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New S&P rankings: Michigan #1 offense, #37 defense (and #18 academically in Times Higher Ed rankings)

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:25 AM
#1
dnak438
dnak438's picture
Joined: 08/12/2009
MGoPoints: 2007
New S&P rankings: Michigan #1 offense, #37 defense (and #18 academically in Times Higher Ed rankings)

The title basically says it all. Here are the links for offense and defense. I think if we were told before the season started that we'd have these rankings five weeks in with five wins, we'd all be over the moon...

PS Speaking of rankings, Michigan is #19 18 in the Times Higher Ed ranking of world universities.

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:29 AM | No way (Score:2)
umjgheitma
umjgheitma's picture
Joined: 12/02/2008
MGoPoints: 1378

anybody could predict the B1G, especially Minnesota, would be this awful. However, it is nice to see the coaches rapidly maximizing the output for this team. Even if it means swallowing a little of what they pounded into the media preseason. *EDIT* Gigitty

Has the whole world gone CRAZY!?!

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:12 AM | I agree that the B1G looked (Score:2)
chunkums
chunkums's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 9106

I agree that the B1G looked like a mess coming into the season, but it's even worse than expected.  I don't think anyone predicted OSU as a team that may struggle to go to a bowl game, or Penn State as a team that would struggle to score double digits against Indiana.  Also, I expected Nebraska to take a ratings hit considering how they looked down the stretch last year and how many players they lost, but getitng completely blown out by Wisco?  That was a bit surprising.

For today, goodbye. For tomorrow, good luck. And forever, Go Blue.

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October 6th, 2011 at 12:28 PM | random musings, probably redundant (Score:1 Normal)
RobSk
Joined: 03/01/2010
MGoPoints: 56

Preseason, that's sure how I had it. At this point, I just have no clue. It's clear both teams (OSU/MSU) don't score well, and are struggling with their offensive lines and OSU with their QB.

Michigan is even harder to read. I think it's quite possible we will struggle against the MSU/OSU defenses, which seem pretty tough. However, Borges has done a decent job of adapting, so perhaps we can score 20+ points in those games. I'm completely confident Michigan is a better defensive team, but how much better? Pre-season, I thought they could get up to 60th or so ranking in D1. Based on the secondary play, Jake Ryan's play, Brandin Hawthornes play, and BWC, I think we're better than that. Again, when facing better athletes and so on, how much better? I don't know. But OSU/MSU may have made that irrelevant with their offensive struggles.

At 5-0 last year, I was petrified. We'd been so bad defensively against UMass and Indiana that I had no confidence whatever that we could stop any sort of actual offense.

At 5-0 this year, I have much more confusion, which is good. Might good/mediocre offenses kill us? Yeah, I still think that's possible, especially if we can't generate the TO's that we've been generating. If UM holds NW under 20, I will officially be ready to think that in the MSU/OSU/Iowa/Illinois/Nebraska games, we have a great chance at 3-2 or...even better. And 3-2 in those games, + beating NW and Purdue == 10-2 overall. Any Michigan fan has got to be absolutely thrilled with 10-2, and I don't even care if the 2 losses are MSU and OSU. Ok, I care a little.

Rob

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October 6th, 2011 at 1:20 PM | I agree for the most part but (Score:2)
RedGreene
RedGreene's picture
Joined: 07/02/2009
MGoPoints: 1306

I agree for the most part but Notre Dame might have been the best offense we play this year. Who is better?  Nebraska?  Didn't look like it against Wisconsin.  Michigan State's offense looked below average against OSU.  Most years we would have to worry about the Buckeye offense even if it were just above average, but I think we've all seen how awfull they look thhis year.  

So again, I'm not sure why you would think a good/average offense might kill us when we've already played the best offense on our schedule, and IMO the Irish offense didn't kill us.

Yes I got him a gift. He had a kidney stone. You piss a rock through your pecker, you deserve more than just a pat on the fucking back.

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October 6th, 2011 at 1:35 PM | I agree that the B1G is (Score:1)
bronxblue
Joined: 11/22/2008
MGoPoints: 12582

I agree that the B1G is incredibly bleh this year, but I do think UM is a better team that would have been just as successful as years past, especially defensively.  The competition has largely remained the same, yet UM has been able to hold its own against decent offenses all year (save for ND, and that game was bananas), which is a marked improvement over the past couple of years when UMass and IU shredded the team in the early part of the season.  I honestly do think that ND might be the best offense the team will see until a bowl game/B1G championship game, as MSU, Illinois, and Nebraska look very 1-dimensional and not that great at those dimensions.  OSU is a mess, and even if Persa plays he won't be 100%.  Iowa can throw the ball a bit but have absolutely no way to run the ball consistently, which plays into the defense's strength.  I do expect this team to struggle a bit and lose 2-3 games, but 10-2 definitely looks like a realistic outcome.

