Now that you mention it, I just checked my bracket and its 100% perfect.
Even guessed those very obvious FGSU upsets. Piece of cake
Now that you mention it, I just checked my bracket and its 100% perfect.
Even guessed those very obvious FGSU upsets. Piece of cake
I saw one guy's bracket who actually has FGCU going to the Elite 8, though his West bracket is totally fucked.
I'm in a 2000+ person pool and one guy picked them to win it all...
His name is Urban Meyer?
Urban Meyer's daughter plays volleyball for FGCU and there is a bit of an uproar because this supposed "Gator for life" has said that he wants FGCU to make the final four....
right now I'm in the 97th percentile on ESPN. But my predicted Wisconsin/Pitt matchup isn't happening, and Georgetown to Final Four didn't work out. So at best I can get 6/8 elite eight and 3/4 final four.
Last year I caved to peer pressure and created a bracket, but just to be contrary I had us going out in the first round.
Needless to say, I have not blasphemied since.
Had us losing to VCU for the sake of avoiding the double stomach punch. Needless to say I have been punishing myself since that glorious Saturday.
These are very good, I use them in my garage. Don't know if I'd call them perfect.
I think anyone with even so little as an intact final four should be proud of themselves. I'm first in my pool and had Georgetown in the Final 4.
As an aside, anyone else hate the 1-2-4-8-16-32 scoring system? The last two rounds completely negate the first 4. There's no point in picking the 12-5 or 10-7 upsets in the long run. Those games just don't matter. My pool switched to the Fibonacci option on Yahoo this year and I like it so far. It's 2-3-5-8-13-21.
My final four is intact! That's why you always pick Michigan!! No way am I going to do well though, my final four is Duke, OSU, Michigan, Indiana with Michigan over OSU in the title game. I just picked a scenario that would make me laugh. Sparty left ouf of the Final 4 -- dong punched by Duke. Then Duke dong punched by OSU and Crean dong punched by Michigan so our coaching staff can laugh at him. Finally Michigan dong punching Craft in the championship game. Everybody is gettin their dong punched except us in my bracket!
so much dong punch
I have the same dong punching scenario and am currently 2nd in a pool of 70.
Each round is worth the same amount, so the last two rounds might negate the first two rounds, but not all 4.
I don't mind the traditional scoring system. I basically means you have to at least pick the champion or the two teams in the game correctly to be in contention and between all the teams in contention, the first two rounds act as a tie-breaker essentially.
My work bracket decided to do upset scoring (without mentioning it beforehand), so each pick is worth the traditional round points plus whatever seed the team was, e.g. picking FGCU over Georgetown got you 16 points. It's kind of a cool idea, but it definitely favors picking a lot of upsets in the first round. For example, if I had picked all of the 15 seeds to win, I would have earned 16 points total as opposed to the 12 potential points if all of the 2 seeds had won. You just have to be careful not to pick upsets over teams that will probably advance.
The Fibonacci option is interesting, but the traditional option works fairly well when there are some clear favorites for the final 4 - then, either chalk makes it to the FF and the early rounds matter a lot, or chalk gets upset in the middle rounds and people who pick that are justifiably rewarded.
The problem with the Fibonacci version, to me, it that it overvalues the first round, which is where random stuff like the crazy guy down the hall that let's his kids pick all the bird mascots can do really well.
If you want to value good basketball knowledge and judgement, the late rounds do need to weight highly.
That said, I like chaos and don't usually play money pools, so go Fibonacci!
I got with the 1-2-4-6-8-10 system. I don't think picking Louisville or Indiana is really 32x harder than getting the 7-10 game. You have to be right 6 times, but you get rewarded for every game they win along the way. To me getting 50 games right or such is harder than picking Kentucky last year.
On most sites, you can set the scoring manually, but then you'd have to explain the reasoning.
I'm guessing the Fibonacci option would make the variation of scores in each round about the same. Maybe you want it to grow a little by round. But, yeah, I don't like pools in which the winner is COMPLETELY determined by who got the national champion right, then by who got the most in the semis, then who got the most in the elite 8, etc... The early rounds in that format become merely a tie-breaker.
If there was a perfect bracket we would've heard about it by now. First ever 15 seed to go to the Sweet 16, Zaga out early (although i had them losing to Pitt instead....[half credit?]). Harvard won too for the first time in over 50 years. A bunch of 11 and 12 seeds won and not the trendy one (Belmont). I sincerely doubt anybody is close to perfect.
