Offense Efficiency Analysis: UM vs MSU

I found it very interesting to look at offense efficiency by checking how often our offense put points on the board (I even count missed FG)

In the last 5 games, we scored  

4TD + 2FG(1missed) out of 12 drives in UConn game,

4TD + 2FG(2missed) out of 16 drives in ND game,

6TD + 1FG(1missed) out of 11 drives in UMass game,

9TD + 0FG(0missed) out of 11 drives in Bowling Green game,

6TD + 0FG(0missed) out of 12 drives in Indiana game.

Average offense efficiency is

29TD+ 5FG(4missed) out of 62 drives in last five games ==

48.4% score, 46.8% TD

 

Michigan State

5TD + 1FG(0missed) out of 14 drives in Western Michigan game.

3TD + 3FG(0missed) out of 11 drives in FAU game.

4TD + 0FG(0missed) out of 13 drives in ND game.

6TD + 1FG(0missed) out of 12 drives in NCU game.

3TD + 2FG(0missed) out of 11 drives in Wisconsin game.

Average offense efficiency is 

21TD + 7FG(0missed) out of 61 drives in the last 5 games ===

45.9% score, 34.4% TD

 

Conclusion,

Unless MSU has their best offense day (like the one over NCU) + we have our worst offense day (like the one over ND), I like our odds to win the game