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Opening line for this weekend (-10.5)

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:11 PM
#1
bluewave720
bluewave720's picture
Joined: 07/17/2009
MGoPoints: 928
Opening line for this weekend (-10.5)

http://www.vegasinsider.com/college-football/odds/las-vegas/2/?s=3468

I always take great interest in watching the evolution of lines over the course of a week.  Looks like this one has started out pretty high.  Michigan -10.5 and -11.5 from the only two data points at 6ish on Sunday night.  

"Coach, if you need one yard, I'll get you three yards. If you need five yards, I'll get you three yards." -Leroy Hoard

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:19 PM | We have the best defense in the big 10 (Score:5 Normal)
EZMIKEP
Joined: 10/13/2008
MGoPoints: 908

Anyone who has been watching closely has seen this team get better on D since q 3 of the Bama game. MSU will not put up points on us. Our offense will also not fall for the ol' okey doke 3 years in a row. And last but not least we are at home.

this team is hungry. 28-10 Michigan.

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:09 PM | You're too modest. 35-9 (Score:5 Normal)
turtleboy
turtleboy's picture
Joined: 04/22/2011
MGoPoints: 3213

You're too modest. 35-9

How many times have you been on the freeway and had someone fly by you at 100 mph then end up 2 cars ahead of you at the off ramp? What's the point? -Mark Harmon

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October 14th, 2012 at 9:59 PM | You're too (Score:5 Normal)
UMichGA
UMichGA's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 152

You're too conventional. Michigan 36 State 8.

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:19 PM | Spectacular. I expect that to (Score:2)
DIABEETUS
DIABEETUS's picture
Joined: 09/29/2009
MGoPoints: 2311

Spectacular. I expect that to fall a bit, but it's nice to see that confidence in us.

Michigan: 903–315–36 (Best in NCAA)
vs Ohio State: 58-44-6
vs Notre Dame: 23-16-1
vs MSU:  68-32-5
vs B1G: 522-197-24
vs SEC:  20-8-1
vs PAC 12: 48-24-1
vs Big 12: 10-5-1<

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:19 PM | Gimme the points. I believe (Score:3 Normal)
ReadYourGuard
ReadYourGuard's picture
Joined: 08/21/2008
MGoPoints: 6191

Gimme the points. I believe it'll be a close game.

"the Spirit of Michigan...is based on a deathless loyalty to Michigan and all her ways....and a conviction that nowhere is there a better university, in any way, than this Michigan of ours" - Fielding Yost
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October 15th, 2012 at 12:12 AM | I disagree. I want a beat (Score:3 Normal)
a2_electricboogaloo
a2_electricboogaloo's picture
Joined: 04/21/2011
MGoPoints: 4027

I disagree. I want a beat down of such epic proportiona that will shut up the state fans for at least next 365 days. But that's just me. They've had their fun with us the last four years, I want my turn.

USING GRATUITOUS AMOUNTS OF CAPS LOCK SINCE APRIL 2011

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:19 PM | Basically equal to the (Score:2 Normal)
Professor X
Professor X's picture
Joined: 11/20/2011
MGoPoints: 142

Basically equal to the sagarin PREDICTOR ranking difference between Michigan and MSU.

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:23 PM | Other sites (Score:5 Normal)
BiSB
BiSB's picture
Joined: 08/15/2009
MGoPoints: 27894

Have the line listed at -11.5.

Michigan covered the last two weeks by an average of 26 points. I'd be cool with that again.

They no longer call me Bisbiño

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:04 PM | From your lips (Score:2)
Njia
Njia's picture
Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 6038

To God's ear. It's probably blasphemous to pray for such an outcome, but after enduring the last four years of Sparty trash talk, it might be worth the risk.

"If life is the road, then Ohio is simply a place to stop for gas." -- Scott Burgess, Detroit News, 9/16/2010
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October 15th, 2012 at 4:47 PM | Definitely (Score:2)
whitedawg
Joined: 07/08/2008
MGoPoints: 696

I would love seeing Michigan win by 37.5.  Freaky shit right there.

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:23 PM | State's OLine = Santa Claus (Score:5 Normal)
ND Sux
Joined: 10/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3131

...it doesn't exist.  Their D is still good, but NOT as dominant as last year (maybe b/c their offense can't put drives together). 