At least on ESPN. 8.15 million, no perfect ones.
"After three rounds of the tournament, no one entered a perfect bracket. Five brackets picked 30 of the 32 games correctly in the round of 64. Four brackets missed just one Sweet Sixteen team.
Some data on the choices:
- Just 20% of the brackets picked Ole Miss to beat Wisconsin. The Badgers were picked to advance to the round of 32 in 80% of brackets and to the Sweet Sixteen in 54.7%.
- Just 1% of the brackets picked Florida Gulf Coast to advance to the Sweet Sixteen, and only 1.3% of the brackets picked La Salle to advance past the third round.
- The West Regional proved the most damaging to bracketeers. Only 966 brackets correctly picked Ohio State, Arizona, Wichita State and La Salle.
- The East Regional was the easiest to pick with 35.5% of brackets accurately picking Indiana, Syracuse, Marquette and Miami.
- Only 2.3% of brackets picked FGCU to beat Georgetown.
- A hefty 5.6% of brackets picked Harvard to beat New Mexico."
Final Four of MSU, IU, Michigan and OSU. I'm all in for the B1G!
My 6 year old daughter is the only family member still "in the hunt." She finishes first of 240 entries if UM beats Duke. All other games are irrelevent.
I let her pick her own bracket. I pick the low seeds in the first round but she picks the rest.... based on team mascots. She knows who the Wolverines are ... last year she was on a "Bears" kick and lost out when Baylor got the boot early.
two are tied w/ the highest score at 560 (out of 640 possible)
In the MGoBlog Community pool on ESPN, I'm tied w/ many for 39th place out of 597 non-blank entries (three_honks 2) at 450 points or in the overall 94.4th percentile of ESPN entries.
The leading MGoBlogCommunity entry, WEON til WEOFF, is at 510 points, or in the (to one decimal place) 100.0th percentile.
590th place out of 597 for me. Excellent.
First I've heard of the 1-2-4-8-16-32 point scale, that's a bit ridiculous. I've always played with a 1-2-3-4-5-6 point scale.
My bracket is in good shape. I still have 7 out 8 elite 8 teams alive (ARRRGHHGHG Pittsburgh) and all 4 of my Final 4.
While each round in the 1-2-4-8-16-32 format has the same number of points, the dispersion or variation of scores in each round grows so as to make the earlier rounds mere tie breakers. If someone picks the national champion, they almost surely will not be beaten by someone who doesn't. And that seems like a reasonable preference if that's what you want, i.e., to win you must do better than the other participants at the end of the pool.
The 1-2-3-4-5-6 format, on the other hand, will actually place more importance on the first round than on the final. From my eyeball regressors, I've noticed a typical range of say, 20-28 correct in the first round. The range of the first round (~8) is greater than the range of the finals 6 (from 0 or 6).
I prefer something in-between, where the range/variation grows by round, but not so much that it is COMPLETELY dominated by the end.
I think the Fibonacci format 1-2-3-5-8-13 gives about that characteristic.
Yes, mine is. Mail me $50 dollars and I'll mail my perfect bracket to you to base your bets off of.
Mine is also and I'll do it for $40
I'll mail it for 60.
...did I do that right?
I had a perfect bracket until everyone else decided to f*** it up
I have Michigan losing in the Elite Eight; I'd obviously be pleased if they ruined this portion of the bracket for me.
7 of 8 Elite 8 (Fuck Wisconsin) and all Final Four left.
I'm in the same situation (Fuck Wisconsin), what's your Final Four?
IU, Duke, Florida, and OSU. I might be the worst Michigan fan of all time...
3 still alive for the final four. Damn you, Georgetown.
94.4% on ESPN. All Final Four picks still alive.
I have Michigan winning the National Championship and they're still on pace to do that. I'll let you know how that's going after this weekend.
The top half of my bracket is great. I only missed on Mizzou/Colorado St and I had Georgetown losing in the sweet 16. The bottom half...not so much.
Being in four pools, I can report that in one pool am alive and well with 14 of the 16 in the Sweet Sixteen and an Elite Eight that is still intact for now (as well as my Final Four selections there). In the MGoBlog challenge, on the other hand, my "other formula" (which I plan to abandon soon) has only 5 of my 8 Elite Eight picks alive and 3 in the Final Four, good for the 42nd percentile or thereabouts, which for a terrible bracket is actually quite good this year, it seems. The remaining brackets I have out there are in varied degrees of disarray in between those two extremes.
