I think MSU will lose to Memphis in the second round (round of 32). Memphis has the bigs to battle Sparty down low and has the backcourt to give Appling & Harris trouble. I think that game will come down to Keith Appling vs. Joe Jackson, and I give Jackson the edge in that matchup.
I, too, have UM losing to G'town in the Elite 8, and I also have OSU losing to Gonzaga in the Elite 8. IU is the only Big Ten team I have in the Final Four, and I have them losing to G'town in the National Semifinal.