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:29 AM | I would of thought (Score:0)
Ohioblueblood
Ohioblueblood's picture
Joined: 09/03/2009
MGoPoints: -688

i would have thought those numbers were reveresed but I guess not ...

"The team..The team...The team" 

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:29 AM | In 2010 terms that would be (Score:1)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10859

In 2010 terms that would be Auburn and Central Florida (oddly enough Auburn was 36 in defensive S&P).

Go Blue!

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:48 AM | This (Score:1 Normal)
Bryan
Bryan's picture
Joined: 07/10/2009
MGoPoints: 8083

Is very telling

I have a Fandom Endurance III merit badge

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:22 AM | This basically guarentees a (Score:3 Normal)
justingoblue
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Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10859

This basically guarentees a national championship. I agree that if it doesn't, it will be very telling. However, if it does, that will also be very telling.

Go Blue!

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:30 AM | i (Score:-1 Redundant)
FreeTheFabFivePlz
FreeTheFabFivePlz's picture
Joined: 03/08/2011
MGoPoints: 1019

think hoke is changing the tide on the rivalry.

So hot.  Milk was a bad choice.

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:30 AM | wut? (Score:0 Normal)
rockediny
rockediny's picture
Joined: 08/14/2010
MGoPoints: 1396

wut?

"There will be blood on the field and it won't be mine." -KK

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:46 AM | Who? (Score:2 Normal)
BiSB
BiSB's picture
Joined: 08/15/2009
MGoPoints: 27875

Who?

They no longer call me Bisbiño

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:53 AM | MIKE JONES! (Score:5 Normal)
Aamoldini
Aamoldini's picture
Joined: 09/01/2009
MGoPoints: 1993

MIKE JONES!

1% of the MGoPosters have 99% of the negative points.
#OccupyBolivia

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:35 AM | Ranked 18th, not 19th...... (Score:5 Normal)
burtcomma
burtcomma's picture
Joined: 11/01/2009
MGoPoints: 2323

UM ranked 18th in world by the Times Higher Ed link, not 19th.....Picky I know, but hey....

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:35 AM | Quick thought (Score:1)
feetandfootball85
Joined: 11/01/2010
MGoPoints: 43

Nice adjustments and tailoring your coaching to team specialities says it all. Keep it up!

 

 

Feetandfootball ...

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:39 AM | The University of Toronto (Score:1 Normal)
Lancer
Lancer's picture
Joined: 08/18/2010
MGoPoints: 755

is ranked way too high, most overrated school in Canada...its not even the best school in the province. 

Looking for BTTYS Nike sb Michigan Dunk Highs size 14, hit me up. 

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:47 AM | That's crazy talk (Score:1 Normal)
dnak438
dnak438's picture
Joined: 08/12/2009
MGoPoints: 2007

Toronto is by far the best university in Canada. I think someone's jealous!

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:05 AM | No it isn't... (Score:2 Normal)
Blue in Yarmouth
Blue in Yarmouth's picture
Joined: 02/18/2009
MGoPoints: 2327

there a quite a few better schools in Canada than U of T. Just sayin...

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:22 AM | OK obviously this is not the place for this (Score:0 Flamebait)
dnak438
dnak438's picture
Joined: 08/12/2009
MGoPoints: 2007

but in the academic fields that I work in, Toronto is heads and shoulders above the rest. It depends what your criteria are for ranking schools, of course. Other schools may provide a better undergraduate experience but Toronto is the research leader, overall, just as Michigan is in Michigan and the surrounding states, and I think the rankings bear that out. I'd feel comfortable sending my undergraduate students to Toronto or Michigan for graduate school, but not to any Canadian university (again, in my field). My impression is that Toronto, the university and the city, is resented by a lot of Canadians who aren't from the Toronto area.

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:23 AM | Guelph (Score:2)
Glutton
Glutton's picture
Joined: 08/18/2009
MGoPoints: 2132

Guelph

"But it is better to live here in sackcloth and ashes than to own the whole state of Ohio."