My bracket is perfectly toasted. My wife's bracket is kicking my ass. This is very unfortunate.
The funny thing is that I conservatively estimate that I am an above average college basketball fan. WTF?
It amazes me how many times I hear people saying that their wife's bracket is doing better than their own. In all of those cases their wife isn't even a fan of college basketball. They just have some crazy way of picking the winners. It never really makes sense but I guess in regards to the tournament anything can really happen.
she waited to see how I filled out mine first of course so she could understand how it works, then she picks teams based off colors, mascots, whatever.
I have 12 of 16 remaining in the Sweet Sixteen, 6 of 8 remaining in the Elite 8 and 4 of 4 for the Final Four. My two killers were Wisconsin and Georgetown, otherwise I'm not too bad for now.
I've only been filling it in after the games are already over, though.
Erik in Dayton
99.5% on espn
Sitting at the brewery, you say?
All four of my final four picks are still alive. But my bracket looks, as it does every year, like a trainwreck. I'm 29 out of 48. That ranks me tied for 393rd place in the yahoo "Bracket Busters" group.
I was watching the news and they said you have a better chance of winning a Powerball lottery or dating a super-model than getting a perfect bracket.
It's actually the odds of both happening independently at the same time.
The odds of being perfect going into the Sweet 16 are something like:
1 in 281,474,976,710,656
(I think that's 281 trillion)
That being said, I am 9/16, 7/8 and 4/4. I made some bad guesses, but none that had a long term effect.
My Final 4 is still intact! I have Louisville, Ohio, Michigan, and Indiana with Michigan beating the fightin' Creans and Louisville knocking off Ohio. Then I have Lousville beating Michigan for the National Championship. Besides that, my bracket sucks.
10/16. Feeling good. Real good.
45 points right now.
13/16 , 7/8 , 4/4. My ff is Louisville, osu, Florida, and Indiana... With Louisville over Indiana in the finals. I'm feeling pretty good so far.
I created two brackets on ESPN. My first one in my dads work group is 99.8 with 490 points 13/16 correct. 7/8, 4/4 possiblities left. My Mgoblog however is in 437th lol.
Why do i score 0 everytime i post so people cant read it? Am i doing something wrong?
Filled out one of my 20 ESPN brackets (had the gf make an account) and have a perfect looking Elite 8 so far in one of them. If my picks in that particular bracket happen I'll have a very unique bracket and probably skyrocket towards the top. I have Wichita St., Syracuse, Florida, and Louisville in the Final 4, with Lousiville over Florida in NC game.
Not saying I'm a good selector, again I filled out 18 of the damn things, but I wouldn't be against winning a $10,000 Best Buy card
Moved up 16 spots in my group to 4th place after the round of 32. I've got 14/16, 7/8, and 4/4 left.
Sweet 16 - 11/16
Elite Eight - 7/8 Still Alive
Final Four - 4/4 Still Alive
I have a perfect Midwest bracket at this point in time, but It'll probably be lit on fire like a piece of comfy furniture used for sitting on Friday. I've been pretty much rooting for who I want to this entire time though.
I am 94% in ESPN but I have 7, Elite 8 teams still in. And all Final 4 teams...Louisville, Florida, Arizona, Indian(winning it all). 44 points right now...12/16 sweet 16 teams
Have a lame 44 points. My pool leader has 49.
I'm in 98th percentile on ESPN with my entire Elite Eight intact except for Gonzaga, which puts me in pretty good shape to win my pools.
I just need Michigan to win...
I've got 48 points on your scale, the 99.5th percentile on ESPN. Wisconsin's my only Elite Eight that's out, and I have them losing there, so it's possible that my good luck will continue (and it's quite definitely luck).
If my bracket continues to be outstanding, we will all be happy--I've got Michigan beating Ohio State in the championship.
From what I understand, I have a better chance of being killed by a vending machine than I do of picking a perfect bracket.
I got 50 points with 7 of the elite 8 still intact along with all of my final four picks. I am dominating in my family pool and is basically an odds on favorite to regain the family trophy. I correctly picked Harvard, Oregon, Minnesota, Ole Miss and Cal upset in the first round based on seeds. Missed out KSU, Gonzaga, Georgetown and St. Louis as my Sweet 16. Other than that, I'm good.
ESPN has no perfect brackets left.