Odds of Space Rock Hitting Ohio Stadium
Obviously we are all hoping that the outcome of the OSU vs MSU game today will be an asteroid strike. I am finding myself vicerally opposed to cheering for OSU to win, so that got me wondering if we could calculate the odds for the space rock thing actually happening. For the sake of argument, lets accept that a well placed meteorite could potentially get the job done. We know that, on average, only one small asteroid per year hits earth, but another 500 meteorites hit our planet each year. We also know that the square footage of earth is 5,490,000,000,000,000, compared against the square footage of Ohio Stadium at 624,001. Given these stats, we can calculate the odds of a space rock hitting Ohio Stadium in a given year at 8,799,143,095. However, we need it to happen during the span of this 210 minute game. There are 525,600 minutes in a year, which means that there is a 1 in 22,022,999,000,000 chance that this could happen! Cue the Dumb and Dumber gifs. Space Coyote, any additional thoughts on my calculations?
November 21st, 2015 at 4:37 PM ^
So you're saying there's a chance
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November 21st, 2015 at 5:10 PM ^
A chance that is still more likely than B1G getting a targeting call correct.
November 21st, 2015 at 6:23 PM ^
I've got a 6 of these
right now in my fridge, let me drive down there after I sober up, drink a few, and throw the others at the Horseshoe. WITHIN 25 YARDS OF SO, I DO BELIEVE I CAN PULL IT OFF!
November 21st, 2015 at 4:40 PM ^
Whatever the odds, they aren't high enough.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:51 PM ^
Never tell me the odds...
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November 21st, 2015 at 4:41 PM ^
I effing hate OSU. I understand the ramifications if the win today, but I HATE OSU
November 21st, 2015 at 5:38 PM ^
Who the hell do we root for!!!
November 21st, 2015 at 4:43 PM ^
I'm sorry for judging your thread by its title. I chuckled at this.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:45 PM ^
Welp, I won 50 dollars on a scratch-off gifted to me yesterday. This taught me that anything is possible.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:51 PM ^
The Buckeyes, the Spartans, and a B1G referee crew.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:50 PM ^
Eleventeen
November 21st, 2015 at 4:50 PM ^
Let's not go Spartans! Not go Green! Not go White! Not go Spartans not go!
November 21st, 2015 at 4:55 PM ^
Go What? Go What?
November 21st, 2015 at 4:51 PM ^
Funny that a commercial a minute ago was for the Pixar movie where they say "what if the asteroid that killed the dinosaurs missed?"
Hopefully there's a much smaller one on course to hit Ohio Stadium within 210 minutes that also doesn't miss.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:53 PM ^
make the odds 50% / 50%?
(Hoping)
November 21st, 2015 at 4:55 PM ^
send me your money. odds are, i don't know, a million to one. there is one catch though, minimum bet is also $1MM.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:55 PM ^
Cheering for michigan. Lot easier.
November 21st, 2015 at 6:00 PM ^
Yale will always be number 1 in gentlemanly club life.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:57 PM ^
I can't bring myself to hope that either of these teams wins. I despise them both. I despise both coaches. The meteor strike odds to seem (ahem) astronomically low, but still somewhat higher than a targeting call for a hit on Rudock this year.
How about a frostbite inducing blizzard?
November 21st, 2015 at 4:58 PM ^
But I realized, while trying to cheer for OSU, that I don't care who wins. We beat MSU. (Shut up with your circus-dependent facts.) If we beat OSU, too, then as far as I'm concerned we won the B1G. This has already been a great year. The Game matters again. The Game matters enough. That's true even if we have to watch MSU lose to Iowa in Indy.
November 21st, 2015 at 4:59 PM ^
We need OSU to do ONE F-ING THING!!?
November 21st, 2015 at 5:00 PM ^
GO METEOR! BEAT STATE(S)!
November 21st, 2015 at 5:04 PM ^
Your calculations aren't bad at all.