-- Lafcadio Hearn

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:11 AM | McGill says o hai. (Score:1)
gajensen
Joined: 02/02/2011
MGoPoints: -998647

McGill says o hai.

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October 6th, 2011 at 2:04 PM | UWO (Score:1)
macdaddy
macdaddy's picture
Joined: 07/05/2008
MGoPoints: 1010

The University of Western Ontario has been the highest ranked Canadian univeristy for "best student experience" (per Maclean's magazine) for many years running now. Not exactly sure what that means but they've always had an excellent academic reputation with big research money, a gorgeous campus and hot women. That's gotta count for something.

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:49 AM | posted from iPhone (Score:2 Normal)
bluenyc
bluenyc's picture
Joined: 06/25/2010
MGoPoints: 7029

I thought s&p only rated companies and sovereigns. They are now rating teams as well .

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:53 AM | And they're telling you to buy Blue. (Score:2 Normal)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10859

Buy, buy, buy.

Go Blue!

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:05 AM | Unfortunately post-2008, S&P (Score:5 Normal)
Blue2000
Blue2000's picture
Joined: 01/06/2009
MGoPoints: 2648

Unfortunately post-2008, S&P no longer has any credibility.

"Come on, you Wolverines!"

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:10 AM | Yea, they might have messed (Score:3 Normal)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10859

Yea, they might have messed up that little "Lehman Brothers" thing, but they're coming back with their NCAA offense ratings.

Go Blue!

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:25 AM | posted from iPhone (Score:1)
bluenyc
bluenyc's picture
Joined: 06/25/2010
MGoPoints: 7029

In reality who didnt miss Lehman until it was too late. S&p has it's issues, but every rating agency has missed alot.

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:53 AM | 9th in Passing Downs (Score:3 Normal)
Wolvercane
Joined: 03/02/2011
MGoPoints: 450

FO has us ranked 9th in offense on passing downs. Interesting... I thought we could not pass...

Haters? Hate

EDIT: Actually even more crazier is that Stanford with Andrew Luck is ranked 110th in passing down situations. This really makes no sense at all. 

The Michigan Difference. Oh yea, it is real. 

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:32 AM | We do run QB draws a lot on (Score:3 Normal)
chunkums
chunkums's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 9106

We do run QB draws a lot on passing downs.

For today, goodbye. For tomorrow, good luck. And forever, Go Blue.

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October 6th, 2011 at 3:45 PM | What is the criteria for the (Score:2)
joeyb
joeyb's picture
Joined: 10/12/2008
MGoPoints: 11300

What is the criteria for the ranking? If it is yards, that could indicate that we put ourselves behind the chains and manage to get the yards we need plus more whereas Stanford stays ahead of the chains, so they have fewer data points to work with.

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October 6th, 2011 at 9:58 AM | There is also an overall rank (Score:2)
Blue Durham
Blue Durham's picture
Joined: 06/30/2008
MGoPoints: 983

for S&P, and Michigan is #11, matching our ranking.

Strangely, Notre Dame, at 3-2, is #5 overall (#16 offense, #6 defense).

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:17 AM | posted from iPhone (Score:2 Normal)
08mms
Joined: 07/02/2009
MGoPoints: 1683

Doesn't really surprise me, they've been driving on everybody and scoring relatively well despite the turnover lulz.

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:46 AM | There is only 1 year better then ND left on our schedule. (Score:1)
oHOWiHATEohioSTATE
Joined: 11/22/2010
MGoPoints: 1371

And that is Wisconsin in the B1G championship game.

If an OSU fan divorces his wife are they still brother and sister?

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:02 AM | I think our defense is (Score:1)
Baldbill
Baldbill's picture
Joined: 04/09/2009
MGoPoints: 2002

I think our defense is looking good, considering that we have played the #16 offense (ND) and the #21 offense (Western Michigan) and we won those games. Strange rankings, I don't understand how they got there...<shrugs> we still need to beat Northwestern this weekend.

Semper Fidelis

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:17 AM | The western Mich measuring stick... (Score:0 Flamebait)
allintime23
allintime23's picture
Joined: 09/21/2009
MGoPoints: 2381

They beat central almost as bad as state did and took Illinois to the brink of near disaster. We handled them well. I'm paying attention to them and Toledo this weekend. Important MAC game alert.

All in for some manball.

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October 6th, 2011 at 10:25 AM | Harder, better, faster, (Score:1)
bleep bloop
bleep bloop's picture
Joined: 08/05/2010
MGoPoints: 1727

Harder, better, faster, stronger.

