thing as you get this year at RB.  He has shown he can produce year after year.  The other two can't say that. 

 

McCoy and Charles are still great picks, but anything but AP with #1 is wrong.

Joined: 09/26/2011

MGoPoints: 2693

An Angelo's Addict

August 28th, 2014 at 11:14 AM ^

I would go McCoy. He is just such a fantasy beast and I think charles has the slight disadvantage because of his OLine. But I would even pick Charles over AP this year because he averaged around 30 fantasy points every game last year. Better option in a PPR league

Joined: 07/12/2011

MGoPoints: 7982

MGoCombs

August 28th, 2014 at 11:31 AM ^

I have first pick in a non PPR, so I am going with AP. McCoy and Charles might have more upside, but as others have said, AP being good is one the surest things in sports. McCoy is a gamble that could pay off huge, but can Chip Kelly continue his offensive success to the degree he had in his first season? I'm a Kelly believer, but some of those numbers seem unsustainable as defenses adjust. Charles is just an injury red flag. That said, in a PPR, I'd probably have to go with McCoy.


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slama

August 28th, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^

In a non-PPR I could see taking AP but McCoy catches the ball and does things like this with it. Charles is a great pick too, just worried the Chief's will disappoint this year and Alex Smith is the worst starting QB in the NFL.

Joined: 05/05/2014

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