This is what I could find.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/2013/10/18/asteroid-earth-2032/30077…
The BEST chance of ANY asteroid hitting the Earth is in 2032 and it's a 1 in 63k chance.
The chance that it hits a specific point on the Earth on a specific day? Oh boy. That must be an astronomical number.
/shows himself out.
Edit: "Any asteroid" should read as "A catestrophic asteroid". My B.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:07 PM ^
After actually watching the first half of this game, I'm liking very much our odds of winning next Saturday. I just hope by some miracle the buckeyes don't derp out a loss in the second half, or drop too fast in the rankings before we beat them.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:09 PM ^
What are the odds of OSU winning but Barrett, Cardale, Miller, Bosa, and Elliott all being either hurt or in eligible to play next week?
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November 21st, 2015 at 5:32 PM ^
About as likely as Harbaugh writing a personal letter of apology to the refs from today's game, asking them to forgive him for his sideline outbursts.
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November 21st, 2015 at 5:09 PM ^
I'm not cheering them on, but dammit they really need to get their act together so we don't have to hope PSU can take down Sparty.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:21 PM ^
If you aren't rooting for OSU right now you are a god damn idiot. I want to play in Indy.
It doesn't make you more of a fan rooting for "an asteroid" or "msu to lose", it makes you a fool who takes this rivalry way too seriously.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:27 PM ^
That makes zero sense
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November 21st, 2015 at 6:12 PM ^
You ok buddy? You seem really angry. They have medications that can help you with that.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:21 PM ^
Ohio Stadium this afternoon will probably not happen.
But I bet with a fly-over on our return flight from Penn State we could jettison the human waste over their game-
not that anyone there would even notice...
November 21st, 2015 at 5:35 PM ^
100,000 suckguy fans are at the toilet bowl...sounds like it's already full of human waste
November 21st, 2015 at 5:35 PM ^
100,000 suckguy fans are at the toilet bowl...sounds like it's already full of human waste
November 21st, 2015 at 5:26 PM ^
All you need to do is pull for PSU to beat MSU next week.
If that is less distasteful.
It is for me.
But asteroid works too.
Or how about a virulent debilitating illness to infect everyone in the horseshoe this afternoon.
Just sayin'
November 21st, 2015 at 5:27 PM ^
LOL PSU ain't beating MSU get real.
November 21st, 2015 at 6:19 PM ^
the odds of an asteroid hitting the Horseshoe.
Long as the odds of PSU beating MSU are, they gotta be a couple orders of magnitute better than an asteroid.
November 21st, 2015 at 6:35 PM ^
Nebraska
November 21st, 2015 at 6:15 PM ^
I still think it is better for Michigan if OSU gets the deed done. We need them ranked as high as possible if we are going to make a serious run at the playoffs. If we close out the season with wins over two top-five teams, we will be right in the thick of it.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:27 PM ^
the odds of shitting in a cooler? 1000%
November 21st, 2015 at 5:28 PM ^
Karma has completely ignored OSU for years and years.
If a meteor struck Ohio Stadium, it would only happen after the game is finished and the fans have left.
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November 21st, 2015 at 5:28 PM ^
It would be best if the meteor could hit after 10 OTs....
November 21st, 2015 at 5:32 PM ^
And we all hope that this will happen, of course. I'm going to sit in my chair and silently hate them for the week.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:36 PM ^
Do you have a catheter and colostomy bag so the hate isn't interrupted?
November 21st, 2015 at 5:46 PM ^
There is a chance. There was a fireball meteor that came down Thursday night over S.Indiana/ Ky side of the Ohio River.
November 21st, 2015 at 5:55 PM ^
Have Rudock throw one. He will hit it.
November 21st, 2015 at 6:12 PM ^
Space terrorism?
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November 21st, 2015 at 7:34 PM ^
Apparently a rock of some kind hit Ohio State tonight. Crap.