Odds for the new coach
http://www.freep.com/story/sports/college/university-michigan/wolverine…
I like how these guys think.
Maybe not so much the sporting news guy. But when have they had anything good to say about michigan?
December 3rd, 2014 at 10:55 AM ^
Uh oh...
December 3rd, 2014 at 10:57 AM ^
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December 3rd, 2014 at 11:07 AM ^
just don't want to give the Freep the clicks. I found the same story on the Det News, so...
December 3rd, 2014 at 10:57 AM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:00 AM ^
Raback it.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:01 AM ^
Yes, agreed on that.
I'm also 100% sure that the Freep sucks.
December 3rd, 2014 at 10:57 AM ^
Riding to town on a Unicorn with maize and blue wings will still not make me click on the Freep.
December 3rd, 2014 at 10:59 AM ^
So Bovada has Harbaugh (+200), Miles (+250), Butch Jones (+350), Mike Gundy (+350), and Greg Schiano (+450).
Personally, I'd flip Miles and Harbaugh, put a lot more space between Miles/Harbaugh and the other three guys, and have a "field" option that's also way more likely than Jones, Gundy, and Schiano.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:04 AM ^
Still, these are a lot less dumb than what The Sporting News came up with:
Mock odds for next HC of Michigan
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:07 AM ^
That whole list makes me irrationally upset.
Also, how do they think that we have 20/1 odds of getting John Harbaugh? It seems pretty much impossible at this point. I'd be absolutely shocked if he left the Ravens.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:16 AM ^
If they're not putting money on it, waste of time.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:24 AM ^
Does this mean that I can bet all of my assets against Kiffin and get paid 1/25 of that? Because sign me up if that's the case.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:43 AM ^
How much money is moving at these odds? I'm curious as to how much predictive capability these numbers have.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:00 AM ^
I wish people would stop bringing up Schiano and Shaw.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:03 AM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:03 AM ^
This Schiano stuff is scary. What's worse than losing to Rutgers? Losing to Rutgers with their former coach...
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:01 AM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:03 AM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:17 AM ^
Vegas either thinks Harbaugh is likely to go blue, or they think Michigan fans are deluded about Harbaugh and will bet on him. Either way they win.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:37 AM ^
They are probably just moving the odds to get equal amounts of money on both sides. If these are the odds that people are actively betting on then it's a good sign, since markets have an uncanny ability to predict the future.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:04 AM ^
the Harbaugh family particularly Jack doesn't anyone find it odd and concerning that hackett has hired a search firm to help him hire a new coach? It indicates to me that Hackett may have made the inquiries and found that the Hartbaugh's are not interested in the job. Had there been a positive reaction there would be no need for a search firm.
The same argument would apply to les Miles. Hackett knows him well and if he was interested we would not need a search firm.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:12 AM ^
A lot can happen between now and the end of the NFL season. For all we know Harbaugh said he's interested, but not until the end of his season. The end of his season is unknown at this point. That might not jive with Hackett's swim lanes. Personally, I am glad that he has a search firm if for no reason other than to be ready to move on a good alternate candidate should it be necessary.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:14 AM ^
who are saying "who is this Hackett guy?" and "why does HE suddenly have sole power to hire the next guy?" There are still a lot of people out there who think Hackett is Furniture Guy replacing Pizza Boy. His main qualification besides being a successful businessman is that he played football for Bo Schembechler ... and Brandon could say the same, which didn't work well for us. I do think Hackett is a far superior man for the job than Brandon was, though.
The search "firm" could be just about anybody who knows what we want and are willing to give. They could conduct a stealthier search with more ease than Hackett himself flying the jet all over the country.
I suspect the search has been quietly taking place for weeks.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:19 AM ^
I wouldn't read so much into the hiring of a search firm.
In fact, it is equally plausable that Harbaugh has already indicated interest, but has said that he will not formally accept until he finishes out his season. That likely happens on 12/28, which is only 4 weeks from now. The hiring of a search firm could be a move to (1) drag out the process to keep Michigan fans calm during this protracted period awaiting Harbaugh, and (2) have some good back-ups in place just in case Harbaugh changes his mind.
Another "reading into things too much" point re: Harbaugh: Coaching searches for top jobs are usually wrapped up very quickly after the HC is fired. Maybe not days, but certainly 2-3 weeks is common. If we are looking at a 2-3 week period, there is no need to have DeBord act as interim football administrator. They could just have Nuss do it and pay him a few bucks extra. Naming Borges in this role to me indicates that they know that the vacancy might last for more than 2-3 weeks, perhaps until the end of the NFL Season. Maybe I am reading too much into this, but it does make some sense.
Basically, ITS HAPPENING.GIF
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:31 AM ^
...I know you meant DeBord. :)
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:36 AM ^
this could also be a way to help Harbaugh (assuming your scenario) explore coordinator availability or other position coaches he wants to target....so he doesn't have to spend several weeks assembling his staff once he comes on board...
December 3rd, 2014 at 12:09 PM ^
How would that work?
DeBord: "Hello this DeBord from Michigan, I'm looking to fill a couple of coordinator roles, are you interested?"