Jake Ryan LIVES in the MSU backfield.  Denard gets his 100+ rushing which has been elusive aganst MSU so far.  M fans will see a LOT of Mr. Rawls.   

UM easily, 27 - 13.

"I promise you we would have walked to the University of Michigan."  - Brady Hoke

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:00 PM | You mean... (Score:5 Normal)
True_Blue
True_Blue's picture
Joined: 01/15/2012
MGoPoints: 566

You mean he's not real?

Hail! to the Victors Valiant Hail!

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:12 PM | Errr, ummm (Score:5 Normal)
ND Sux
Joined: 10/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3131

I mean, of course he's real. 

"I promise you we would have walked to the University of Michigan."  - Brady Hoke

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:13 PM | Well, we thought their OL was (Score:3 Normal)
Swazi
Swazi's picture
Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 2556

Well, we thought their OL was horrible last year too, then we wound up not getting to Cousins much.

If you need drugs to be a good writer, you're not a good writer.

-Rod Serling

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:24 PM | I was going to ask my Sparty (Score:5 Normal)
UMgradMSUdad
UMgradMSUdad's picture
Joined: 07/02/2011
MGoPoints: 1955

I was going to ask my Sparty daughter to make a bet before last year's game, but decided not to because I still had questions about Michigan.  This year, I'm not going to even broach the subject because she's probably too smart to take the bet, or if she does accept it, I'd feel guilty for taking advantage of her. I expect us to win by at least 12 points.

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:28 PM | I'll make the bet with her (Score:-1 Trolling)
gotohail
Joined: 02/26/2012
MGoPoints: 327

I'll make the bet with her then, have no problem taking advantage of her :)



Sorry, I just couldn't resist lol

The Michigan difference...

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:36 PM | She's 12 (Score:5 Normal)
jaggs
jaggs's picture
Joined: 02/03/2009
MGoPoints: 2439

She's 12 man. The bet was to help with dishes.

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:15 PM | Ugh... Now my reply goes from (Score:3 Normal)
gotohail
Joined: 02/26/2012
MGoPoints: 327

Ugh... Now my reply goes from being just tasteless to creepy.

I apologize, had I known ahead of time.. I never would have made the comment. :(

The Michigan difference...

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:21 PM | Win (Score:4 Normal)
smwilliams
smwilliams's picture
Joined: 08/20/2010
MGoPoints: 1760

You need to put on your thinking cap dude. His name ends with MSUDad. Theoretically that means his daughter went to MSU or is going there. Makes it a little less messed up, but still we rightfully frown on those kinds of comments here



 

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:55 PM | She's an adult--already (Score:5 Normal)
UMgradMSUdad
UMgradMSUdad's picture
Joined: 07/02/2011
MGoPoints: 1955

She's an adult--already graduated from MSU and quite capable of defending herself, so given that I led with a perfect setup line, I don't consider it a big deal. A bit tasteless, yes; creepy, no. This is one of the things I like about this blog, though.  A tasteless remark gets negged, people chatise the poster, and everyone moves on.  Thank you for the apology, but in this case not really necessary. 

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October 14th, 2012 at 11:52 PM | Thank you for being the (Score:5 Normal)
mejunglechop
mejunglechop's picture
Joined: 07/09/2008
MGoPoints: 6419

Thank you for being the guy who doesn't take a stupid message board comment too seriously. 

Galileo was also chastised.

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:53 PM | Naturally...you live in (Score:5 Normal)
OmarDontScare
OmarDontScare's picture
Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 1489

Naturally...you live in Columbus

I got the shotgun. You got the briefcase. It's all in the game though, right?

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:12 PM | This is probably the (Score:4 Normal)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10867

This is probably the creepiest thing I have ever read on MGoBlog.

Go Blue!

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October 15th, 2012 at 10:45 AM | Good lord the people on this (Score:4 Normal)
SirJack II
SirJack II's picture
Joined: 11/15/2011
MGoPoints: 174

Good lord the people on this board can be Puritans.

