I always take great interest in watching the evolution of lines over the course of a week. Looks like this one has started out pretty high. Michigan -10.5 and -11.5 from the only two data points at 6ish on Sunday night.
Opening line for this weekend (-10.5)
Anyone who has been watching closely has seen this team get better on D since q 3 of the Bama game. MSU will not put up points on us. Our offense will also not fall for the ol' okey doke 3 years in a row. And last but not least we are at home.
this team is hungry. 28-10 Michigan.
You're too modest. 35-9
You're too conventional. Michigan 36 State 8.
Gimme the points. I believe it'll be a close game.
I disagree. I want a beat down of such epic proportiona that will shut up the state fans for at least next 365 days. But that's just me. They've had their fun with us the last four years, I want my turn.
Basically equal to the sagarin PREDICTOR ranking difference between Michigan and MSU.
Have the line listed at -11.5.
Michigan covered the last two weeks by an average of 26 points. I'd be cool with that again.
To God's ear. It's probably blasphemous to pray for such an outcome, but after enduring the last four years of Sparty trash talk, it might be worth the risk.
I would love seeing Michigan win by 37.5. Freaky shit right there.
...it doesn't exist. Their D is still good, but NOT as dominant as last year (maybe b/c their offense can't put drives together).
Jake Ryan LIVES in the MSU backfield. Denard gets his 100+ rushing which has been elusive aganst MSU so far. M fans will see a LOT of Mr. Rawls.
UM easily, 27 - 13.
You mean he's not real?
I mean, of course he's real.
Well, we thought their OL was horrible last year too, then we wound up not getting to Cousins much.
I was going to ask my Sparty daughter to make a bet before last year's game, but decided not to because I still had questions about Michigan. This year, I'm not going to even broach the subject because she's probably too smart to take the bet, or if she does accept it, I'd feel guilty for taking advantage of her. I expect us to win by at least 12 points.
I'll make the bet with her then, have no problem taking advantage of her :)
Sorry, I just couldn't resist lol
She's 12 man. The bet was to help with dishes.
Ugh... Now my reply goes from being just tasteless to creepy.
I apologize, had I known ahead of time.. I never would have made the comment. :(
You need to put on your thinking cap dude. His name ends with MSUDad. Theoretically that means his daughter went to MSU or is going there. Makes it a little less messed up, but still we rightfully frown on those kinds of comments here
She's an adult--already graduated from MSU and quite capable of defending herself, so given that I led with a perfect setup line, I don't consider it a big deal. A bit tasteless, yes; creepy, no. This is one of the things I like about this blog, though. A tasteless remark gets negged, people chatise the poster, and everyone moves on. Thank you for the apology, but in this case not really necessary.
Thank you for being the guy who doesn't take a stupid message board comment too seriously.
Naturally...you live in Columbus
This is probably the creepiest thing I have ever read on MGoBlog.
Good lord the people on this board can be Puritans.
I observed that a comment about gladly taking advantage of another poster's daughter was creepy. I don't want to pile on sice the two people in question sorted it out, but I don't think that observation is too far off, especially considering that's all I said. Nobody (me included) said anything bad needed to happen to the guy who posted it or even said it shouldn't have been posted.
What the fuck is wrong with you?
Daughter is probably still like 83
I am still nervous about this game. I will say that I think Cousins and some of the other seniors helped them overcome mediocre play calling last season. MSU doesn't seem to have anyone leading the team this year. We will see how good the D really is this week.
Their O is shaky.
Our O > their O.
Our D is probably = their D.
We're at home.
Sparty goin' down.
The Michigan state defense is overrated, yes they're dirty, which makes them look good but they are horrid when you compare them to any actual defense.
The D is good, but they're going to become average once Gholston and Dennard leave after this year.
False. No one is saying MSU's defense is why they're struggling. It's a very solid unit. However, from everything I've read since yesterday, the general consensus among the media is that we easily have the best defense in the B1G (whether that really means anything on a national level is a whole nother story).
State won't score a touchdown. I'll wager that with anyone.
I'll take that bet
I don't know man, we held Dame to one TD in South Bend. And their offense is MUCH better than MSU. Bell might break a big one, but I think that's the only way, unless we go complete derp and never guard Burbridge, and never get to Maxwell.
I want to believe we'll shut them down but I also thought we'd perform better each of the last 4 times out. I'll believe that we hold them without a TD when the clock says 0:00
that we won't be playing in a trash tornado.
Seems like a few of you guys r a bit over confident...Kinda reminds me of the ND week where everyone was talking about how Denard would put up super numbers and we would win..... I'm hoping for a win this week but I'm a lil nervous about the game...
Put some pants on nancy
C'mon now, Damefan, it's time to give up the charade.
Yeah, who does this guy think he is?
That has been a negative for UM. How will he perform versus the same defense this time? The ND game does not give me much confidence.
I think UM can contain Bell, but in rivalry games you never know. UM has to come to play.
It isn't the same defense as last year or the year before. Their D is good, but nowhere near what it was the last couple years.
I want to take the over on six personal fouls
So far, they have 41 total penalties for 422 yards, so they average about 6 penalties of all types per game for 70 yards or so as it is. Factor in the fact that they are playing us and, yeah, that might be a good bet.
As for the line for the game, now that we best MSU in passing defense, passing efficiency, rushing offense, scoring offense, sacks, tackles for loss and are just below them in total defense, -10.5 as a line sounds pretty realistic, even though another half of me says they try to play the game of their lives and it is close to a touchdown margin. I could see a TD and some change though if they can't improve on the Iowa performance.
I think it will probably be around 17-6, but I wouldn't feel comfortable betting on that. If it drops to around 7 maybe I'd be in.
I think we struggle on offense against an MSU team playing their equivalent of the B1G championship game but we still prevail with strong D and just enough O: 17-6 the good guys.
EDIT: Honestly didn't read the above post prior to my own post.