Prospective Coordinator: "Didn't realize you had hired a head coach, who is it and why aren't they calling me?"
DeBord: "Well, technically we haven't hired a head coach, but we've got someone lined up."
Prospective Coordinator: "Interesting, who is it?"
DeBord: "Can't tell you, but they want you as a coordinator."
Prospective Coordinator: click
DeBord: "Hello, hello you still there? Damn, something is wrong with this phone because I keep getting disconnected."
December 3rd, 2014 at 12:08 PM ^
I'm just pleased that we're doing an actual search this time around, as opposed to previous attempts which boiled down to hackneyed mad scramble followed up by no real search whatsoever.
We need to get this hire right, so let's maximize the odds that we do.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:04 AM ^
Their MOD's have said that there is a current Tier 1 college coach that is intersted in the job. They went to say that this person would turn heads in the CFB world and would quell most angst if we didn't get JH. They know the name but will not release who that is because they want to keep any specultaion off of him while we vet JH. They also said that its someone that is not currently being discussed or mentioned on a "list".
I wonder who the hell that could be? Dare I say Saban?! Lol
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:09 AM ^
Can you imagine the Sparty Rage if we got Saban?
That being said, absolutely no way in hell that would happen.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:15 AM ^
It'd be even better if it was Dantonio.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:19 AM ^
It would never happen, but thinking about it (and the Sparty Rage) makes me smile.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:25 AM ^
It would be amazing to their reaction!
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:10 AM ^
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December 3rd, 2014 at 11:12 AM ^
There are a lot of assumptions required to believe that rumor. The Rivals mods have to somehow know something, the coach has to be genuinely interested and not just seeking a raise, there has to be reciprocated interest from Michigan, etc.
If it is true, then it's best for us if the name doesn't get out. We're in waiting mode for Harbaugh right now, unless we can get a clear, believable signal from him. There's no better way to kill a good candidate than by forcing him to spend the next month denying that he's interested in Michigan. See: Miles in 2007.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:29 AM ^
This is exactly the point that the MOD's were making. Its John Borton for anyone that is familar with The Fort. He wouldn't just bring something up for page clicks.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:13 AM ^
I can think of no better way for the Rivals people to goose the number of clicks they get than to start a bullshit rumor about a current "Tier 1 coach" who they very conveniently can't name, which means there is no way to verify it one way or the other.
It might be smart marketing for Rivals, but I smell horsecrap regardless.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:14 AM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:56 AM ^
College coach
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:19 AM ^
Bob Stoops.
December 3rd, 2014 at 12:25 PM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:21 AM ^
People pay for that type of information? We know something but we can't tell you!
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:23 AM ^
If we look at the two criteris: (1) tier 1, (2) would turn heads and quell most angst, there are only a few names that come to mind:
Saban
Stoops
Malzahn (who is drastically underpaid)
Meyer (not happening)
Dantonio (not happening, since he hates Michigan with every fiber of his being)
Miles
So. basically, Saban, Stoops, Malzahn or Meyer. Who am I missing that fits all of those criteria? Any of those would result in Muppets in these here parts.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:27 AM ^
Richt? Pinkel?
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:37 AM ^
I believe you misunderstood Tier 1... I would put both of those as Tier 2. You might have point with Richt, but he seems to choke in big games and his teams always wind up farther down in the rankings their pre-season hype year in and year out...
I could be wrong, I've been wrong once or twice before.
December 3rd, 2014 at 12:43 PM ^
I would say he is Tier 1:
He has an overall record of 135-48 (.738)
8-5 in bowl games
He's 54 but has been a head coach for 13 years as well as an OC for 6 years which means he has tons of experience while still being reasonably young.
While not affiliated with Michigan he coaches at the Michigan of the SEC which is one of the few schools that run a clean program in that league. He is not in the SEC West but he is still in arguably the top conference in the nation. He would not be phased by playing in a conference with Meyer, Dantonio, and Franklin who are the main obstacles to getting to Indianapolis for the forseeable future.
He would definitely turn heads but I feel like he's been on and off the hot seat for many years in Georgia. Maybe a change in scenery would be good for both parties.
I'm not sure this is going to be happen but I would think we would be getting Lloyd Carr who has had to coach in the SEC so the difficulty level would be ratched down a few levels coming to our conference. If he turns Michigan around he cements his status. There is risk but it makes sense for both parties. IMO he checks all of Hackett's boxes.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:31 AM ^
I've never understoon why he isn't brought up. Yes he's had massive success. However, he is underpaid massively, and he also sits in the shadow of tuscaloosa. Recently Auburn is up there with the best, but historically I wouldn't put the prestige of their football program quite on par w/ Michigan's. I would love to see a Malzahn or Sumlin style offense come to Michigan.
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:51 AM ^
December 3rd, 2014 at 11:43 AM ^
Malzahn is underpaid, but I wouldn't say drastically so. His salary is still $3.85 million, which puts him as the 12th highest paid coach in the NCAA (or higher, depending on what source you go with), which is above some coaches like Gundy, Richt and Fischer.