Ohio Bobcats: A preliminary scouting report

Submitted by MichiganMan2424 on

Obviously in the coming days Brian and Ace will provide us a ton of info on this Ohio Bobcats team, much more in depth and better than I could possibly do as they will watch game tape and what not, while I haven't. But if you're like me and realize that we now have 5 long days to wait for Michigan v. Ohio, you might want something to chew on until then, so I decided to write up a brief scouting report, because why not? I am by no means an expert on Ohio, the only time I've seen them play was parts of their game last night, but I'll give you what I know about them.

Ohio went 27-7 this year, and 11-5 in the MAC, good for 3rd. Their only win over win over a toruney bound team is Lamar, Pat Kinght's team, 85-78 in OT at home. Their most impressive game is probably a 59-54 loss at Louisville. Both of these games took place in November.

Ohio was 11-6 away from home this year, including 3-0 at a neutral site, all three wins coming in the MAC tournament.

They start 3 guards and two forwards, and they are lead by Junior 5'11 guard D.J. Cooper, who leads the team in scoring, assists, and steals, and was first team All-MAC, and finished 4th in MAC player of the year voting.

The rest of their starting 5 are two 6'3 guards to go along with two 6'8 forwards, so they won't beat anyone with their size. Of those 4, 6'3 guard Walter Offutt and 6'8 forward Ivo Baltic were honorable mentions for All-MAC consideration.

All of the three mentioned are juniors, and their other 6'8 forward Reggie Keely is as well. The only starter who isn't is 6'3 Sophomore guard Nick Kellogg, who is the son of former Buckeye and current CBS announcer Clark Kellogg.

The Bobcats are a fairly deep team, they have 9 goes who average 10+ minutes a game, compared to just 7 for Michigan. None of the guys on the bench average more than 4.7 a game.

As a team, the Bobcats make their money on the defensive end. They are second in the country at creating turnovers, 26.9% of opponents possessions, and are 11th in the country at defending the three, allowing just 29.1% of opponents 3's to go in. And despite their lack of size, they are rebound the ball well offensively, rebounding 34.8% of misses.

Ohio's biggest weakness is shooting the three. They rank 242 in made three's, and Kellogg is the only player on the team to shot better than 36%, shooting at 42%.

All together, the rough outline for beating seems to be:

1-Protect the ball. Burke has been good at that all year long, but against Ohio, we need to be extra carefull.

2-Don't settle for three's. We don't want a NW type game over here. We are much more effective the more 2's we shoot, and against a good 3 point defensive team like this, we have to put an emphasis on that.

3-Force Ohio into 3's. They don't hit them often, so try to get them to jack up as many as possible.

Evil Monkey

March 11th, 2012 at 9:25 PM ^

Pretty good for something thrown together quickly with limited info. Now I actually know quite a bit about them. Does anyone know how talented there forwards are? Could they give us trouble down low?

Gulo Gulo Luscus

March 11th, 2012 at 9:38 PM ^

nice wins over duke and wichita state early in the year, but is there some personnel/style element that makes you think its a bad matchup?  consensus seems to be that we don't want to meet teams with a lot of size.  temple has a couple big guys (6-11 michael eric, 6-10 jimmy mcdonnell) but doesn't look like either gets a lot of usage.  anthony lee looks to be their prominent post presence, and he's only 6-9.  after that it's all 6-5 and under.

Blazefire

March 11th, 2012 at 9:30 PM ^

I didn't want to watch Ohio dismantle Toledo, so once the outcome got obvious, I stopped paying attention. I wish I'd watched for the scouting info.

His Dudeness

March 11th, 2012 at 9:30 PM ^

Nice, but I am going to pick nits with point 2.

We have to "settle" for threes. It's kind of what we do. We just have to take smart (open) threes... and make them (duh). I don't think we are "more effective the more 2's we take" like you mention. We don't really have a solid go-to post guy which makes it hard to put an emphasis on 2's. In my opinion we need Burke to penetrate and dish or penetrate and finish (lulz) which he does well (lulz again). When we get into trouble is when we jack contested 3's and miss a ton of them, to which duh again.

Other than that I agree with you.

MichiganMan2424

March 12th, 2012 at 7:33 AM ^

When I say don't settle, I mean don't take bad threes. Another way of saying that is to say take smart threes, as you say. Against a team where not many open threes are going to be available, there's no reason to jack up contested threes with 25 seconds left on the shot clock (ehm, THJ). Instead, drive in and penetrate, as you say. That will open up the three and allow us to get open threes, which we will hoepfully make.

And to back up my claim saying we are more effective when take more 2's:

In every game where Michigan has attempted less than 20 3's, Michigan has won. Of Michigan's past 10 wins, in only 4 have we attempted more than 20 3's.

We attempted 13 in the win over OSU, only 21 in our win over MSU, 22 in our win over Indiana, 14 the win over Purdue, 15 in the win over Wisconsin, and exactly 20 in the win over Memphis. In all of our marquee wins this year, we have attempted 22 or less threes. That tells me if we want to win against good teams, we have to take three's, but take good threes and not settle.