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October 15th, 2012 at 3:07 PM | How was that comment Puritanical? (Score:2 Normal)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10867

I observed that a comment about gladly taking advantage of another poster's daughter was creepy. I don't want to pile on sice the two people in question sorted it out, but I don't think that observation is too far off, especially considering that's all I said. Nobody (me included) said anything bad needed to happen to the guy who posted it or even said it shouldn't have been posted.

Go Blue!

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October 15th, 2012 at 7:47 PM | Something bad (Score:3 Normal)
Njia
Njia's picture
Joined: 09/15/2009
MGoPoints: 6038

How about "Burn the witch!"

"If life is the road, then Ohio is simply a place to stop for gas." -- Scott Burgess, Detroit News, 9/16/2010
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October 15th, 2012 at 7:59 PM | There are ways of telling whether [gotohail] is a witch... (Score:0 Trolling)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10867

Why do witches burn?

Go Blue!

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:18 PM | Who the hell says that to a man about his daughter? (Score:5 Normal)
SalvatoreQuattro
SalvatoreQuattro's picture
Joined: 11/30/2010
MGoPoints: 2796

What the fuck is wrong with you?

"The Ruhr will not be subjected to a single bomb. If an enemy bomber reaches the Ruhr, my name is not Hermann Göring: you can call me Urban Meyer!"

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:55 PM | would he be ok with it if its (Score:1 Normal)
no joke its hoke
no joke its hoke's picture
Joined: 01/13/2011
MGoPoints: 2229

would he be ok with it if its ~Herm?

Vice.com

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October 15th, 2012 at 7:34 AM | well herms (Score:4 Funny)
MichFan1997
MichFan1997's picture
Joined: 08/04/2008
MGoPoints: 6235

Daughter is probably still like 83

Follow me on Twitter @gfraley05

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:42 PM | I am still nervous about this (Score:1)
Ty Butterfield
Joined: 09/07/2009
MGoPoints: 892

I am still nervous about this game. I will say that I think Cousins and some of the other seniors helped them overcome mediocre play calling last season. MSU doesn't seem to have anyone leading the team this year. We will see how good the D really is this week.

"But in the tire fire that was last year's secondary he showed a little spark." - Brian Cook

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:44 PM | Our D is solid (Score:5 Normal)
ND Sux
Joined: 10/01/2009
MGoPoints: 3131

Their O is shaky.

Our O > their O. 

Our D is probably = their D.

We're at home.

Sparty goin' down. 

"I promise you we would have walked to the University of Michigan."  - Brady Hoke

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:03 PM | The Michigan state defense (Score:3 Normal)
True_Blue
True_Blue's picture
Joined: 01/15/2012
MGoPoints: 566

The Michigan state defense is overrated, yes they're dirty, which makes them look good but they are horrid when you compare them to any actual defense.

Hail! to the Victors Valiant Hail!

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:12 PM | The D is good, but they're (Score:1)
Swazi
Swazi's picture
Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 2556

The D is good, but they're going to become average once Gholston and Dennard leave after this year.

If you need drugs to be a good writer, you're not a good writer.

-Rod Serling

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October 14th, 2012 at 11:46 PM | /s (Score:1)
Tom .NTT.
Joined: 09/04/2011
MGoPoints: 508

/s

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October 15th, 2012 at 5:42 PM | Gholston leaving after this (Score:2 Normal)
spartanfan123
Joined: 02/15/2012
MGoPoints: 482

Gholston leaving after this year? Good one. 

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:10 PM | False. No one is saying MSU's (Score:2 Normal)
jhender85
jhender85's picture
Joined: 10/25/2008
MGoPoints: 1385

False. No one is saying MSU's defense is why they're struggling. It's a very solid unit. However, from everything I've read since yesterday, the general consensus among the media is that we easily have the best defense in the B1G (whether that really means anything on a national level is a whole nother story).

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:46 PM | State won't score a (Score:5 Normal)
allintime23
allintime23's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2381

State won't score a touchdown. I'll wager that with anyone.

All in for some manball.

