The new phonebooks are here! The new phonebooks are here!

Submitted by OysterMonkey on

Football Outsiders stats are now opponent adjusted and no longer completely insane. F/+ ratings for top ten, BIG, opponents, plus my best guess for UM's Rose Bowl opponent at the end of the year.

Rank Team Record F/+
1 Ole Miss 6-0 36.20%
2 Mississippi State 6-0 33.30%
3 Auburn 5-1 29.70%
4 Oklahoma 5-1 29.60%
5 TCU 4-1 28.90%
6 Oregon 5-1 28.80%
7 Baylor 6-0 26.60%
8 Stanford 4-2 26.00%
9 Georgia 5-1 25.70%
10 Alabama 5-1 25.40%
13 Notre Dame 6-0 23.20%
16 Ohio State 4-1 21.10%
19 Michigan State 5-1 20.10%
22 Nebraska 5-1 18.90%
24 Rutgers 5-1 16.80%
26 Arizona 5-1 16.20%
28 Utah 4-1 16.00%
39 Minnesota 5-1 12.50%
40 Penn State 4-2 12.10%
46 Maryland 4-2 8.20%
51 Wisconsin 4-2 6.40%
52 Iowa 5-1 5.20%
53 Michigan 3-4 4.90%
54 Northwestern 3-3 4.90%
70 Purdue 3-4 -2.20%
85 Indiana 3-3 -8.60%
86 Illinois 3-4 -8.70%
95 Miami (Ohio) 1-6 -14.80%
128 Appalachian State 1-5 -39.40%

 

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OysterMonkey

October 14th, 2014 at 3:58 PM ^

Aww, I forgot this joke gets used for roster overanalyses. If this is information that you are already aware of, sorry. 
 
No, seriously, sorry to waste your time. 
 
Look, I said I was sorry, what else do you want me to do? 
 
No, I'm not going to wash your car. 
 
Because it's a completely unrelated request, and to be honest, completely out of proportion to my wasting your time. 
 
No, screw you! Maybe you're the asshole! 
 
Look, let's just forget the whole thing. 
 
Fine. Be that way. Real mature. Douchebag.

Joined: 08/22/2009

MGoPoints: 5487

LSAClassOf2000

October 14th, 2014 at 4:01 PM ^

I was actually just looking at the Field Position ratings on Football Outsiders, where we rank #77 overall. On average in non-garbage possessions, we leave 69.7 yards between our opponent and their end zone while having to travel about two yards farther on average when the field is flipped. 

Actually, I find it amusing that half the Big Ten appears in the span of about 15 positions on the list. There are some interesting similarities between some teams in the conference on some measures. 

Joined: 01/07/2011

MGoPoints: 130561

Ron Utah

October 14th, 2014 at 4:11 PM ^

That is about right; there may be 52 better teams in the country right now.

Hard to believe Penn State is ahead of us.  It's actually pretty damning that we're so low with the talent we have.

What's surprised is that our OFEI is not as bad as expected--we are 67 there.  But our DFEI?  Yeah, we're #50(!).  We're even better in S&P - 48th on offense and 23rd on defense (ahead of FSU, Wisconsin, and Ohio State).

What we thought we be good is just okay; what we think is terrible is just worse than mediocre.

Yay, I guess?

Joined: 02/28/2012

MGoPoints: 8375

alum96

October 14th, 2014 at 5:38 PM ^

I have to give them credit for going on the road and beating a depleted (due to heavy graduations) OK State and beating Clemson without their QB.  But they have not had the look of an impressive team (top 5) overall.  But like MSU they play in a conference with very few speedbumps and other than ND (who I also think is living on borrowed time) there is no much left for them to be challenged with.  

I'd probably rank them closer to 8-9 in the country right now regardless of record (i.e. there are some 1 loss teams that should be "ranked" higher than 0 loss teams, and some 2 loss teams better than some 1 loss teams).

That said they could be a bored team that is every team that plays them gets up for, and they turn it up for the big games.  There is a reason it is difficult to repeat.

Joined: 04/28/2012

MGoPoints: 82289