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:25 AM | Mandatory:http://www.youtube (Score:2)
MGoKereton
MGoKereton's picture
Joined: 01/21/2010
MGoPoints: 1035

Mandatory: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=okfJG23nwDU

 

Courtesy of MMBPhotoVideo, of course.

Lived the Dream. 2008-2012

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:13 AM | Northwestern (Score:1)
MGoReader04
MGoReader04's picture
Joined: 06/02/2011
MGoPoints: 128

Northwestern: 53 on offense, 85th on defense.  Obviously, this is mostly w/o Persa.  Still, seems like we should be able to handle this team. 

109,901 Seats, 351 Big Ten Championships, 116 Olympic Medalists, 44 National Championships, 26 Rhodes Scholars, 18 Puliltzer Prizes, 8 Astronauts, 3 Heisman Trophies, 1 US President, 1 Tradition of Excellence

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:16 AM | How is Georgia Tech, a (Score:1)
freernnur5
Joined: 03/28/2011
MGoPoints: 452

How is Georgia Tech, a triple-option running school, that is 68th in the nation in passing yards, #2 in Passing S&P+ and #10 in Running S&P+?  

Quick! To the Hindenpeter!

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:21 AM | If they can convert on what (Score:0 Redundant)
justingoblue
justingoblue's picture
Joined: 11/16/2010
MGoPoints: 10859

Edit: I was wrong, I have no idea.

Go Blue!

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October 6th, 2011 at 11:52 AM | Well, their QB is pretty good (Score:2 Normal)
dnak438
dnak438's picture
Joined: 08/12/2009
MGoPoints: 2007

Here is his stat line so far this year (per Rivals):

 

Statistics Pass Att Comp Pct Yds TD Int Rating   Rush Att Yds Avg TD  
2011 54 31 57.4 938 10 1 260.7   63 189 3.0 4
 

 

and Georgia Tech has the most efficient (not prolific, of course), passing attack in the country. They average 17.7 yards PER ATTEMPT!

Dr Saturday was gushing about the passing attack after the UNC game in September.

 

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October 6th, 2011 at 12:18 PM | offense is a little mistelling (Score:0 Flamebait)
afternoondelight
Joined: 09/30/2010
MGoPoints: 24

I think the offensive rank is mistelling because it doesn't take into account plays where the game isn't deemed "close". So, 3rd quarter vs Notre Dame isn't in here but the 4th quarter is. And since most of our other games, we built a big lead, a lot of the plays don't get taken into consideration. But, I think the biggest factor is that Notre Dame game. Since the jumpballs happened in such a short time and an entire quarter of terrible play was eliminated from the stats, it bumps our rank up quite a bit.

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October 6th, 2011 at 1:10 PM | They're trying to normalize (Score:1)
Eye of the Tiger
Eye of the Tiger's picture
Joined: 09/14/2009
MGoPoints: 1054

But it does sometimes go too far.  I think FEI ends up overvaluing comebacks when the outcome is still out of reach in comparison to running up the score.  That's why our offense was higher ranked than Oregon's last year, in terms of FEI.  

That said, the metric does other things well and should be taken into account alongside other metrics like Sagarin ratings, traditional metrics, etc.  

When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing. -Bo

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October 6th, 2011 at 1:07 PM | Times Higher Ed (Score:2 Interesting)
Eye of the Tiger
Eye of the Tiger's picture
Joined: 09/14/2009
MGoPoints: 1054

Well I've spent quality time at two institutions ranked higher than UM on that list, and can say with certainty that they do not match UM in even the most cursory way.  One is British, and you can excuse the Times for inflating the worth of some of Britain's declining universities, but the other is another well-regarded American public university that fails to match UM in 9 departments out of 10.  

When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing. -Bo

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October 6th, 2011 at 1:12 PM | Why not just say who they (Score:2 Normal)
SysMark
SysMark's picture
Joined: 11/15/2008
MGoPoints: 5565

Why not just say who they are?  What's the mystery?

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October 6th, 2011 at 2:18 PM | The British one is UCL (Score:1)
Eye of the Tiger
Eye of the Tiger's picture
Joined: 09/14/2009
MGoPoints: 1054

Which, aside from fine art and a few of the physical sciences, is an underwhelming institution that asks too little of its students.

[Sorry, going to keep silent on the other as it's my employer.]

When your team is winning, be ready to be tough, because winning can make you soft. On the other hand, when your team is losing, stick by them. Keep believing. -Bo

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