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:50 PM | Hmmm (Score:2 Normal)
umfan323
Joined: 01/19/2011
MGoPoints: 239

I'll take that bet

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:09 PM | I don't know man, we held (Score:2 Normal)
Swazi
Swazi's picture
Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 2556

I don't know man, we held Dame to one TD in South Bend. And their offense is MUCH better than MSU. Bell might break a big one, but I think that's the only way, unless we go complete derp and never guard Burbridge, and never get to Maxwell.

If you need drugs to be a good writer, you're not a good writer.

-Rod Serling

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October 15th, 2012 at 1:51 AM | MSU gives me the heebie-jeebies after the last 4 years (Score:3 Insightful)
bluetell
bluetell's picture
Joined: 07/03/2008
MGoPoints: 4770

I want to believe we'll shut them down but I also thought we'd perform better each of the last 4 times out. I'll believe that we hold them without a TD when the clock says 0:00

Rudy watches inspirational movies about Shawn Hunwick

 

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:49 PM | I'm just happy (Score:5 Normal)
ShruteBeetFarms
Joined: 09/25/2010
MGoPoints: 1529

that we won't be playing in a trash tornado.

"I'm not a vegetarian b/c I love animals. I'm a vegetarian b/c I hate plants"

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:53 PM | Please stop (Score:-1 Normal)
umfan323
Joined: 01/19/2011
MGoPoints: 239

Seems like a few of you guys r a bit over confident...Kinda reminds me of the ND week where everyone was talking about how Denard would put up super numbers and we would win..... I'm hoping for a win this week but I'm a lil nervous about the game...

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:57 PM | Put some pants on nancy (Score:5 Normal)
Professor X
Professor X's picture
Joined: 11/20/2011
MGoPoints: 142

Put some pants on nancy

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October 14th, 2012 at 6:57 PM | Aren't you the guy still pretending to be a Michigan fan? (Score:3 Normal)
hart20
hart20's picture
Joined: 05/25/2011
MGoPoints: 3707

C'mon now, Damefan, it's time to give up the charade.

Yep, that's Simba made out of a pineapple.

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:05 PM | This guy (Score:1)
True_Blue
True_Blue's picture
Joined: 01/15/2012
MGoPoints: 566

Yeah, who does this guy think he is?

Hail! to the Victors Valiant Hail!

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:16 PM | Denard versus MSU’s defense. (Score:4 Normal)
SalvatoreQuattro
SalvatoreQuattro's picture
Joined: 11/30/2010
MGoPoints: 2796

That has been a negative for UM. How will he perform versus the same defense this time?  The ND game does not give me much confidence.

I think UM can contain Bell, but in rivalry games you  never know.  UM has to come to play.

"The Ruhr will not be subjected to a single bomb. If an enemy bomber reaches the Ruhr, my name is not Hermann Göring: you can call me Urban Meyer!"

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October 14th, 2012 at 10:07 PM | It isn't the same defense as (Score:1)
Swazi
Swazi's picture
Joined: 08/13/2010
MGoPoints: 2556

It isn't the same defense as last year or the year before. Their D is good, but nowhere near what it was the last couple years.

If you need drugs to be a good writer, you're not a good writer.

-Rod Serling

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October 14th, 2012 at 7:17 PM | I want to take the over on (Score:4 Normal)
Humen
Humen's picture
Joined: 10/04/2010
MGoPoints: 1392

I want to take the over on six personal fouls

 

Thanks Thorin/Mgovideo for avatar

 

 
 
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October 14th, 2012 at 8:08 PM | Good Bet Probably... (Score:2)
LSAClassOf2000
LSAClassOf2000's picture
Joined: 01/07/2011
MGoPoints: 8737

So far, they have 41 total penalties for 422 yards, so they average about 6 penalties of all types per game for 70 yards or so as it is. Factor in the fact that they are playing us and, yeah, that might be a good bet. 

As for the line for the game, now that we best MSU in passing defense, passing efficiency, rushing offense, scoring offense, sacks, tackles for loss and are just below them in total defense, -10.5 as a line sounds pretty realistic, even though another half of me says they try to play the game of their lives and it is close to a touchdown margin. I could see a TD and some change though if they can't improve on the Iowa  performance.

"Funny isn't it, how naughty dentists always make that one fatal mistake."

Follow the random tweets of a Michigan alum - http://twitter.com/#!/LorneEC3

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