And there's no real correlation between even making threes and winning those games. Against OSU, MSU, Wisconsin, and Memphis we shot 30% or less from three. The best shooting percentage game of these from three was Purdue, where we shot 42% but only shot 14 threes.

All of this tells me that when we shoot more 3's, we can win, but against lesser competition. When we rely on the three against good teams, we can't beat them. Ohio might be a lesser team, and we could possibly get away with it against them, but in the tournament, don't risk it. My memo to Michigan the entire tournament is to curb the amount of three's. The less bad three's, the better.

UMgradMSUdad

March 11th, 2012 at 9:34 PM ^

They are on a winning streak, having won the MAC conference tournament.  Granted, that's not the same as winning the B1G or ACC or Big East, but it still says something about their getting hot at the right time.  Also, we had one common opponent: Oakland.  And Ohio also beat them.  I expect Michigan to win, but it might be more difficult than some expect.

dchubbs24

March 11th, 2012 at 9:52 PM ^

The key will be to slow down DJ Cooper. He seems to get hot around this time of year. He is a very streaky shooter and a big time play maker. The big guys are capable of knocking down shots and giving us a little trouble. I've watched this team all year and they look at their best right now. 

Long story short, if Ohio is shooting the ball well this is going to go down to the wire. Michigan's defense is the key along with being careful with the ball. They play up tempo, so it will be key to play at UM's pace. 

UMgradMSUdad

March 11th, 2012 at 10:04 PM ^

The Bobcats have really stepped up their 3 point shooting in the MAC tournament.  In their last 3 games they went 8/18 (44.4%), 12/25 (48%), and in the championship game went 9/21 (42.9%), so while shooting threes might have been a weakness throughout the season, they seem to have solved that problem at the right time for their team.

UMgradMSUdad

March 11th, 2012 at 10:26 PM ^

True, and I also suspect Michigan plays better D than Toledo, Buffalo, and Akron, so I don't really expect them to be able to continue shooting the 3 at the same clip they've been doing during the MAC tournament. Still, they have picked a good time of the year to get a hot streak going.

jmblue

March 11th, 2012 at 10:09 PM ^

So how do they force so many turnovers? Do they play a "40 Minutes of Hell" style?

On a side note...

Their only win over win over a toruney bound team is Lamar, Pat Kinght's team, 85-78 in OT at home.

Lamar went 6-0 after Knight trashed his senior class.  I can't believe Knight got that team to stick together after that.  Someday ESPN will have to do a documentary on what went on down there.

Rather be on BA

March 11th, 2012 at 10:54 PM ^

We struggle with teams that have bigger and stronger athletes than us and can push us around (see yesterday versus Ohio).  Ohio is not that team, neither is Temple.  I am confident in reaching the Sweet 16, but from there on it is not so fun. 

krase1

March 11th, 2012 at 11:27 PM ^

I watched OU all weekend in Cleveland.  Very athletic but small.  They are like a poor man's version of the Wolverines.  Very capable of knocking UM off if they are hot.  The Burke vs Cooper matchup will be fun to watch.  Cooper can be sensational but makes many boneheaded decisions.  Sometimes jacking 3 pointers in between the 3 point and half court line early in the shot clock.  Exceptional passer but some of his intended targets have butter fingers at times.

Morgan vs Keely inside should be a nice matchup of big guys too.  Morgan is a better athlete but Keely plays very determined.

I think OU's free throw shooting is not Big Dance Ready and I would predict a close UM victory.  Go Blue!

 

 

krase1

March 11th, 2012 at 11:27 PM ^

I watched OU all weekend in Cleveland.  Very athletic but small.  They are like a poor man's version of the Wolverines.  Very capable of knocking UM off if they are hot.  The Burke vs Cooper matchup will be fun to watch.  Cooper can be sensational but makes many boneheaded decisions.  Sometimes jacking 3 pointers in between the 3 point and half court line early in the shot clock.  Exceptional passer but some of his intended targets have butter fingers at times.

Morgan vs Keely inside should be a nice matchup of big guys too.  Morgan is a better athlete but Keely plays very determined.

I think OU's free throw shooting is not Big Dance Ready and I would predict a close UM victory.  Go Blue!

 

 

JB22

March 12th, 2012 at 12:29 AM ^

Cooper obviously seems like the #1 guy to stop, but this Walter Offutt guy transferred from Ohio (YTO) where he got no playing time, but I imagine he's pretty talented to have garnered that scholarship in the first place.

Sons of Louis Elbel

March 12th, 2012 at 7:35 AM ^

My biggest concern is against a team that has a lot of interior size, so I like our chances against a team that y'know, doesn't. Their defense against the three is certainly an issue, but SOS is a factor in their high ranking. All in all, not a bad first round match-up for us.

74polSKA

March 12th, 2012 at 7:57 AM ^

I only saw them play the MAC championship, but I was amazed how bad they were at covering the three.  They did have to play zone most of the game because Akron's center is a 7 footer, but Akron shot 75% from 3 in that game.  If they do play any zone, we just have to reverse the ball and there should be someone wide open.  OU has always been a streaky team and I'm not sure if they'll be able to carry over their momentum to the NCAA's.